Voting for the new health care law was extremely damaging to Democrats’ re-election prospects in 2010.

Can Republicans successfully exploit voters anger about the health care law in 2012 like they did in 2010 if large parts of the electorate thinks the law is already gone?

Hey, remember three months ago, when millions of voters across America screamed loud and clear, “Please stop sending money to my town!”? I don’t think they do either…

HR3 – “The No Taxpayer Money for Abortion Act” – is a vile piece of legislation by its title alone. That the bill contained, until yesterday, a provision to redefine rape as “forcible” rape was even more insidious. In a Republican-controlled House, it’s not shocking to see this kind of medieval treatment of women become a priority over, you know, job creation. But let’s focus on the Democrats involved in this travesty. A look at the DCCC’s contributions to and on behalf of the 10 Democratic co-sponsors of HR3 show the committee spent a whopping $3,379,322.85 to keep these members in office – in 2010 alone.

While the Obama administration is thinking about ways to win over independents in anticipation of the 2012 election, they actually should be worried that a large segment of former Democrats are no longer choosing to identify themselves with the party.

From a purely political perspective the optics of this choose are just terrible.

And yet the truth is that Obama has made a Wall Street banker his top adviser even though a plurality of voters blame their current economic hardship on Wall Street bankers.

According to an analysis by Stephan Ansolabehere the inherent built-in political advantage for Congressional incumbents in 2010 was its lowest in decades.

My advice to any political party is to focus the bulk of their energy on doing what ever possible, as quickly as possible, to deliver real improvements for the electorate. People pay attention to how the government is affecting their lives, not the show politicians put on for each other.

If Democrats had spent even half as much time on getting more people help with their health care as soon as possible as they did getting that “pretty” CBO score for their bill, I suspect they would have had a better showing last November.

The Alaska Supreme Court ruled against Miller’s bid yesterday to challenge the Senate election, where Murkowski won as a write-in candidate. Miller has until Monday to decide whether to take his case to federal district court, and Judge Ralph Beistline, who is holding up certification of the election until Miller exhausts his options.

The Washington primary can serve as a useful predictor on a macro level. Partisan swings in the Washington primary vote closely mirrored the national Congressional swings we saw in November.