Democrats Have a Big Lead in the Generic Ballot — But They Must Convince Supporters to Vote

By: Friday August 15, 2014 1:21 pm

If the Congressional election were held today Democrats would have a seven-point edge according to a new Fox News poll. In the generic ballot Democrats lead 46 percent to 39 percent among registered voters.

As always, though, the big problem for Democrats remains convincing their potential supporters to vote. When you look only at voters who say they are interested in voting this November Republicans are winning 45 percent to 44 percent. That is a huge enthusiasm gap.


Voters Feel Some 2012 Buyer’s Remorse

By: Monday July 28, 2014 7:49 am

President Obama’s job approval rating has been negative for months and it has gotten so bad a majority of voters now wish he lost his re-election. If the Presidential election was held again today 53 percent of voters say they would back Mitt Romney while only 44 percent would vote for Barack Obama

Democrats Suffer From Significant Enthusiasm Gap

By: Thursday July 24, 2014 9:12 am

While Democrats hold a small two-point lead in the generic Congressional ballot, the big problem for them is their voters aren’t enthusiastic about turning out.

Democrats up by Two in Generic Ballot

By: Tuesday June 3, 2014 8:00 am

The problem for Democrats is they still struggle to get their voters to care about a non-presidential elections. While 81 percent of Republicans say they are almost certain to vote this November only 74 percent of Democrats are. Similarly, 77 percent of whites say they are almost certain to vote in the upcoming election while only 67 percent of non-whites say the same.

Good News for Congressional Republicans in Generic Ballot

By: Monday May 5, 2014 7:52 am

In the generic Congressional ballot Republicans have a large lead according to a new Pew Research poll. If the election was held today 47 percent of voters would pick the Republican in their district while only 43 percent would choose the Democrat.

Democrats Retake Lead in Generic Ballot

By: Wednesday April 2, 2014 2:15 pm

The national poll found 40 percent would vote for a Democrat for Congress if the election was held today while 38 percent would vote for the Republican. This is a modest improvement since late January when Republicans had a lead of 38 percent to 37 percent.

Republicans Lead in the Generic Ballot

By: Thursday February 27, 2014 10:20 am

With the campaign season just beginning a new CBS News/New York Time poll shows Republicans with a modest lead in the generic ballot. If the election were held today 42 percent would vote for the Republican in their district while only 39 percent would vote for the Democrat.

Republicans Hold Small Lead in Generic Ballot

By: Wednesday January 22, 2014 5:30 pm

Because of gerrymandering the Republicans have a large structural advantage in the House, and the seats up in the Senate lean Republican so even a small lead in the generic ballot is a big deal for Republicans.

Quinnipiac Poll Has Bad News for Democrats

By: Tuesday December 10, 2013 7:25 pm

Obama’s job approval rating has been on a steady decline since the beginning of October and is now the lowest ever in the history of Quinnipiac’s polling. Only 38 percent approve of how he is handling the job of president while 57 percent disapprove. Obama has even lost the backing of young people (41-49) who used to be one of his strongest groups. And the damage is not limited to the president.

GOP Takes the Lead in Generic Ballot

By: Tuesday November 26, 2013 8:50 am

This might be one of the quickest and biggest reversals in generic ballot polling. Republicans now have a two point advantage over Democrats in the 2014 Congressional elections.

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