With the campaign season just beginning a new CBS News/New York Time poll shows Republicans with a modest lead in the generic ballot. If the election were held today 42 percent would vote for the Republican in their district while only 39 percent would vote for the Democrat.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday January 22, 2014 5:30 pm|
Because of gerrymandering the Republicans have a large structural advantage in the House, and the seats up in the Senate lean Republican so even a small lead in the generic ballot is a big deal for Republicans.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday December 10, 2013 7:25 pm|
Obama’s job approval rating has been on a steady decline since the beginning of October and is now the lowest ever in the history of Quinnipiac’s polling. Only 38 percent approve of how he is handling the job of president while 57 percent disapprove. Obama has even lost the backing of young people (41-49) who used to be one of his strongest groups. And the damage is not limited to the president.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday November 26, 2013 8:50 am|
This might be one of the quickest and biggest reversals in generic ballot polling. Republicans now have a two point advantage over Democrats in the 2014 Congressional elections.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday November 13, 2013 2:15 pm|
I thought nothing could undo the self-inflicted political damage needlessly shutting down the government for weeks. I’m now prepared to admit I was wrong. Apparently, the other party demonstrating unimaginable incompetence by failing to implement their big signature law which they actively lied about is nearly as damaging.
In the past month Democrats had turned what was a nine point lead over Republicans in the generic ballot into a tie.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday October 22, 2013 7:45 am|
Overwhelmingly regular Americans blame the government shutdown on Congressional Republicans. According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll 53 percent believe Republicans were mainly responsible for the shutdown while only 29 percent think President Obama should receive most of the blame. An additional 15 percent of the country blames both sides equally.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday October 15, 2013 1:06 pm|
Congressional Democrats hold a clear advantage in the last Pew Research poll. If the congressional election was held today 49 percent of Americans would plan to vote for the Democrat in the district while only 43 percent would plan to vote for the Republican. That is a significant six point lead.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday October 1, 2013 7:25 am|
The early results are in and it is clear this government shutdown fight is doing significant damage to the Republican Party. According to a new Quinnipiac poll, Democrats now have taken a massive nine point lead in the generic ballot.
|By: Jon Walker Friday September 13, 2013 7:39 am|
The most important question is which party do voters think would do a better job overall. That is how people vote and ultimately that is what really matters in politics.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday July 24, 2013 8:55 am|
This is especially good news for Republicans because they don’t even need to win more votes than the Democrats to make real gains in Congress next year. Because of gerrymandering in the House and a 2014 Senate map that heavily favors Republicans, the GOP has a massive built in advantage next year. As long as they simply remain close to Democrats they have a chance to pick up seats.