How California Would Handle the Striking Down of the Individual Mandate

By: Wednesday June 27, 2012 9:50 am

If the entire Affordable Care Act gets struck down tomorrow, that would trigger a fair bit of chaos, with lawsuits and scrambling for reauthorization of programs like the Indian Health Service expected. But if the Supreme Court just throws out the individual mandate – and even if they toss insurance regulations like guaranteed issue (the bar on denying coverage due to a pre-existing condition) – the nation’s biggest state is prepared to move forward with the law, and even prosper, according to a leading health advocate.

 

Don’t Expect Wide Popular Outrage Towards If an “Activist” Court Strikes Down Health Care Law

By: Wednesday June 27, 2012 9:15 am

If the Supreme Court strikes down all or part of President Obama’s signature health care law, some Democratic operatives appear to be hoping that outrage towards an out of control “activist” Supreme Court could be leveraged for politic advantage. However, polling to date shows that popular outrage over the Court’s potentialecision against the Act is not likely to materialize.

Chaos Lurks in Potential SCOTUS Rulings on Obamacare

By: Tuesday June 26, 2012 9:55 am

I want to highlight just what a mess this could turn out to be if the Court tries for the maximal decision and invalidates the entire Affordable Care Act. There are many good elements like the Medicaid expansion and funding for community health centers, and many changes to Medicare, unrelated to the mandate. Strike these down would provoke utter chaos.

Supreme Court Expected to Deliver Partisan Response to Health Care Law

By: Monday June 25, 2012 7:40 am

Either in a few minutes or on Thursday, we will know what the Supreme Court decides in the case of the Affordable Care Act. They could go in a variety of directions, from upholding the entire law to taking the whole of it down, to a number of options in between.

The Health Care Lose-Lose Scenario Facing Democrats

By: Friday June 22, 2012 9:49 am

With the Supreme Court ruling on the Affordable Care Act only days away, I have tried to play out all the potential ways the Court could rule and what they would mean on a purely political level this election. As best as I can tell any Court decision is likely to be either a political wash for Democrats or a net loser. It is hard to make a case that any of the three most likely court decisions would really help Democrats or Obama this November.

Decades of Evidence Subsidies Alone Should be Sufficient to Encourage Enrollment

By: Thursday June 21, 2012 10:10 am

One of the big question about the possible Supreme Court ruling on the Affordable Care Act is what would happen if only the individual mandate is struck down, but the rest of the law is left in place. Mainly, is simply providing subsidies enough to encourage new people to buy insurance?

The Policy Implications if Only the Mandate Is Struck Down

By: Thursday June 21, 2012 7:30 am

In the very near future the Supreme Court will rule on the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act. One likely outcome is the court strikes down the individual mandate but leaves the rest of the law intact.

Here is what eliminating just the mandate would actually mean for policy.

Supreme Court “Experts” Think Mandate Likely to Be Struck Down

By: Wednesday June 20, 2012 1:10 pm

A new survey of 38 former Supreme Court clerks and 18 attorney’s who have argued before the Court found that these insiders believe there is a good chance the Court will rule against the individual mandate. On average the group thinks there is a 57 percent chance the mandate will be struck down.

Health Care Reminder: The True Power of the Bully Pulpit

By: Monday June 18, 2012 2:45 pm

With the Supreme Court likely to decide on the Affordable Care Act next Monday, Pew Research has a poll of voters’ reactions to possible rulings. There is a huge partisan divide, with Republicans wanting the whole law thrown out and Democrats wanting it kept. But a majority of Democrats would be unhappy if the Court only threw out the individual mandate but kept all the “good” provisions.

White House, Democrats Still Have No Health Care Plan B for Supreme Court Decision

By: Monday June 18, 2012 10:00 am

Even though there is a very good chance the Supreme Court could rule against some or all of the Affordable Care Act, the Obama administration seems to have done nothing to prepare Democrats in Congress for this eventuality, according to Politico. This is both puzzling and disconcerting, given how important an adverse ruling could be to their major bill.

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