Obama Still Holds Big Advantage with Young Voters

By: Thursday November 3, 2011 11:30 am

Not since 1972 has generation played such a significant role in voter preferences as it has in recent elections. Younger people have voted substantially more Democratic in each election since 2004, while older voters have cast more ballots for Republican candidates in each election since 2006.

A new Pew Research Center study suggests this pattern may well continue in 2012.


Most Young Adults Say They Are Worse Off Compared to Four Years Ago

By: Wednesday November 2, 2011 10:00 am

A new poll by Demos on young adults finds a strong majority say it’s harder now to make ends meet than four years ago. It even worse for Latinos. That large majorities say they’re worse off indicates Obama will find it difficult to convince these young adults to work on ensuring his reelection.

The Party Line – August 12, 2011: Obama, Drew Westen, and Me

By: Friday August 12, 2011 3:22 pm

Because of that failure to finger, and a striking lack of proactive ideas in general, Obama’s Monday White House matinee served up a nothing-burger deluxe—not at all rare these days, I’m afraid, and also not well done. He wasn’t selling the steak, he wasn’t selling the sizzle, and he wasn’t telling a very good story in structural terms, either.

But the president very much needs to tell a story—to construct a narrative—because he very much needs to sell something: himself.

Will Obama Sacrifice His Catholic Supporters to Get a Debt Ceiling Deal with the GOP?

By: Saturday July 9, 2011 9:00 am

As Obama buys into the deficit hysteria of the GOP, he is endangering not only the social safety net on which millions depend, but also his own particular job. One aspect of the 2012 election calculus that I don’t think Team Obama realizes is that a deal like this will throw away any hope he has of holding onto the Catholic voters that supported him in 2008.

In states like Wisconsin, Illinois, Pennsylvania, New York, Missouri, Ohio, and Florida, Catholics are a sizable chunk of the electorate, and Obama cannot afford to alienate them. If he caves to the GOP on the debt ceiling negotiations and sacrifices Social Security and Medicare to protect the tax gimmicks so beloved by the MOTUs and banksters, these voters will not be happy.

Just let those states sink in: Wisconsin, Illinois, Pennsylvania, New York, Missouri, Ohio, and Florida. Obama’s not going to win them without significant Catholic support, and cutting the social safety net is NOT going to help get those votes.

Come Saturday Morning: “Clap Louder!” Is Not a Solution, Economic or Political

By: Saturday July 9, 2011 6:45 am

I’ve spent much of the past twenty-four hours dealing with local Democratic Party functionaries who were trying to shout me and a few other folks down over this issue. Instead of wasting time trying to get people like me to say that the yellow liquid being trickled on us all is just rain and not urine, they would be better served trying to figure out how they can convince the vast apolitical majority of Americans to get into the voting booth — you know, the people who don’t follow the politics of Supreme Court justices but care mightily about their pensions — without being able to honestly deploy the “we’ll save Medicare and Medicaid” hole card.

The Party Line – June 17, 2011
Noble Savages

By: Friday June 17, 2011 9:30 am

This week, I am at Netroots Nation #6 in Minneapolis, and I had planned to bring you a video all about one of the themes I saw running through the first day of panels, speeches and briefings. . . I had planned to bring you video, but I am only here through Sunday and that is probably not enough time to upload my usual eight-or-so minutes because the speed of the internet connection here is pre-millennial. . . again.

Yes, We Get It Already: A Republican Could Beat Obama in 2012

By: Sunday June 5, 2011 11:50 am

With increasing and annoying frequency, I’m seeing lazy pieces like this.

No Huckabee in 2012 a Good Sign for Obama

By: Monday May 16, 2011 12:30 pm

The decision by former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee not to seek the Republican nomination is a good sign for President Obama’s re-election prospects, and not simply because it removes one proven politician from the field.

The Party Line – May 13, 2011
What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

By: Friday May 13, 2011 9:36 am

Three countries–one gets 29 percent of its electricity from nuclear power, one gets 26 percent from nuclear, and one gets 20 percent. Guess which one is winning the future. . . or, more to point, guess which one is not.

Health Care Law as Popular as a Pepperoni and Broken Glass Pizza

By: Friday March 11, 2011 3:25 pm

The reality is that only a few of Affordable Care Act specifics have popular support, like guaranteed issue, Medicaid expansion, subsidies to buy insurance, and allowing children up to 26 to stay on their parents’ plan. But equally important is that some parts of the law are extremely unpopular, such as the individual mandate and the excise tax on employer-provided insurance.

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