FDL’s Election Hot House: 98 Congressional Races Worth Watching

By: Friday October 22, 2010 12:30 pm

While there is no doubt the GOP will make big gains on election night, the plausible range of pickups is incredibly wide. Depending on if the national mood breaks one way or another, dozens of seats could be won or lost by very narrow margins.

With that in mind, here are 98 hotly contested races that Firedoglake will be watching closely over the next 10 days. . . and in the case of a few of them, maybe even longer than that.


New Health Care Whip Count – 191 Yes, 202 No

By: Friday March 12, 2010 1:31 pm

Just a brief word on the church of the savvy smugly saying that whip counts efforts like this are misguided because of all the “wiggle room.” I’m building that into my analysis. I think I’m representing an accurate snapshot in time of where the House is at on this bill. People are going to guess about this anyway, so a whip count that takes into account other information has plenty of value, more than a simple info dump.

In other words, NBC, I’m way ahead of you.

Late Night: Writing About Politics is Hard

By: Friday January 15, 2010 8:01 pm

We hoped Snyder would decide that he should insist on pulling the mandate out of this bill in exchange for his vote. Now that he’s leaving the seat, he’ll most certainly be a “yes” vote, so that actually does nothing to “kill the bill” for those paying close attention.

If Vic Snyder is getting hammered, it isn’t because of a poll. The fault lies much deeper than that. The corrupt PhRMA deal, the insurance company giveaways, their exemption from anti-trust laws — people understand what’s going on, and Democrats across the country are paying a price for it. You’d have to be in serious denial to pretend anything else.

Vic Snyder Withdraws

By: Friday January 15, 2010 3:18 pm

Max Brantley at the Arkansas Times is reporting that seven-term congressman Vic Snyder has dropped out of his 2010 race in Arkansas-02.

Exclusive: Arkansas Democrat Vic Snyder Trailing Tim Griffin 39% to 56%; Individual Mandate Penalty Unpopular with 3 of 4 Voters

By: Friday January 15, 2010 6:05 am

In a new SurveryUSA poll sponsored by Firedoglake, incumbent Democrat Vic Snyder is trailing Republican challenger Tim Griffin by a wide margin in the race for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional district. If the election were held today, Snyder would get 39% of the vote, Griffin would get 56%, with only 5% undecided. These numbers show strong movement in the Republican’s favor. A poll from November 16, by Public Policy Polling, had Snyder statistically even with Griffin, 44% to 43%.

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