I found the result of a new McClatchy-Marist poll interesting and a bit disappointing. Among registered voters only 46 percent said their impression of President Obama would be a factor in deciding how to vote for congress this November. A majority, 51 percent, said their impression of him would not be a factor at all. To put it bluntly these people are voting wrong.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday July 17, 2014 9:06 am|
Obviously, polling has a very limited ability to predict election outcomes over a year away but they still have an impact on things happening now. As long as Paul is the frontrunner his profile is significantly raised, his fundraising becomes much easier, and his ability to push his legislative goals is increased.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday January 16, 2014 11:39 am|
While his popularity is unchanged among Republicans, the real damage has been with Independents and Democrats. Back in December Christie trailed Hillary Clinton by only three points, now he trails in the general election by 13. While the predictive power of polling two years out is highly limited, numbers like this could quickly start undermining his chances of building a solid primary campaign team/war chest.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday May 29, 2013 8:30 am|
Since Anthony Weiner officially announced his return to politics, his support in the New York mayoral race has grown significantly. According to a new Marist poll, he is now in second place, trailing Christine Quinn by only five points in the Democratic primary.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday April 3, 2013 9:25 am|
Overwhelmingly the American people think job creation, not deficit reduction, should be top priority in Washington. Not surprising, with millions of Americans unemployed or underemployed, regular people are far more concerned about a serious immediate problem rather than a possible future issue.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday November 1, 2012 7:15 am|
President Obama holds a small lead in Iowa, New Hampshire and Wisconsin according to the latest NBC/WSJ/Marist polls. If Obama wins Ohio, as most of the polling now indicates he will, he would need only one or two more swing states to get to 270.
|By: Jon Walker Friday October 26, 2012 7:31 am|
Despite Nevada being the state with the worst unemployment rate throughout Obama’s tenure, he still manages to hold a modest lead there over Mitt Romney. The latest NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls show Obama up by three in Nevada and the race completely tied in Colorado
|By: Jon Walker Friday October 19, 2012 7:30 am|
If President Obama can hold on to Ohio, where he is currently favored to win, he only needs to capture one or two other swing states to get to 270 Electoral College votes.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday October 11, 2012 8:00 am|
The presidential race has become more competitive in the swing states as a result of the first debate, but the movement in Mitt Romney direction has been modest. According to the latest NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls, the race has only moved a few points in Romney’s direction in Virginia and Ohio, while there has been no change in Florida.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday October 3, 2012 7:35 am|
The latest set of NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls show the race moving marginally in Mitt Romney’s direction. After multiple bad weeks, it appears Romney’s nose-dive has finally stopped. In Florida and Virginia Romney is almost tied with Obama, but Obama still holds a solid advantage in Ohio.