If you begin to feel like your sense of the seasons is out of whack, it’s not just the mild winter weather across the country right now. The frightening upshot of Mitt Romney’s clear path to the Republican nomination for the White House is that it might as well be the fall of 2012 right now.
Making full use of their respective, nearly limitless warchests, both the Romney and Obama campaigns will spend the next ten months carpet-bombing each other in the media in hopes of framing the presidential race in their favor. And if you think the comparative name-calling of “job-killing President” versus “job-killing Wall Street puppet” is boring now, just imagine how it will feel by late October, after hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent on sledgehammer-style negative ads.
Granted, I know that no one besides Romney ever had much of a chance. With the possible exception of Rick Perry, none of his opponents seemed to have either the money or the seriousness of intent to build a serious nationwide organization; Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich, in particular, seemed more focused on following the Sarah Palin model of feigning a political campaign in order to support book sales and other self-promotion. (Perry, meanwhile, fell victim to the perception that he would lose an IQ contest to Palin.)
Even with Gingrich’s rocket-like ascent into conservatives’ favor as a non-Romney contender, the question was more when rather than if he would flame out. But it sure would have made things more interesting if he could have hung on longer. Aside from the passing distraction of the two GOP heavyweights raining blows on one another, I was starting to amuse myself with fantasies of how Newt could possibly win a general election campaign. Obviously, the first prerequisite (for Newt, Mitt or any other challenger) would have to be the economy remaining sufficiently stalled out that voters were desperate enough to gamble on a return for Republican economic policies. But how would he keep his famously abrasive persona from scaring the electorate into sticking with Obama despite their doubts?
What I figured was that Gingrich would have to adopt a rope-a-dope approach that let Team Obama spend months painting the scariest picture they could of a Newt presidency… up until the televised debates. Then Newt, like Ronald Reagan against Jimmy Carter in 1980, would present himself in the most genial, soft-smiling, shoulder-shrugging fashion he could muster — in short, an unthreatening figure nothing like what voters had been led to believe.
Just the thought of Newt trying to contain himself long enough to pull that off would have kept me entertained for quite awhile. Now, though, we’ll never know what might have been.



37 Comments












Support this site!
Subscribe to the newsletter
Advertise on Firedoglake
Send
us your tips
Make us your homepage
About Firedoglake
Perry, meanwhile, fell victim to the perception that he would lose an IQ contest to Palin.
That is rather more than a perception. Truth be told, Perry would lose an IQ contest with any self respecting turnip.
If it’s Obama vs. Romney already, does that leave an opening — even if it’s a teeny-weeny-little-microscopic-so-small-you’d-need-the-Mt.-Palomar-Telescope-to-see-it-even-if-it-were-on-the-next-hill-over size opening — for Rocky Anderson?
And I was looking forward to a nice night’s sleep . . .
Citizens United is going to make this a very “interesting” (in the Chinese sense) election. It is already starting to do that here in Montana, where the Chamber of Commerce and other rightwing groups are starting to hammer Tester.
Probably not.
Why?
Because the left side of the aisle is invested in keeping Ron Paul part of the debate.
(shaking my head at the idea that the left has vested itself in promoting a guy who would deregulate corporate America and regulate civil liberties rather than promote alternatives like Anderson or Stein)
Oh I’m pretty sure that No Doze sales are going to plummet. Obama-Romney match ups are going to be boooooooring. I’m yawning just thinking about it.
I’d be a lot sorrier for Newt’s short stint as a contendah if the man weren’t a completely loathsome, narcissistic political troll.
I did like the MT Supreme Court’s smackdown of Citizens United, though. The majority opinion slammed SCOTUS for CU, but not nearly as hard as the dissent did.
My favorite paragraph (emphasis added):
See SCOTUSblog for a link to the opinion and more details.
It’s not the matchup but the ads. I’m just thinking of the commercials between episodes of Spongebob Squarepants, and already it’s going to give me nightmares.
Yep. I rather enjoyed that myself. Oddly enough, in a state where John Tester is about as far to the left as a politician can be and win a statewide election, our Supreme court is pretty progressive and has been for the 15 years I have lived here. They are even elected, but generally do not really campaign much, so maybe that helps.
Yeah. We have not really had any local political adds here yet, but the Chamber and several other rightwing groups have been weighing in on the Tester-Rehberg race and the ads are pretty freaking loathsome. I guess truth in advertising does not apply to political commercials.
I think it does, based on the majority opinion.
The Montana history lesson in the majority opinion was quite something. They are clearly afraid of the power of unlimited spending on election by outside groups, and Montana history gives them clear reason to be afraid.
tell us how you really feel about him ;)
I can pretty much guess what our political ads are going to look like.
Obama is a baby killer is going to be prominent here. They used that ploy in the last two cycles.
Montanans fought long and hard to break the control of the Copper Barons and the outside interests that dominated our politics for most of our history. Of course the GOP is pissed off that the working people won that one. The state rewrote the state constitution in the 1970s and produced a pretty progressive document. For one thing, all streams belong to the state and everyone has the right to fish on all of them.
I can see it now: “You can take my flyrod when you pry it out of my cold, wet hands.”
The English language contains no words vile enough to adequately describe Newt. The man oozes sleaze from every orifice.
I am just trying to figure out what code they are going to use for “N****r! N****r! N****r!”
Believe me, that is not far from the truth out here.
ON EDIT: Huey Lewis has a place just south of here in the Bitterroot Valley and almost got run out of the state because he was trying to restrict access to a stream running through his property.
I’m sure they’ll think of something less subtle than they think it is.
“Think” is probably too strong a word to use in this context.
True, but again we find ourselves limited by the semantic presumptions of standard American English.
Maybe they’ll just use a real dog whistle…! ;-)
Why not, when their candidate is guaranteed to be a real dog? :-P
Pavlov would be proud…! ;-)
Pavlov was just another dingaling with a dog.
Mitt Romney is the Mormon Church. He will follow through on their agenda.
This is a man who straps his family dog on the fucking roof of the car for 12 hours. I’m pretty sure he’s comfortable with the term”Chattel”. And that’s a long line of Chattel, once you start unwinding it.
Pavlov thought he was in charge. I’d be interested in the dog’s version.
How can we return to what we never left?
Yes, this is a bit of sunlight! There’s a couple of states that have the moral compass to follow suite.? please say yes….
[courtesy to Greatful Dead, Jerry, N all the covers of Morning Dew]
Buh BY Newt.
Not the album version from ’67, but a good version.
Dead, Jerry, Morning Dew.
Should have included this above, my bad.
Just walk me out . . . ;-)
Whatta smear of turnips, I’d eat a turnip.
Grifthah?
Um, no.
mmmmm, Carpet Bombing! I just love the smell of Carpet Bombing in the early summer political season.
I do have a suspicion that groups like OWS will be sticking their worthy noses into the conventions.
So what does Tester have to fight back with? Recordwise, not necessarily moneywise.
Does his Blue Doggish personality give him any advantage?
Romney is toast because of the publicity over how he treated his dog. Dog lovers are very passionate (I believe we are symbiotic species). Just as there is no way any candidate but Romney will win the Republican election, there is no way now that Obama will lose in November.
Newt always manages to make himself far less than credible and cause self-implosions. At least he is consistent in that. He is now berating Obama about FOOD STAMP programs??????????? He has become GOP comic relief.