NPR Poll: Romney Leads by One Nationally But Obama up by Four in Swing States

By: Tuesday October 30, 2012 10:30 am

It would seem that Obama simply has the far more effective political campaign. In the parts of the county where neither campaign has really been active Romney is doing well, but in the places where both campaigns are heavily active Obama appears to be over-performing. Obama having the more dominant campaign structure seems to be paying off.

 

Sandy Is the October Surprise

By: Thursday October 25, 2012 4:20 pm

It seems that there is a hurricane coming up from the tropics. It seems that there is also a cold front zooming down from Canada; depending on the path of the hurricane, the two could meet right over Long Island.

During a full moon.

Does Obama Have a Significantly Better Campaign than Romney?

By: Monday October 1, 2012 8:59 am

While the candidates are relatively evenly matched nationally, in the states where the two campaign infrastructure are directly competing against each other the Romney team is losing significantly.

Obama Lead Widens, Michigan Loses Swing State Status

By: Thursday September 13, 2012 8:15 am

Earlier in the year the Republicans thought they had a decent chance of winning Michigan, in part because it was one of Romney’s home states. While a few political watchers may still consider it a swing state the odds of Romney actually winning it grow more and more remote.

Unemployment Rates in the Swing States and the November Election

By: Friday August 17, 2012 12:44 pm

With the economy ranking as the one issue for voters I thought it would be interesting to look at the unemployment rate in the swing states, according to the newly released official state numbers for July from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Obama’s Swing State Lead Drops to Near Tie

By: Monday May 7, 2012 9:30 am

Now that Mitt Romney has basically secured his party’s nomination, the race for the presidency has gotten a lot tighter. Last month President Obama had a nine point lead in the 12 swing states (Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin) according to Gallup, but this month Obama and Romney are effectively tied.

Potential Electoral Effect of the Economy in the Swing States of America

By: Wednesday September 28, 2011 3:00 pm

Under the electoral college system, presidential elections are decided on a state by state basis. In a relatively close election it is possible for a candidate to lose the national popular vote but still win the necessary 270 electoral college votes by performing well in and winning just enough swing states. The relative unemployment condition in key swing states could thus provide a narrow opening for Obama to win.

A President for All the United States, Not Just the Swing States

By: Thursday September 15, 2011 6:00 am

The Wall Street Journal article about how the Obama administration decided to shelve an ozone regulation provides a great example for why we need to eliminate the absurd electoral college and switch to a national popular vote system for president.

And the Best Performing Ad to Save Social Security and Medicare Is…

By: Tuesday July 26, 2011 7:30 am

Two of the ads did significantly better than the average, one came in right about there, and one was not performing so we stopped serving it before it actually got any clicks. That’s the great thing about online advertising — you really get a chance to see what’s working and what isn’t, and adjust your buy before you’ve sunk a lot of money into the ads.

Theses are the results:

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