The number of contests close enough to watch continues to grow daily. Updates today on RI-01, CT-04, CT-05, IN-02, and NC-02.
|By: Jon Walker Friday October 29, 2010 4:45 pm|
|By: Jon Walker Thursday October 28, 2010 7:10 pm|
The number of contests up in the air continues to grow: As a result of new polling, I’m adding two close races to the list, FL-25 and KY-03.
Several other races have also been updated to reflect new information. Overall, the updates are a mixed bag, but, on net, I would say today’s news is slightly positive for Democrats.
|By: Jon Walker Tuesday October 26, 2010 2:42 pm|
I’m updating nine House races to reflect the newest public polling and news reports. (Yesterday’s update can be found here.) Overall, the individual polling data today has not been good for Democrats. Each day’s new updates are highlighted in green.
|By: Jon Walker Monday October 25, 2010 1:30 pm|
I’m adding two seats, KY-06 and NE-01, to the FDL Election Hot House list (making it the Hot House 100!) because recent public polling has shown both races within five points. I’m also updating four other House seats–HI-01, MA-04, MA-10 and MI-01–to reflect new public polling information.
|By: Jon Walker Wednesday June 16, 2010 5:05 pm|
Rep. Mike Rogers, the chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee’s incumbent-retention program, has pinpointed the nine most vulnerable GOP House members up for re-election and wants supporters to focus only on them. All represent districts that carried President Obama in 2008. Here’s a look at the endangered nine.
|By: David Dayen Monday May 31, 2010 3:22 pm|
Democratic moderate Congressional candidate Ed Case showed he couldn’t act against the interests of Hawaii Democrats. His positions against working families in Hawaii made him unelectable to his base, and Sen. Daniel Inouye made sure Case wouldn’t get away with it by withholding his support. The DCCC’s surrender of this special election turned out to be the best option for all involved.
|By: Jon Walker Sunday May 23, 2010 5:00 pm|
Republican candidate Charles Djou won the HI-01 special election with 39.5% of the vote because two Democrats, Colleen Hanabusa with 30.8% and Ed Case with 27.6%, split the Democratic vote almost down the middle. This is a great example of how the design of our election laws can greatly affect our government; a poorly-designed electoral system like Hawaii’s can result in winners that don’t best represent the will of the electorate.
|By: David Dayen Sunday May 23, 2010 12:30 pm|
Last night’s loss to Republican Charles Djou breaks a long string of Democratic wins in special elections, and does flip a seat to the Republicans, at least temporarily. But Rep. Djou would basically have to switch parties in order to win in November.
|By: David Dayen Saturday May 22, 2010 5:00 pm|
After the DCCC pulled out of the special election in HI-01, most political observers turned their attentions elsewhere. The race, which features two major Democrats and one major Republican in a winner-take-all election, was essentially conceded to Charles Djou, the Republican. It is thought that Ed Case and Colleen Hanabusa will split the vote, and Djou will win easily. Facts on the ground may puncture this conventional wisdom, though.
|By: David Dayen Monday May 10, 2010 3:40 pm|
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has officially ended its intervention in the Hawaii Congressional special election to replace Neil Abercrombie, judging that the unique all-candidate, first-past-the-post format makes it likely for a Republican, Charles Djou, to score a temporary victory.