Bin Laden Turned in by Informant — Courier Was Cover Story

By: Monday August 8, 2011 6:30 pm

Forget the cover story of waterboarding-leads-to-courier-leads-to bin Laden. Sources in the intelligence community tell me that after years of trying and one bureaucratically insane near-miss in Yemen, the US government killed OBL because a Pakistani intelligence officer came forward to collect the approximately $25 million reward from the State Department’s Rewards for Justice program.

 

Under Secret Agreement, US Able to Strike in Pakistan to Kill Bin Laden

By: Monday May 9, 2011 2:38 pm

This doesn’t mean Pakistan was informed of any assault; but it means that the reaction was rehearsed and planned years ago.

Shadow Play Over Pakistani Involvement in Bin Laden Raid Continues

By: Wednesday May 4, 2011 7:06 am

Leon Panetta is absolutely trying to set up Pakistan publicly. Yesterday he said in an interview that the US never told Pakistan about the forthcoming mission into Abbottabad to kill bin Laden because they would have tipped him off. Implicit in that statement is the idea that at least some Pakistani officials knew where bin Laden was hiding. Otherwise, how could they tip him off? Later that day, Panetta said to Congress – and basically allowed it to be leaked, through evidently not putting too fine a point on the secrecy of that part of the briefing – that Pakistan is either grossly incompetent or culpable.

ISI Raided Abbottabad Compound in 2003, Looking for Abu Furaj al-Libi

By: Tuesday May 3, 2011 1:35 pm

We can’t say one way or another whether skilled interrogation would have yielded this information in 2005. It’s possible al-Libi would have successfully shielded it in any case. But if the ISI report is even remotely accurate, it seems clear that al-Libi sat in our custody for six years, knowing of the location that might house OBL, and never disclosed it.

On Second Day After Bin Laden’s Death, No Massive Demonstrations or Reprisals in Pakistan

By: Tuesday May 3, 2011 6:03 am

Although there were a few small demonstrations on Monday, Tuesday appears to be quiet in Pakistan on the second day after the US killed Osama Bin Laden just outside Islamabad. Warnings to be wary of reprisals have been voiced by both the US and Pakistani governments and two US consulates in Pakistan have been closed as a precaution.

Osama bin Laden in Abbottabad: Pakistani Incompetence or Complicity?

By: Monday May 2, 2011 6:00 am

It’s probably just a coincidence that the US finally got Osama bin Laden at a time when its relationship with Pakistan is at a post-9/11 low. President Obama said the discovery of OBL came from a lead first generated last August.

Drone Strikes in Pakistan Resume After Key ISI-CIA Meeting

By: Thursday April 14, 2011 7:40 am

On Tuesday, Marcy Wheeler pointed out that the meeting in Washington between Leon Panetta and his Pakistani counterpart, ISI head Lt. General Ahmed Shuja Pasha was cut short. A key topic in the meeting was the ongoing tension over US drone strikes in Pakistan. On cue, and apparently while Pasha was still in transit back from Washington, four drone-fired missiles struck in South Waziristan on Wednesday, killing four and prompting more protests from Pakistan. This strike was the first since a strike on March 17, the day after Raymond Davis was released, killed a large number of civilians, provoking widespread outrage in Pakistan and leading to a halt in US strikes.

Raymond Davis Murder Trial Postponed, DeHaven Granted Bail, CIA-ISI Tensions Grow

By: Wednesday March 9, 2011 7:40 am

In my last update on the Raymond Davis case, I suggested that it appeared that Davis would possibly be convicted for the killing of two Pakistanis on January 27 in Lahore before his March 14 hearing scheduled on the issue of diplomatic immunity. Tuesday, however, proceedings in the murder case were adjourned until March 16, two days after the immunity hearing. Other related developments include the granting of bail for Aaron DeHaven and discussions in multiple venues (see Scott Horton’s discussion in the video and this NPR story) of the increasing tensions between the CIA and Pakistan’s ISI that this case has exposed.

Express Tribune: Some US Operatives Leaving Pakistan

By: Monday February 28, 2011 6:30 pm

The fallout from US-Pakistan tensions over the arrest of CIA contractor Raymond Davis for killing two Pakistanis on January 27 has continued to expand. Dawn.com reported on Friday on the number of US personnel in Pakistan believed to have diplomatic immunity, and on the same day, an American was arrested for overstaying his visa in Pakistan. Taken together, these bits of information suggest that Pakistan is carefully analyzing the data it has on potential US operatives within Pakistan and is carefully documenting their status. On Monday, the Express Tribune reported that it has received word that some suspected US spies in Pakistan have stopped their activities and some have even left the country.

Thousands of Spooky Americans Doing Who-Knows-What in Pakistan?

By: Thursday February 24, 2011 6:00 pm

The Pakistanis are making a concerted effort to make it clear (or claim) that they let these thousands into the country with no vetting without first ascertaining what they would be doing. Mind you, they probably did know, at least vaguely. But if these numbers are true, the sheer scope of this program may be one of the big sources of the embarrassment here.

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