Now that the election is over and almost all of the votes have been counted, it is worth examining how accurate the polling on marijuana legalization was this cycle. Knowing how the polling throughout the campaign compares to the final results is important for determining when and in what states similar initiatives should be tried going forward.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday November 13, 2012 9:45 am|
|By: Jon Walker Monday November 5, 2012 10:06 am|
During the 2010 election, PPP’s final poll of Proposition 19 in California ended up very accurately predicting how much support that marijuana legalization initiative would get. PPP’s last poll right before the 2010 election found Prop 19 at 44 percent support and on election day it got 46.5 percent of the vote. Assuming PPP’s polling of marijuana initiatives ends up being as accurate this election as it was last cycle, Washington should make history by approving I-502 tomorrow.
|By: Keith Stroup Saturday September 1, 2012 1:59 pm|
Martin A. Lee’s latest book, Smoke Signals: A Social History of Marijuana – Medical Recreational and Scientific reflects his skills as a researcher, especially in the historical sections and his analysis of scientific and medical research. The copy is dense and packed with detail, frequently footnoted for those readers who may be skeptical of his scientific claims. If most Americans would take the time to read this book, it would certainly put the topic of legalizing marijuana in some helpful historical context, and it might help convince those who oppose marijuana legalization that they should reconsider their opposition.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday March 13, 2012 8:45 am|
2010 was an exciting but disappointing year for the marijuana legalization movement. California’s Proposition 19 did better than many past legalization efforts, but it still narrowly lost with 46.5% voting yes and 53.5% voting no. However, there is reason to believe this November may be different and that voters in at least one state may finally vote to end marijuana prohibition.
|By: Jon Walker Saturday August 13, 2011 7:00 pm|
Although majority support for marijuana legalization is a good sign for this Colorado campaign, it should be noted that in 2010 the California marijuana legalization measure, Proposition 19, was ahead in early polling but ended up losing narrowly on election day. This Colorado effort should be in slightly better shape than Prop 19 was because they are trying to put the issue on the ballot in a Presidential Election year. Presidential elections tend to see much higher turn out among young voters who strongly support legalization.
|By: Lisa Derrick Monday December 13, 2010 5:00 pm|
Mikal Jakubal’s One Good Year follows several people in Southern Humboldt County who work in the area’s biggest economy: Marijuana. Jakubal follows an entire grow cycle with “mom-and-pop” growers who are part of medical marijuana collectives, people who like the majority of residents in SoHum rely on pot as their main cash crop. Join us as we discuss this movie and the promise of One Good Year.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday December 2, 2010 7:20 pm|
The Public Policy Institute of California is out with their post election survey, and among the many issues they focus on is why Californians voted for or against Proposition 19, the initiative that would have legalized marijuana. This measure failed last month by a seven points, with 46.5% voting yes and 53.5% voting yes.
According to the poll, Republicans where a main cause of Prop 19 failure. Only 27% of the Republicans who voted this year cast their ballot for Prop 19, while 73% voted against the measure. Democrats and independents supported the measure at near identical rates, 56% of Democrats and 55% of independents voted yes. This shows that at least some of Prop 19′s problems came down to bad timing. This 2010 midterm election had unusually high turnout among Republicans.
|By: Brian Sonenstein Tuesday November 9, 2010 2:35 pm|
California’s Prop 19 lost by a such a narrow margin that its hard to imagine prohibition lasting much longer. In order to end the war on marijuana as soon as possible, Just Say Now is preparing for battle in 2012, but we cannot move forward without hearing from you, the backbone of this movement, first.
PS: If you take our survey by tonight, you will get a discount code worth 10% off purchases from our online store!
|By: Jon Walker Saturday November 6, 2010 10:00 am|
One of my first observations about the defeat of California’s Proposition 19 was how important turnout demographics were to the final outcome.
While I will need to wait for official final turnout numbers from the California Secretary of State to determine what impact Prop 19 had on youth turnout, it is clear from the available data that the initiative didn’t bring out young voters in the levels they normally do for presidential elections (as opposed to midterms).
|By: Michael Whitney Thursday November 4, 2010 12:45 pm|
Prop 19 was defeated at the polls, 54% to 46%. Medical marijuana initiatives in Oregon and South Dakota lost badly, and votes are still being counted in Arizona for a too-close-to-call race there.
It’s fine to say “we’ll do better next time,” but if “next time” is just more of the same, we’re destined to repeat the same mistakes and suffer the same outcome. And when people are putting their hearts and their money and their time toward ending prohibition, that’s just not good enough.
If we learned one thing during this election, it’s that the marijuana reform movement needs to embrace the grassroots, to stop preaching, and to start listening. The top-down strategy of the marijuana reform movement up until now has failed, and must not be repeated.
So we want to hear from you. We want to know how we did in this election, and where you think the marijuana reform movement should go.