The Fed is opening up another 800 billion dollars of loans. This puts its balance sheet at about 3 trillion, supposedly (I have my doubts about that number). For reference, before the crisis, the Fed’s balance sheet was about 800 billion. In the old days this would have been called what it is: running the printing press hot. This is money made up out of midair, essentially fictional fiat money backed by nothing but the promise that at some point in the future the federal government will either tax enough to pay it all back or redefine money in such a way as to make it payable.
The fact that this is fictional money can be seen easily enough by the fact that the 7.7 trillion or so that has been burned through during the crisis has done nothing much. The real economy is still going into the dumps, big banks like Citigroup are still in trouble and no one wants to lend money to anyone but the government, since they’re the only people who can credibly promise to maybe pay it back.
When you consider that the entire Iraq war cost is running around 575 billion, that’s certainly saying something. Rest assured that if any significant part of that 7.7 trillion dollars had hit the real economy you’d have felt it. 7 trillion, or even 3 trillion, or 800 billion, is real money.
Or rather, it used to be real money. Now it’s just 0’s added to various bank accounts. If it were real money, it could be used to do things, but as it is, all it’s doing is filling a huge hole and racking up promises Americans will eventually be expected to make good on.
And the only way to make good on them will either be through inflation, massive devaluation of the dollar, huge tax increases or changing the definition of what money is so that there’s enough money to pile out from under all of this.
In the meantime, welcome to a paper money economy, where the wheelbarrows of virtual cash are trundling straight from the Fed and Treasury to the banks, to disappear into a bottomless hole.
Related posts:
- The Independence of the Fed at Risk: Watt vs. Paul-Grayson
- The Next Big Taxpayer Bailout? IMF Could Get Hundreds of Billions for European Banks
- The Song Remains The Same: Too Much Money At The Top of The Economy
- World Economy Finding a Bottom Because the Keynesians are in China
- FDL Book Salon Welcomes Barry Ritholtz – Bailout Nation: How Greed and Easy Money Corrupted Wall Street and Shook the World Economy





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How much of this problem is the result of bad home loans and how much is the result of Leverage?
i do not want to need a wheelbarrow of cash in order to buy milk. aren’t we at major risk of our money being hyper-inflated and pretty much worthless
Any idea how much this can devalue the Dollar? Do we have buyers for this kind of debt? Why isn’t interest rates going up?
Maybe we could start printing Trillion dollar bills like Zimbabwe…!
Wouldn’t taxing the rich and cutting military spending partially offset a further drop in the Dollar. Cutting Social Security in not an option for me old folks deserve what they earned.
But is there anything in the Social Security trust fund for the GOP to raid?
Devalue the Dollar more and sell the Gold in Fort Knox when the price of Gold goes up maybe I mean the Gold is just sitting there doing nothing.
Assuming we still have that gold of course.
Let’s hear it for paper interest!
So, that is a lowercase g in government as in is We the People.
Everyone’s flooding to safety, which means to the US. It’s an oddity, because any other country would have a quick run up, then a currency crash, but there are advantages to being the hegemonic power with the world’s reserve currency. A long time ago I said that we’d first have stagflation, then either deflation or hyperinflation. It’s looking like deflation. However hyperinflation is the flipside of deflation, and it can still happen down the road, depending mostly on whether other countries decide to stop the money flow. More on that in a later article.
yup, still money there, and more importantly a money flow. But I can’t see the Dems allowing any serious raid. The cover before was “you’ll make more money in the market” and that’s a laugh now.
We bought our mortgage in 05, we got a flat 6.0%. We stiss think we are ok, we can keep it going but barely.
I wonder if Hitler’s banker Bush’s grandfather? Great Grandfather gave Bush tips on how to manage an economy. Maybe Bush and the anti New Deal conservatives wanted another real world test of their ideas about Hoover’s economy.
I’m sure that Greenspan and Helicopter Ben assured them that they had learned the mistakes Hoover made during the Great Depression…and the THEY knew how to run a freemarket economy without causing another Great Depression.
Or ussing FDR/Keyne’s ideas to fix things.
FDR 1, GOP 2 failures, Obama ? still to be determined.
That laugh sums up Bush’s economic policy.
a public service announcement: any readers here who did not see Jane Hamsher on The Rachel Maddow Show tonight, please go downstairs two threads and check out the video. And then please take a moment to Digg Suzanne’s post, so we can send it into Digg orbit and get Jane some additional screentime. If you haven’t Dugg before, there’s always a first time! Just click on the Digg button and follow the directions. Thanks!
I want Bush to answer what he thinks about the freemarkets now and after the crisis is over if Obama goes FDR to fix things.
Next to who won the Iraq war I’m sure thats his second most dodged question.
Good there is still money in Social Security but the Dems had better not touch it!
If you have any questions on how to Digg someone here will answer them:)
Oh and Digg is open on this post
dugg
dugg
But, but… Victory In Iraq Day! Declared To Be November 22, 2008 They declared it already…! ;-)
bet the kennedy family does not like that date
Neither do I!!
i looked it up .. a trillion in cash in one dollar bills weighs one million tons .. if we keep printing money at this rate there won’t be a tree left on the planet .. eh ??
i feel a bit underwhelmed .. i’ve been previously complaining about the measly two-billion-bogus-bucks-a-day we’ve been printing each and every day the bush cabal has been in office ..but .. i had no idea the grand finale was going to look like this …
7.7 trillion bucks .. 7.7 trillion tons of paper ..i wonder who’s milling all that out ??
Ian and pups, back in the olden days when I was only marginally less-pissed-off than I am now, I was writing that the National Debt was going to be the National Security issue of the next decade or two.
Like here. (no it’s not blog-whoring, my activity has scaled back a bit over at DemVet). But believe it or not, a lot of people were not all that concerned about this issue back then. I’m not gonna say told you so.
Okay, I lied. Told ya so. LOL. Now how in the hell is this going to get fixed? ST. Ronnie convinced the sheeple (even from beyond the grave) that taxes are evil…and any honest politician brave enough to mention them will go straight to the ninth circle of political hell… unelect-ablility.
Jeebus, we’re fucked.
oops .. that’d be 7.7 million tons of paper .. not trilllion tons ..
how many semi’s full of paper is that ??
people gotta figure out that taxes are patriotic – i sure as hell can’t pay for a bridge to be built but my tax dollars added to other taxpayers’ share, can.
without taxes, there are no police departments, no fire departments, etc.
Simple tax the rich at 995 of all they own and give all those who make less than $250K a 50% reduction in ALL taxes, and I mean ALL taxes. Sale, property, income, social Security and every other taxes you can think up! Then the rich will give back all the stole from the rest of us!!
No police pensions…! ;-)
Simple taz the rich
Don’t Taz me, Bro…! ;-)
i’m already worried about my calpers pension ct
http://www.theodoresworld.net/….._iraq.html
So when are the troops coming home then? Someone should send this to the Gorilla Guides people as a laugh!
Is this a new GOP talking point I hope so I want you tubes of Very Serious People like Cokie and George Will saying this with a straight face.
Talk about Material our front pagers will have a field day:)
Sorry, how true…! :-(
Aw shut CT, up I guess I am tired tonight- my fingers are not doing as they are told… some sort of a disconnect I would say… Should have been TAX @ 99%’And if you aren’t Good CT I will Taze you via the TOOBZ!!! so watch out.
late late nite upstairs
Well, lets Hope™ the crapitalists get skunked.
http://ihasahotdog.files.wordp…..-pwned.jpg
Heh, this clued me in right quick…
Everybody was told to have a financial company and an automaker a US one in their funds to be diversified. Those end of the year statements people get will cause a lot of hard core GOPers to flip.
Tweety and the MSM in a lot of cases already have.
Then that might be a trial balloon GOP talking point! I sure hope they use it.
Ask the people of New Orleans and the Gulf Coast who suffered through Katrina if they think government is valuable. They still voted for McCain.
Apparently some people just don’t think, even when reality is slapping them in the face.
Going back to another Welch post, I wondered if moving from gold to cash was wise. Earlier I had said we should look for the dollar to turn up before moving out of gold. Apparently that happened some time ago. Question now, after the Dow has dropped so far is whether it’s good to go back into the stock market. I suggested some time ago that one might selectively do that since there were a lot of non-financials which had been pushed down beyond reason. Now that the economy is tanking it’s hard to say how safe that is. The dollar seems best for gains and flexibility and speculators might find a good stock play. I really don’t see Treasuries as good since they’re fixed and low-yielding.
A raw play would be buying foreclosed real estate if you’re in to that sort of thing. A friend of mine is considering it, but he’s a neophyte so I don’t know whether to tell him to go for it or not.
Looking for gold nuggets in a lightning storm is risky and not likely to pay off.
Boy, if we could only bet, er invest, in the Obama administration.
At this point what does it matter what the Bush administration does. They’ve pushed us into crazy land and pushing further is still crazy land. It’s only a question of whether sane governance will restore sanity and order. For that we have to wait and see if plans to fix mortgages pan out.
I really liked the post about “January 1, 2009″.
If we just prevent gays from marrying, all this will solve itself!
Hey, at least this garbage didn’t happen in 2007. Mr. Obama is on the case, seriously. I’m actually not as worried about it as others.
President Obama is really the president now, even though no one in the mainstream will say it.
Only one other comment about Panditt, CEO of Citibank, on Charlie Rose tonight. When he said that they could not have forseen the financial crisis as their Risk Management Model stress test did not forcast such a housing decline. Such audacity astounds me! Are bankers are only reading internal reports? Academic economists such as Dr. Andrew Lo of MIT have been sounding this alarm since 2004-5 and even went so far as to send a KISS report to Treasury and presented this evidence to bankers (who ignored it – well actually just thought it was not interesting). Dr. Lo also recently testified to Congress (on CSPAN – if anyone wants to see it). So now Paulsen is also going to bail out banks again when all those credit card defaults start happening next year. So if anyone considered that they would be getting a check in the mail…don’t hold your breathe, all the money is going to banks and businesses, we just get to pay the bills!
Don’t know if anyone cares to be more upset…but I highly recommend the website ProPublica. If you haven’t checked it out…be sure an take your blood pressure medicine (or a stiff drink) first,
We don’t.. it was sold.
Repeat after me: ‘liquidity trap.’ The money is simply piling up under the banks’ equivalent of a mattress, and it won’t come out until the economy starts turning around. The tricky part of this operation will occur when that happens,as the Fed will then have to make the extremely delicate decision to reverse the money pump by selling the securities and other assets it has acquired in exchange for the money it printed. This will raise interest rates in the early phase of a recovery. If the Fed doesn’t do that, we run the risk of an asset inflation, which will make people feel good for a while, just like a nice shot of heroin, but will eventually trigger the Great Inflation.
There are no good outcomes to the mess Greenspan got us into. None. Except, maybe, universal health care.
The best opinion I’ve seen regarding whether a Social Security Trust Fund exists and whether it has been raided is in an article by Dean Baker in online Truthout dated 16 June 2006 (link below).
The big scare about this was pumped up by GW Bush in trying to get his Soc Sec privatization accepted. Excerpt: “….The logic is simple; if the public is convinced that the Social Security program can’t be sustained then there is no alternative to privatization.
For example, last year (2005) President Bush visited the site where the bonds (Treasury) are stored and announced that these bonds were “just sheets of paper.”
I read about Bush’s statement at the time and can’t believe now that I believed him! Every statement from him has been a monstrous lie to ramp up fear in order to scare the public (and congress) into furthering his mad schemes.
http://www.truthout.org/articl…..trust-fund
Hey! Don’t forget the three-legged stool. You still have the base of your retirement in Social Security. The other two legs are retirement plans and personal savings.
As I have pointed out for nearly 40 years, after the hyperinflation in Germany in 1922 destroyed the German social security system, the very first think the new German government did was to rebuild the system and guarantee that no one who had previously been covered lost their coverage.
Social Security is not intended to make anyone rich. It protects us all from the downturns in capitalist societies. Which is why it is mandatory and its funding is based on taxes instead of investment income.
Think some enterprising bank would take the opposite side and sell CDSs?
What I forgot to point out above was that the reason the German government’s first priority was to rebuild the social security system was that was that the government would have fallen had it not made that its first effort.
That political reaction is the essential protection of the social security system.
NOT ACTUAL MONEY IN THE SOCIAL SECURITY TRUST FUND ; MORE LIKE IOU’s (Treasury Notes as I understand it.)