Morning Update: Down to the Stupak Bloc

By: Sunday March 21, 2010 7:25 am

Bart Stupak said this morning that he has 8 votes in his coalition. If that’s true there’s almost no path to 218. However, Stupak said he was nearing a deal with the White House on language that would go into an executive order, specifying no public funding for abortion. Obviously, if the Stupak bloc all votes for the bill, victory would be fairly well in hand.

DeGette Agrees to Executive Order Language On Behalf of Pro-Choice Community

By: Saturday March 20, 2010 6:31 pm

According to the Huffington Post, Diana Degette has agreed, on behalf of the pro-choice community, the language of an executive order that the President will issue to address Bart Stupak’s concerns regarding the health care bill.

Stupak’s Legislative Advisers

By: Saturday March 20, 2010 11:00 am

For a generation, the name at the top of the list of political heroes of the anti-abortion movement has been Henry Hyde. Bart Stupak wants to put his name at the top of that list for the next generation, and the US Conference of Catholic Bishops is trying their best to make that happen. For the USCCB and for Stupak, the world is a black and white place, and those in authority tell those lower down the totem pole which is which.

God help us.

New Whip Count, With Changes To Reflect The Stupak Bloc

By: Saturday March 20, 2010 9:15 am

(see the update)

OK, so NRO has not always been right (understatement of the year), but they claim that Stupak told their sources that he’s “finished with Pelosi” and the enrollment corrections bill is dead. So I’ve taken a second look at the numbers to reflect what we know, and the challenge facing the Democratic leadership.

Stupak is Back: What’s an Enrollment Corrections Bill?

By: Friday March 19, 2010 8:45 pm

Jane has gone over this, but what Bart Stupak hinted at today has apparently come true. Stupak’s four-page “enrollment corrections” bill will get some sort of vote in the House as part of the overall health care bill.

Stupak Abortion Language to Be Substituted for Senate Language in Deal to Secure Health Care Votes

By: Friday March 19, 2010 7:30 pm

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has made a deal with Rep. Bart Stupak in order to secure his vote and that of other anti-choice Democrats for the health care bill, which is scheduled to be voted on this Sunday. According to a member of Congress who was briefed on the matter, Pelosi has agreed to let Stupak have a vote on his amendment either before or after the House votes to pass the Senate bill. It instructs the Senate to substitute the language in his amendment for the Senate language on abortion.

FDL has obtained a copy of the concurrent resolution. . . .

Scott Murphy to Vote Yes; Rumors of a Fallback Stupak Deal

By: Friday March 19, 2010 3:59 pm

The topline news is that Scott Murphy (D-NY), who has gone back and forth on health care, has come out in favor of the legislation. Murphy was a “No” last time. His vote makes it seven Democrats who voted against the bill last time coming around to voting for it this time.

That means that Democrats could survive a Stupak bloc as big as eight and win this thing, if you do the math.

Key Stupak Bloc Member, Brad Ellsworth, Reportedly a Yes

By: Friday March 19, 2010 2:53 pm

Ellsworth’s Yes vote is one of the key ones needed by the leadership. That makes it 198-209, 206-212 with leaners. And importantly, under my metrics outlined in a previous post it could make Democrats as close as two votes away from passage.

Perriello a “Yes” on Health Care Bill; Stupak Talks of “Enrollment Correction”

By: Friday March 19, 2010 1:01 pm

Tom Perriello has decided to vote for the health care bill, per CNN. I had him as a lean Yes in my whip count. So that makes it 196-208, with still 204-211 with leaners. None of the true undecideds have announced today.

Deal with Stupak Bloc Discussed; Would Guarantee Passage of Health Care Bill

By: Friday March 19, 2010 12:16 pm

Nothing looks confirmed at the moment. But the moment House leaders reach agreement with elements of the Stupak bloc is the moment I stop ding whip counts. Because then, health care passes without too much trouble.

And what’s the deal? A future, standalone vote on the Stupak amendment, in the House and the Senate.

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