Late yesterday the DCCC contacted their friends, supporters and… me to tell us that Democrats had just been certified winners in two more seats, MD-01, where Blue Dog Frank Kratovil beat a lunatic fringe wingnut, and VA-05, where Blue America candidate Tom Perriello came from behind and won a slim, hard fought, grassroots victory against one of Congress’ worst members, corrupt bigot Virgil Goode, a former conservative "Democrat," not unlike Mr. Kratovil, who eventually, after voting with the GOP for years, crossed over to the Dark Side.
Today we’re going to top the DCCC big time with another visit by one of our Progressive Majority friends, Dean Nielsen. On Wednesday I blogged about how our two Blue America guests, Matt Patten (D-OH) and Fred Clark (D-WI) had each won their uphill election battle and had each been part of turning their state legislature from red to blue. Today Dean is going to talk with us about why this is crucially important to the Democratic Party and for the progressive movement within the Democratic Party.
Dean begins his Blue America report for us here:
The message couldn’t be any clearer: voters wanted progressive change. They elected a new president. They put Democrats solidly in control of the Congress. And, they elected at least 84 great Progressive Majority candidates to state and local office! We expect that number to increase as votes continue to be counted.
The state and local champions Progressive Majority helped elect Tuesday will ring in a new era of leadership committed to our progressive values– and they will be a formidable ground force to enact the change we need.
Progressive Majority is the only national organization focused solely on recruiting and electing progressive majorities at the state and local levels. As the premier candidate recruitment operation for the progressive Democratic movement, we paved the way for many of Tuesday’s victories. We took control of the Wisconsin Assembly and the Ohio House of Representatives. We elected a veto-proof super-majority in the Washington State House. We increased our ranks in the Minnesota State House, Arizona Legislature and California Assembly, held onto Democratic majorities in the Colorado and Pennsylvania Houses, and we flipped control of at least six local governments.
While many races are still too close to call, we’re thrilled with these key victories. In all, we put progressive Democrats in control in six of the eight states we’re in! We made gains in every state where we work. We showed that progressives can win in the toughest districts in the toughest states in the country.
In a year when pundits predicted Democrats could only gain control of a few new state legislatures, Progressive Majority was key to winning two: Wisconsin and Ohio.
Wisconsin was decidedly a "toss up" state right up until Election Day. Yet, we out-organized our opponents and helped 13 Progressive Majority candidates score stunning victories to take control of the Wisconsin Assembly. This victory was the culmination of Progressive Majority’s five-year strategy to take control of both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature and put Democrats in control of redistricting.
This included Fred Clark, who was featured on Blue America in October. You can see all the Wisconsin results here.
Progressive Majority emerged victorious in Ohio, another "toss up" state where the state races were overshadowed by the national elections. A remarkable seven, and possibly eight, of our candidates won and secured the Democratic takeover of the state House of Representatives.
This included Matt Patten, who was featured on Blue America in October. And here are all the Ohio results.
So far, 84 Progressive Majority candidates in our eight states have won outright a handful are in races still too close to call. You can see all the Progressive Majority results from Tuesday at the link.
We continue to elect majorities where they matter most– school boards and city councils, mayoral positions and statehouses. In just five short years, Progressive Majority has helped flip control of six state legislatures, 36 local governments and three statewide positions, and we’ve helped put more than 350 progressives in office.
But our work is far from finished. We can count on conservatives to retreat, regroup, and then come back swinging. We can’t let our guard down for a moment. That’s why we’re already focused on recruiting, training and electing the progressive leaders of 2009, 2010, 2011 and beyond.
So as we all celebrate the stunning victory of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and we look forward to the possibilities of a Democratic Congress, we must remember that the progressive movement is not a top down one. It begins at the grassroots, the state and local offices where political careers are born and where decisions are made that affect voters’ quality of life. Progressives took a big step forward on Tuesday. Progressive Majority aims to carry that momentum into every state and local office across the nation, and build a lasting progressive movement that will survive and grow beyond the next four years, beyond the next eight years, into a rock-solid foundation from which the next generation of national progressive leaders will emerge.




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congratulations on Blue America results, Howie
Hi, Dean Nielsen, Regional Director of Progressive Majority, here and waiting your questions!
Hey Dean! Great job you guys did. I’m guessing that your successes will have a lot to do with drawing the congressional districts in 2010. Is that right?
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Blue America! w00t!
I’d really like to thank the entire FDL community for featuring our candidates in the last two Blue America chats. The candidates really got a nice boost for their campaigns from the readership.
We’re very excited to have swung two house chambers. In fact, of the five legislative chambers that switched control from Republican to Democrat, two were in Progressive Majority states – WI Assembly and OH House.
And this change included strong support from the netroots, so thanks again to the entire community.
And congratulations on Progressive Majority results, Dean. Thanks for being here.
Yes, particularly in Wisconsin. WI redistricting is controlled entirely by the two legislative houses and the Governor. Now Democrats control all three.
Ohio has a more complicated system, however, the gains in the State House will be critical as redistricting is coming.
what happened in the new york state senate races, and was Progressive Majority involved? (I had heard that Democrats needed 2 additional seats for a majority)
It didn’t bring me any great joy to see so many Blue Dogs, DLC conservatives and anti-choice Democrats elected. I’m especially excited to see the way you guys are building a strong bench for future congressional races.
NATE from 538 says he thinks stevens is gonna lose
if so, good times
New York State Senate did swing, one of the few other chambers. We do not have a NY office yet — currently, we are in (from West to East), Washington, California, Colorado, Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
Hi Dean,
Why is Progressive Majority’s work important to moving the country in a more progressive direction? And what kinds of things can people do who want to get involved?
To date, Progressive Majority has elected (at least) 326 people to state and local office. What they choose to do in the future is up to them, however, over half of the newly elected 111th Congress started out at the state legislative level. Countless others were other local elected officials.
sorry about your loss, Ms. Burner. but thanks for your effort.
But. But. But. I thought the US was a center-right country?
At least that’s what the Pundits and TradMed and John Boehner and all the Rs keep telling me.
Surely, they wouldn’t LIE to me would they?
But. But. But. How could a center-right country elect as its president the most liberal member of the U.S. Senate (according to John McCain)?
Thank you for all of your fighting to unseat Reichert.
Were there any ir-regularities (other than the outright lies in the local TradMed) that affected the outcome?
Hello Darcy – sorry about the outcome – what next for you?
Thank you. I left it all on the road – as did the many thousands of people who helped. I am saddened by the outcome. But this is a long movement, and I’m sure I’ll find some way to be useful.
Progressive Majority’s work is critically important for several reasons.
First, as Howie suggested, we help build the bench of progressives who can move up to higher offices.
Second, the work of these local governments – from school boards, to city councils, to county commissions, to state legislatures, is critically important. Want progressive education policy? Look to the states. Want to try to cover more uninsured? Look to the states. Want to expand civil rights? Look to the states.
The states (and localities) then become the laboratory for progressive policies, that we can trickle up to the federal level.
Please come to California and repair our broken political system. In this second-in-a-row historic wave election, it looks like only one congressional seat may flip (CA-04). And our Assembly and State Senate seem to be completely stuck. Any ideas how to get started?
Well, in the immediate term, I promised Henry I’d take him for the noon tour of the Theo Chocolate factory. So I’m off for now.
As to longer than the next couple of hours, I’m working on it!
Thanks for your incredible effort. Your loss was one of the downers of this election.
Glad you could make it today Darcy. Congratulations of a race well run. I hope we’ll be in an on-going conversation about how we can work together to keep pushing the movement forward.
And to answer the second part Darcy, we need all of you to do several things. First, if you’ve ever signed a petition, called your member of congress, worked on a campaign, we need you to consider stepping up and running yourself. There is no government too big or too small that doesn’t need new voices at the table.
Second, if you’re not able to do that, help us by adopting local candidates in key races. Most of our races don’t have consultants, or even paid campaign managers. They rely on grassroots progressives to get them elected.
And thanks for everything you’ve done to help Progressive Majority, Darcy. You’ve been amazing.
We do have a California office. We’ve been working to elect candidates to down ballot races to get them in position to run for the Assembly, so we can stop the Governor’s veto pen.
California Legislature is very difficult, because how the seats have been gerrymandered and the expense that’s involved.
Our core program involves recruiting candidates, and that’s what we’ve been doing, from the San Diego School Board, to small municipalities in places like Orange County and Riverside …
Dean, once your candidates get into the legislature– for example– how much work do you continue doing with them?
Mr. Nielsen, There is a discussion going on at DKos about a rumored plan first reported here to lay off the core organizers who have been working on the 50-state strategy at the DNC. A commenter over there has confirmed that an organizer he knows has been given notice. What do you think the impact would be on your efforts, and those of progressives generally, if that turns out to be true?
Good question, Howie. A number we immediately target for promotion, depending on the local dynamics of their district.
A good example is Derek Kilmer, who we helped in 2004 win a swing seat in the Washington State House. Shortly after, I was urging him to run for the State Senate; he and his wife ultimately made the decision to “go for it” and we proudly stood by him. He was subsequently elected to the Senate, becoming the first candidate to move up the pipeline in our system.
Susan,
I’m very proud of the way that the Democratic party chose to expand the playing field. I’ve worked on elections of one sort or another since 1992, and it’s very exciting to have seats in play that never would have been before. A good part of the credit can go to Howard Dean, and his awakening of the Democratic party that started in 2003.
As far as how this would play out “on the ground,” I am sure the dynamics would be different in each state. Some states have strong progressive infrastructure present and some of those groups can fill the gap. However, in other states, the Democratic party is the strongest (or only) player at the table.
Sounds like the Charlie Brown vote count could take several more days to complete. That would be such a sweet victory.
And major shenanigans in the vote count in Alaska. Hope we are keeping an eye on that process.
Also, Susan and Howie, to further answer your question, Progressive Majority originally started as exclusively a federal PAC and only expanded to state and local races after we weren’t satisfied by either the number of progressives running, or the number of seats in play.
We looked at how the conservatives not only took control of America, but also how they took control of the Republican party. The answer is simple: go local.
And the Republicans totally get it. This was in the Denver paper the day after the election:
“This is like getting swept in the World Series. What good teams do is they go back and build the bench. You go back to square one,” said Sean Duffy, a senior aide to former Republican Gov. Bill Owens. “You find inspirational candidates starting at the county commissioner level, and you make the fight about ideas.”
I just spent the last 30 minutes on a conference call with Todd, Charlie Brown’s manager. That race looks extremely good with many of the uncounted ballots in areas that support Charlie. That’s what happened in Oregon and in the end, that race ended with Merkley up about 4%, not even very close.
Dean, hi and welcome. is it possible to collaborate your organization with other similarly monded organization. Credo, Sierra Club and others worked effectovely to support the Dems ticket nationally? It is obvoius that the bootd on the ground for Obama and his 10 million e-mail list won money and votes for him. With the 50 ststes strategy that would make a historically strong progressive movement to educate voters why a progressive agenda will make a better environment for all interests globally,nationalt and locally.
Have there been situations where your candidates went on to win and then compromised the ideals Progressive Majority stands for? Or times when they were going to and you influenced them to stay true blue?
I wonder if I’ll EVER get over the overwhelming emotions that I’m going through every time I think about what happened last Tuesday. I still need to pinch myself when I think of 1/20/09 and an Obama White House!
At least I’ve managed to stop crying.
Well, legally, Progressive Majority these days only supports candidates for state and local office. However, we do work in collaboration with many other groups to help us recruit and develop candidates.
Each state has an in-state advisory council comprised of the key progressive players, such as the Sierra Club Chapter, labor unions, and others, to help us with our work. One of our core values is to be highly collaborative — we don’t believe we can achieve the results we need otherwise!
Congratulations Howie!! and pups!!
What happened with Vic Wulsin’s race? Why was she defeated? I have heard a theories, but want your input on that.
And what happened in Florida? the races against the diaz-balarts (sp?)
And remember the ‘Impeach Cheney’ hat you sent to me? well, it brought a lot of joy and merriment in butler county ohio…a while back I gave it to my mom and dad’s 84 yr old neighbor who has had anti-bush things on his mini-van for years….in Boehner country…he wore that hat EVERYWHERE, even to the country club, surrounded by butler county republicans. He died in his sleep a few nights ago, we’re glad he got to see a Dem elected PRESIDENT again. a good man. outspoken dem.
(I can’t believe hamilton county (Cincinnati) in ohio went blue AND I can’t believe Steve Chabot was defeated in Cincinnati.)
Howie,
Accountability is very important for any movement!
I would say that our screening system has generally worked so far. Each and every year, we have discovered candidates in our vetting process who weren’t true progressives, and have removed them from consideration.
What we aim for is trying to understand their underlying belief system, rather than testing them on every possible issue that can come up (an nearly impossible thing to do!). What we find is that if you find genuine movement progressives, and get them to run for office, is that you’ll be a lot better off in the first place.
and the link at the top that says “all the ohio results”
debbie phillips’ race hasn’t been called officially yet.
OH-02 was a three-way race and it screwed up everything. Also the media was very helpful in getting Mean Jean’s message out that Vic was doing some kind of Frankenstein experiments on live perople or something like that.
As for Florida, Debbie Wasserman Schultz is responsible for re-electing her 3 Republican friends, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen and the Diaz-Balarts. I guess that’s why the Democrats think she should be the new DCCC chair.
To continue on accountability, we have run candidates against conservative Democrats. However, we believe that the first step toward a progressive majority is a Democratic majority. Thus, we balance both of those goals in our recruitment of candidates, however, will NEVER compromise on any of our values.
There are two races in Ohio that haven’t been called yet, right?
Progressive Majority candidates are up by 40 and 170 votes respectively (Marian Harris, who would be Cliff Schecter’s state rep and Debbie Phillips from the Athens area, which is Ohio University).
While the Phillips race in Ohio has not been officially called yet,we expect her 170-vote lead will widen once 2,000 provisional and absentee ballots are counted in Athens County.
Some observations about Iowa: we have a state party, which was active in a lot of places, but moribund in others. The O campaign took it over–”combined”–and tried to integrate it with Obama’s campaign. The net result has been less than desirable. Obama got elected, but down-ticket congressional and state candidates didn’t, and were given short shrift by the campaign.
The GOTV operation was a grandiose plan that relied on local party people to staff it. Our numbers did not magically grow because there were slots to fill, and the net result was less GOTV, not more, in areas I am familiar with. Greenwald made the mistake of depending on the Obama campaign for GOTV. Hubler did some of his own, and did better in the precincts where he did. My local legislative candidate did his own and won. GOTV on election day was hampered by the collapse of their phone reporting system in the morning.
I say this not to be negative, but because I believe in grassroots efforts, I do not think the DCCC pays any attention to rural areas, and I do not believe we can learn from elections unless we study them. I keep reading how completely wonderful the Obama campaign’s ground game was, and my experience does not support that. I am not alone in this view.
We need the 50 state strategy, whether it’s the DNC or Progressive Majority, or whoever that puts organizers on the ground.
Marian Harris is in a very tight race. I’m very excited about her candidacy, she’s a true grassroots activist (and Howard Dean supporter) who accepted the call to run! I have my fingers (and toes) crossed on this one.
I’ve heard this from all over the country
thanks, that’s what i heard, and wanted you to be the one to remind people about debbie.
the other races @ 45-can only directly speak for the phillips race, haven’t heard the other one called, do you remember the name or district? if so, i’ll look it up.
i know that is what is expected, but it isn’t called yet. big debate here about how it will turnout.
Certainly, something happened at the end of the campaign that’s going to require more analysis.
We are already seeing strong evidence that the Republican base was energized late in the campaign. This clearly happened to our local candidates in MN after the Michelle Bachmann incident — we ultimately went 10 of 27 in MN, which has been a very strong state for us.
In absentee ballot states where you have some gage of ballot return, all of our numbers are dropping with the late vote. This will cost us some races in WA and in AZ that we probably should have won otherwise.
Now, if the cause was a late shift to the GOP, the “72 hour program,” our combined turnout operation, or some other factor, really remains to be seen.
Marian Harris is the other close race in Ohio. She’s in a Columbus area seat.
Dean, some of us are looking for star quality state legislators who want to run in primaries against the worst and most treacherous of the reactionary Democratic members of Congress, the Dan Borens and Heath Shulers and Chris Carneys. I’m guessing that most of the Progressive Majority state reps are in legislative districts represented by progressive or decent members of Congress. Are there any exceptions that come to mind? I was thrilled to see treacherous right-wing Dems Nick Lampson, Tim Mahoney and Don Cazayoux lose their seats but I’m disappointed they lost to Republicans instead of to progressives. We need good candidates to run against a creep like Melissa Bean (IL)… maybe even Zach Space (OH) if he doesn’t straighten out now that he’s gotten over the freshman hump.
If this is off topic, I apologize, but I am wondering whether another campaign for a grassroots-sponsored DNC chair is needed. I was one of the local precinct people who wrote to the Iowa Party and said for God’s sake pick Howard Dean. If Dean wants to move on, I couldn’t blame him, especially with Rahm in the WH. But if there is someone who shares his point of view who wants to run, we should get behind him/her.
If you are hearing the same story from all over the country, then the Myth of the Omnipotent Campaign needs to be dispelled, and we need to get back to work. I can see the need in Iowa for help with grassroots organizing, and I know that Hubler, for one, would be an enthusiastic supporter. It will be easy to lose the momentum in CD 5 if we dither.
Progressive Majority targets the swing areas of all of our states. Therefore, some of our electeds are represented by progressives in Congress, while some are in conservative-held seats.
I’m sure one day we will see Progressive Majority candidates elected to governorships, and, who knows, perhaps even the highest office in the land!
From the Progressive Majority perspective, strong leadership at the party at all levels – local, state and national – goes a long way to help us run a strong program.
While we do disagree (sometimes profoundly) with decisions of the Democratic Party, they are a key part of our work.
Welcome Dean, congratulations and thanks for being here. We really appreciate what you do and look forward to working with you guys in the future to support your candidates and help give them a bigger platform.
Also, thanks to Darcy for being here today. It was a really hard fight and you did amazing things along the way. I hope you run again, we’ll still be here for you.
Also, if you are interested in our work, I’d encourage you to visit our website and sign up for our email list by clicking here:
http://www.progressivemajority.org/
and become a member, by clicking here:
https://secure.grassroots.com/progressivemajority/
We are very much a people-powered organization that relies on your support.
Thanks Jane!
I know you’ve met with our President, Gloria Totten, and Beth Broderick, who serves on our board. Perhaps we can meet in person someday.
Dean
Agree, but I don’t think there is one Democratic Party in reality. The party is more like a bunch of moving parts that sometimes function as one. DNC, DLC, DCCC, DSCC, state parties, candidate and interest group factions, PACs. They didn’t come together until Obama was the nominee and we were all trying to get him elected in addition to whatever else we were doing.
uncalled winner harris’ opponent lewis is within 40 votes, the franklin county site page says unofficial results for everything, so, all unofficial.
http://vote.franklincountyohio.gov/
our commisioners’ primary race was decided by a coin flip.
========
dean and howie, what can be done about dead horse democratic party leaders that are inhibiting participation from democrats in their counties?
Yes, Marian Harris’ race is too close to call.
In most areas, Democratic party leaders are elected through a vote of party leaders. I would enourage anyone who is interested in strong leadership at your local party to research the rules to how this process takes place. Progressives must stand up and run, not just for elected office, but for other leadership positions.
In most areas, the reorganizations begin immediately after the elections, and go through January, however, this can e on a different timeline depending on where you live.
Large chunks of voters are not avid readers. The repugs have successfully appealed to them. Have you studied the groups that buy into the myths. How can so many people have supported unecessary war? How do we reeducate those that have bought into the neocan republican values and the coming more centrist message they will be forced to put out? Americans are under educated and that plays to the R’s message. We need to coopt that and buy a fair dhare of the media.
i was neutral in this, but am now gathering weapons, this is part of why i ask, part of what i have found out in the last month.
where i am, the current leader plays dirty if you go up against her. behind the back dirty.
has kept people from running for office, and sabotaged those she didn’t ‘like’ if they pursued it.
caused problems with the ‘outsiders’ running the national campaign here, and then blamed them for the problems.
it’ll be interesting to see what happens, because now the state and national people are aware first-hand of what she is causing here.
just wondered what others have done in their areas to get rid of bad leadership holding people hostage.
‘you are only as strong as your weakest link’ if this weren’t a strong dem area already, we’d be sunk.
Of that I have no doubt.
Much love, Darcy.
my wallet will be ready again when you do .
Well, we seem to be slowing down.
Thanks Howie, Jane, Egregious and the entire FDL community who stopped by! A particular shoutout to Darcy Burner for stopping by today. I am proud to have personally supported her since day one.
For more information about what we do, feel free to stop by our website, http://www.progressivemajority.org/
and sign up for our email list to get more information and updates.
I look forward to working with you for a Blue America in 2009. Our first election is in February, so, no rest for the weary!
thanks dean and howie!
Thanks for stopping by. I just signed up for your email list. And thanks for your work.
on fox right now–
ohio’s very own gop demon at it again, maybe running for governor, ducked the question.
john kasich
rechargeohio.com
keep an eye on them.
thank you, and best of luck!
More on the Alaska race.
I actually toiled through the actual data spread sheets for the different Alaska districts and State Assembly areas.
In the walk-up vote count Begich leads in the following:
District 1 [ Area 2 (58%), 3 (71.5%), 4 (61%), 5 (58%), 35 (53%), 36 (56%)];
District II [ 18 (54%), 19 (52%) 20 (56%), 21 (52%), 22 (59%), 23 (61.5%), 25 (56%), 26 (54%), and tied in 24 and 29];
District III [ Area 8 (57%) and tied in 6,7,9.10]; District IV [37 (52%), 38 (68%), 39 (60.5%) and 40 (61%)].
Historically several of these are traditional red areas -of course Stevens won his previous Senatorial race with 70% of the vote…approaching 100% in some areas. So Begich has made major in-roads.
Stevens is ahead in the election day walk-up vote in the following:
District I [Area 1 (56%), 33 (61%) 34 (63%)
District II [17 (58%); 27 (54.5%), 28 (56.3%), 30 (53%), 31 (57.6%), 32 (53%)]
Mat-Su 13-16 averaging 63.5%
District III [11 (63%), 12 (57%);
Some of the early ballots have been counted and this is where the real advantage goes to Begich. Begich is polling between +5% to + 18% better than his walk-up polls, with no counted precinct showing a lower number than his election day numbers.
In District I only two precincts (3,4) had some early ballots counted and these were 77% (+6% over election day), and 70% (+9%) for Begich. And the “unrecorded” pro-Begich districts out-number the Stevens areas.
Although he badly lost on election day in this area, Begich’s Mat-Su numbers showed an average of +7% for early voting [41-45% in this heavily Republican district]. So even though he never gains a majority there he cuts into Steven’s substantial leads in the walk-up election day votes.
District II precincts were about 12% higher for early votes than his walk-up numbers (with all above 51% and averaging about 63%).
District III his early voting numbers (61%) were averaging almost 14% higher than his walk-up vote averages.
In District IV only one set of early voting number was available. Area 4 showed Begich with a 64%-36% advantage over Stevens. That was about 4% higher than his walk-up vote % on election day.
Given the above, if the pattern continues for early voting/absentee Begich should win easily…unless some bias is present in the “problem votes” towards Stevens.
I suspect that the same will be true with the Don Edwards-Berkowitz race as well.
Some Dancin’ In the Streets upstairs