225px-Harry_Reid_official_portrait.jpgBad news for Reid and Pelosi.

Americans are extremely displeased with Congress, and there are already some signs that this could take a toll on the Democrats in the 2010 midterm elections. Currently, 37% express a favorable opinion of Congress, while 52% hold an unfavorable view. Positive opinions of Congress have declined by 13 points since April and are now at one of their lowest points in more than two decades of Pew Research Center surveys.

What’s primarily driving this discontent? It isn’t what you might think.

On the eve of the 2006 elections, the public preferred the Democrats by 10 points (44% to 34%) as the party better able to manage the government. This lead swelled to 16 points early in 2007. Today the Democrats hold a statistically insignificant 38% to 34% advantage on this question. Independents – who in recent years had viewed the Democrats as better managers – are now divided (32% Democrat vs. 29% Republican).

"Managing the government" is just another way of saying "competence." And it’s pretty difficult to make the case that the Democrats look particularly competent right now.

The GOP’s biggest gains are among independents making less than $30,000 a year (+11) and those over 65 (+12). That makes sense given the still high unemployment rate and the effective disinformation campaign conservatives waged against health care reform, which clearly has worked particularly well with seniors afraid that the government is going to take over Medicare.

The silver lining for the Democrats? They still have double-digit advantages over Republicans on health care (+19), the economy (+10), education (+25) and foreign policy (+13).

Still waiting on the poll that indicates voters want more bipartisanship.