This primary definitely speaks to the deep anti-incumbent mood in the country.
|By: David Dayen Wednesday May 12, 2010 7:40 am|
|By: Jon Walker Sunday March 21, 2010 3:59 pm|
Here’s part three of the liveblog on the House of Representative’s health insurance reform vote (live on C-Span). With the announcement of a deal with Bart Stupak (D-MI) it seems very likely that the bill will pass.
|By: Jon Walker Sunday March 21, 2010 12:05 pm|
Welcome to the liveblog on the House of Representative’s health insurance reform vote. Whether you support the bill or opposite it, whether the bill passes or doesn’t this is a historic vote.
If a potential deal is struck with the Stupak bloc and the “pro-choice” caucus does not bolt, there would seem to be little standing in the way of the bills final passage.
|By: David Dayen Friday March 19, 2010 3:59 pm|
The topline news is that Scott Murphy (D-NY), who has gone back and forth on health care, has come out in favor of the legislation. Murphy was a “No” last time. His vote makes it seven Democrats who voted against the bill last time coming around to voting for it this time.
That means that Democrats could survive a Stupak bloc as big as eight and win this thing, if you do the math.
|By: David Dayen Friday March 19, 2010 2:53 pm|
Ellsworth’s Yes vote is one of the key ones needed by the leadership. That makes it 198-209, 206-212 with leaners. And importantly, under my metrics outlined in a previous post it could make Democrats as close as two votes away from passage.
|By: David Dayen Friday March 19, 2010 12:16 pm|
Nothing looks confirmed at the moment. But the moment House leaders reach agreement with elements of the Stupak bloc is the moment I stop ding whip counts. Because then, health care passes without too much trouble.
And what’s the deal? A future, standalone vote on the Stupak amendment, in the House and the Senate.
|By: David Dayen Monday March 15, 2010 11:45 am|
Since we’re getting down to the wire on the health care bill, I’m going to start pushing leaners more forcefully. Democrats now need 26 of a combination of the 14 potential No-Yes flip votes and the 22 potential Yes-No flip votes. So they need 26 out of the remaining uncommitted 36. If you’re counting leaners, Democrats need 14 of the last 22 uncommitted.
|By: David Dayen Thursday March 11, 2010 1:34 pm|
That looks like a major departure from my last whip count. That’s because there’s been a major development. House leaders have given up on trying to please Bart Stupak and will try to pass a bill without him and his bloc.