I’m updating nine House races to reflect the newest public polling and news reports. (Yesterday’s update can be found here.) Overall, the individual polling data today has not been good for Democrats. Each day’s new updates are highlighted in green.

The topline news is that Scott Murphy (D-NY), who has gone back and forth on health care, has come out in favor of the legislation. Murphy was a “No” last time. His vote makes it seven Democrats who voted against the bill last time coming around to voting for it this time.

That means that Democrats could survive a Stupak bloc as big as eight and win this thing, if you do the math.

Still lots of work for the leadership to do. And where’s that CBO score?

If President Obama and other members of Congress actually thought the Progressive Caucus was honest and stuck to its promises, they would have moved heaven and earth to figure out a way to add a public option to the reconciliation bill.

President Obama is offering Representatives supposrt above and beyond the current elections cycle, while playing bad cop to this good cop is MoveOn.org, promising to raise money for primary challengers for Democrats who vote against the bill.