This chart shows why the DSCC’s decision to pull out of the Kentucky Senate race was inevitable for months.
|By: Jon Walker Friday October 17, 2014 9:06 am|
|By: Jon Walker Thursday October 16, 2014 9:08 am|
This is a poll answer that has always confused me. Apparently a plurality of Americans, 37 percent, still thinks it makes no difference if the federal government is controlled by one party or is divided.
|By: Jon Walker Monday October 13, 2014 7:50 am|
The bad news for Democrats keeps coming. New data from Gallup shows the Republican party has the advantage among the issues voters care most about this year
|By: Jon Walker Thursday October 9, 2014 7:52 am|
The only small upside for Democrats is that the enthusiasm gap isn’t quite as bad as 2010.
|By: Jon Walker Friday October 3, 2014 1:27 pm|
The margin by which people are sending a message of opposition to the President compared to support is remarkably similar to the 2010 and 2006 midterm elections. Both those elections saw the President’s party take huge congressional loses.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday October 2, 2014 10:05 am|
There may have been a brief time in the beginning when the so-called Tea Party movement was something that didn’t fall neatly along the basic partisan spectrum, driven by broad anger at Washington. But since that time it has effectively morphed into a synonym for conservative Republicanism. Gallup found eight in ten Tea Party supporters consider themselves Republicans or Republican-leaning and demographically they are like others Republicans, just more so.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday September 25, 2014 6:20 pm|
Today makes a rather problematic anniversary for President Obama. It was one year ago today that Gallup conducted their last tracking poll which actually found Obama with a positive job approval rating.
|By: Jon Walker Thursday September 25, 2014 12:59 pm|
One thing I wish all pollsters would do is change how the ask about marijuana legalization, because they question they use is not applicable to the actual political debates taking place in this country. Normally the question they use in the poll is some version of “Should marijuana use by legal?”
|By: Jon Walker Monday September 22, 2014 2:35 pm|
In the last midterms the Republicans had a real goal to rally behind, which was putting the breaks on President Obama, but this time they don’t. While Republicans winning a narrow majority in the Senate would further restrict Obama’s abilities, the net impact would be fairly minor. Preventing Obama from getting new big laws through Congress was a huge deal. Making it more difficult to get some nominees approved in his last year just can’t compare.
|By: Jon Walker Friday September 19, 2014 6:40 pm|
There was a time when the role of racial issues and weak national parties left the American political party system, frankly, a sloppy mess. There were liberal Republican senators and actually conservative Democratic members of Congress. Steadily we are watching the holdovers from that time disappear. American political parties are becoming like political parties in the rest of the world, which coalesce around ideological positions.