Rumblings up on Capitol Hill: Democratic leadership is worried they might not have the votes to pass the war supplemental. The House is due to vote on the emergency $96.7 billion dollar supplemental, which would fund the war in Afghanistan and Iraq through the next year, later this week. But opposition is possible from an unlikely place, House Republicans:

Republicans might attempt to provoke a partisan fight during floor debate over the future of the 241 detainees held at the military’s detention center at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. However, Democratic leaders could thwart GOP efforts to thrust Guantanamo into the spotlight by opting for a closed rule.

The bill does not contain the $80 million needed to close Guantanamo Bay, but Republicans are disconcerted because they tried several times without success to insert language into the bill which would keep detainees from being transferred to US soil.

It could, however, just be more GOP bluster to appease the base. Obama and Gates wanted to cut the Boeing C-17 from the budget, but Barbara Boxer and Dana Rohrabacher leaped to action, and now the supplemental contains eight planes that the Defense Department didn’t order. Likewise, Gates said he didn’t need any Lockheed C-130 cargo jets, but the House added. All in all, $9 billion more in defense spending than the White House wanted.

Democratic lobbyists working on behalf of Boeing: Gephardt Group ($110,000 in 1Q 2009), Linda Daschle ($50,000), McBee Strategies ($60,000), the Podesta Group ($50,000).

Democratic lobbyists working on behalf of Lockheed: Linda Daschle ($40,000), Podesta Group ($60,000), Cassidy & Associates/Sandra Stuart ($20,000).

The chance that Republicans won’t vote for it? Almost zero.

Update: Inouye says he’ll add the $80 million to close Guantanamo in the Senate version of the bill, contingent upon the Obama administration spelling out its plans. I guess Senate Republicans have less need to grandstand for the GOP base.

Related posts:

  1. Rahm Cutting Deals To “Go Easy” On Republicans in 2010 Who Vote For Supplemental?
  2. WaPo: Supplemental Bill in Chaos (Your Calls are Working)
  3. Rahm’s Whipping on the Afghanistan War Supplemental — Will You?
  4. Obama Now Whipping Supplemental: Rahm FAIL
  5. Interview With Barney Frank: Why He’s Switching His Vote on the Supplemental