David Dayen

A major development: Chris Carney (D-PA) will vote yes on the health care bill. Carney was sort of part of the Stupak bloc, but wasn’t on the list of Democrats who co-sponsored Bart Stupak’s ultimately failed amendment.
Carney was present at a meeting between Speaker Pelosi and three anti-choice Democrats (Carney, [...]

A couple updates on the whip count:
• Dennis Cardoza seemed to say in the House Rules Committee that he would oppose the effort to “deem and pass” the bill with one vote:
Cardoza, a previously undecided lawmaker who’d voted to pass Democrats’ healthcare bill in November, said he would vote against the process his party plans [...]

(see the update)

OK, so NRO has not always been right (understatement of the year), but they claim that Stupak told their sources that he’s “finished with Pelosi” and the enrollment corrections bill is dead. So I’ve taken a second look at the numbers to reflect what we know, and the challenge facing the Democratic leadership.

Tags: Bart Stupak, Democrats, Health care, House of Representatives, Sanford Bishop, whip counts

Jane has gone over this, but what Bart Stupak hinted at today has apparently come true. Stupak’s four-page “enrollment corrections” bill will get some sort of vote in the House as part of the overall health care bill.

Tags: abortion, Bart Stupak, budget reconciliation, Diana DeGette, Health care, House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, parliamentary procedure, Senate

We’ll certainly know in the morning, but Nancy Pelosi is fast running out of options without members of the ubiquitous Stupak bloc.

Harry Teague, one of the few remaining undecided votes, will vote No again as he did in November, blaming cost controls.

Tags: Harry Teague, health care reform, Reconciliation, whip count

The topline news is that Scott Murphy (D-NY), who has gone back and forth on health care, has come out in favor of the legislation. Murphy was a “No” last time. His vote makes it seven Democrats who voted against the bill last time coming around to voting for it this time.

That means that Democrats could survive a Stupak bloc as big as eight and win this thing, if you do the math.

Tags: Bart Stupak, Health care, Scott Murphy, Stupak bloc, whip count

For now, confirmed Yes votes hit 200, with 209 opposed. With leaners, we’re at 207-212. And if they get all the Yes votes who voted that way the last time, they have 217.

Tags: Health care, Henry Cuellar, Suzanne Kosmas, whip count

Ellsworth’s Yes vote is one of the key ones needed by the leadership. That makes it 198-209, 206-212 with leaners. And importantly, under my metrics outlined in a previous post it could make Democrats as close as two votes away from passage.

Tags: Bart Stupak, Brad Ellsworth, Health care, Stupak bloc, whip count

This is the first major news of the day. Allen Boyd, a Blue Dog from the Florida panhandle, will vote for the health care bill.
U.S. Rep. Allen Boyd, who voted against national health care last November, said today he will vote for the new bill when it comes to the House floor.
The Monticello Democrat [...]

Tags: Allen Boyd, Health care, Jason Altmire, whip count

Tom Perriello has decided to vote for the health care bill, per CNN. I had him as a lean Yes in my whip count. So that makes it 196-208, with still 204-211 with leaners. None of the true undecideds have announced today.

Tags: Bart Stupak, enrollment correction, Health care, Tom Perriello