62 percent of California Voters Support Regulating Marijuana Like Wine

By: Wednesday February 1, 2012 9:00 am

A new poll found that 62 percent of likely California voters would support a ballot initiative to regulate marijuana like wine. This is the highest level of support I’ve seen in any poll of California about the issue of marijuana legalization.

 

Voting for Health Care Reform Was Very Bad for Democrats’ Electoral Health

By: Monday April 4, 2011 4:25 pm

Voting for the new health care law was extremely damaging to Democrats’ re-election prospects in 2010.

2010 Midterms: Scale of the GOP Wave Was Evident for Almost a Year

By: Wednesday November 3, 2010 2:45 pm

The Republican victory in the House was truly historic. It was one of the largest congressional swings in American history, but it should not have come as a shock to any Democrat in Congress. For almost a year it was plainly evident to the DCCC and others that the party had screwed up royally and was facing massive loses.

Prop 19 Trails by Small Margins in Latest Polls

By: Monday November 1, 2010 1:50 pm

Proposition 19, which would legalize and regulate production and distribution of marijuana in California, is trailing slightly in the two most recent polls from Field and PPP. While the polling is still relatively close, this is not a good sign. For Prop 19 to pass, there will need to be a very large turnout among supporters and young voters who are not being included in the pollsters’ “likely voter” models.

Poll: Health Care Bill Wildly Unpopular in Swing Districts? No Kidding

By: Friday October 29, 2010 9:30 am

According to the latest WSJ/NBC poll, the health care bill is “particularly unpopular in the districts that matter most in the Republicans’ effort to retake the House”: According to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, 52% of respondents said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who wanted to give the [...]

FDL’s Hot House: (10/27 Update) 102 Congressional Races to Watch

By: Wednesday October 27, 2010 1:50 pm

There are several updates today thanks mainly to a new round of polling from The Hill newspaper. At the beginning of the week, I wrote of how remarkably competitive so many of these races remained so close to election day, and how many would break one way or another depending on the atmosphere this last week. With that in mind, the news is not good for Democrats.

Breaking Bad: California’s Prop 19 Down in Latest Poll

By: Wednesday October 27, 2010 8:51 am

This is not a good sign for Proposition 19. The California initiative to legalize and tax marijuana has lost a small amount of support in the latest SurveyUSA poll. For the first time in their polling, the “lean no” side outnumbers the “lean yes” side by two points.

Propositions, Measures, and Ballot Initiatives Hard to Poll Accurately

By: Tuesday October 26, 2010 8:45 am

Ballot measures tend to be much harder to accurately poll than partisan elections. Each initiative is a unique question with its own quirky set of parameters regarding which demographics and psychographics are most likely to support or oppose it. In comparison, all partisan elections between a Democrat and Republican are, at a core level, fairly similar.

Automated Polls Show Prop 19 Winning 56-41: Anti-Marijuana Stigma Could Be Throwing Off Live Polling

By: Friday October 22, 2010 5:15 pm

Yes on Proposition 19 has just released a set of internal numbers for polling they conducted last week, which compared responses given to live interviewers versus automated telephone polling. Interestingly, there is a huge divide between the level of support expressed for Prop 19 with the two methodologies. They find that if an individual is responding only to a computer program, they are much more likely to express support for Prop 19.

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