Iowa Caucus Tonight: Predictions and Wild Card Factors

By: Tuesday January 3, 2012 10:00 am

Finally, after a very long campaign defined by too many debates, an endless parade of short lived surges to first place and frankly some incredible silliness combined with SuperPAC negative ads, people will actually start voting in Iowa on who will become the Republican party’s presidential nominee.


Behind Every Statistic There Is a Human Face

By: Sunday June 5, 2011 6:00 pm

Back in January of 2009, I wrote a diary titled I Am Unemployed but Not a Statistic. I was thinking about that diary this morning. With all the discussion of statistics, unemployment rates, jobs created or unemployment claims filed, there is a human being somewhere who is affected. I started Just A Small Town Country Boy as an attempt to put a human face on just one of those people (myself) who sits behind the statistic. But as we all know, I am just one voice among the millions.

More Health Reform Predictions Coming True: Affordability Subsidies Targeted for Second Time

By: Wednesday March 9, 2011 4:07 pm

Some of my darkest predictions about the new health care law are coming true. With businesses again clamoring for corporate tax reduction, the go-to in Pay-Go-obsessed Washington are the affordability subsidies for people who will be using the new health care exchanges.

Election 2010: FDL Community vs. the Professional Prognosticators

By: Tuesday November 2, 2010 7:40 am

With all the entries in Firedoglake’s Election Projection Challenge now in, I decided to see if the aggregate projections of the FDL community can outperform the professional political prognosticators.

Poll: Health Care Bill Wildly Unpopular in Swing Districts? No Kidding

By: Friday October 29, 2010 9:30 am

According to the latest WSJ/NBC poll, the health care bill is “particularly unpopular in the districts that matter most in the Republicans’ effort to retake the House”: According to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, 52% of respondents said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who wanted to give the [...]

Jane Hamsher, Matt Kibbe, and Nate Silver with Dylan Ratigan on MSNBC

By: Tuesday January 19, 2010 5:21 pm

Jane, Matt, and Nate talk with Dylan this afternoon about big business and big government, catering to special interests, secret deals, lack of trust, and voter anger.

Late Night: Writing About Politics is Hard

By: Friday January 15, 2010 8:01 pm

We hoped Snyder would decide that he should insist on pulling the mandate out of this bill in exchange for his vote. Now that he’s leaving the seat, he’ll most certainly be a “yes” vote, so that actually does nothing to “kill the bill” for those paying close attention.

If Vic Snyder is getting hammered, it isn’t because of a poll. The fault lies much deeper than that. The corrupt PhRMA deal, the insurance company giveaways, their exemption from anti-trust laws — people understand what’s going on, and Democrats across the country are paying a price for it. You’d have to be in serious denial to pretend anything else.

Jon Walker to Debate Nate Silver at Firedoglake Next Monday

By: Wednesday January 6, 2010 2:02 pm

Over the past month, the health care debate has increasingly become a debate on the left over the relative merits of the bill. Most everyone has weighed in on this, often multiple times, with substantive critiques of the reform package and reasons for the urgency of its passage. But until now, the debates have had [...]

Bill Supporters Still Can’t Say “Affordable”

By: Thursday December 31, 2009 8:45 am

Improving on the affordability of a national health care reform plan requires thorough discussion of the details, not dismissal of discussion as semantics.

Why Can’t Health Bill Supporters Say “Affordable?”

By: Tuesday December 29, 2009 1:45 pm

I appreciate having a discussion based in facts and details. . . the point I’m trying to make is that this plan does not solve the health care debt problem middle class families are experiencing now–and will still experience under the Senate plan. This plan is not affordable for the middle class. And since we’re talking about mandating these costs, we ought to be having a discussion about what is affordable.

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