Last week, AFT-COPE announced the launch of battleground ads, including in WV, but I had not heard one on my local radio until this morning. I like it — listen and see what you think.

Obama seems to be having a last-minute surge in the Mountain State.  At least if my most recent conversations with undecided or "formerly leaning McCain but not any longer" folks are an indication.  

But will Obama close the gap?

Obama had his best month in donations ever from WV last month.  My unscientific "drive around town" viewing of increasingly more yard signs, bumper stickers, and homemade notes taped to people’s car windows indicates more public Obama support of late. 

Most likely, it’s pull from the national trend toward Obama. Everyone likes a winner, and Obama sure seems like he’ll be one.  Folks here are more comfortable with Obama and Biden after feeling ignored by the lack of primary campaigning here.  Biden held a rally here last Friday which was enthusiastically attended.  And early voting has been busy here (absent more machine vote flipping, anyway) for Dem GOTV efforts.

Moreover, folks are disgusted with McCain/Palin.  Even NASCAR fans.  Familiarity is breeding contempt.

The Washington Times, of all places, had an article recently interviewing folks in Barrackville, WV — a town I know too well from my prosecutor days.  Here’s a sampling:

Seven October polls of West Virginia voters average out to a single-digit lead for Mr. McCain, with most showing the Republican in the lead, one showing the men tied and another putting the Democrat ahead. President Bush won the state by 13 percentage points in 2004….

Rose Munro, a single mother who frequently must choose between buying groceries and paying the electricity bill, at first didn’t want to hear any political talk….

But Miss Munro said, "The Republicans have done nothing. … If I had to choose, it would be Obama even though I’m not too thrilled with either one of their campaigns."

Ruth Marcus finds similar folks in Mingo and Jackson counties, all breaking down along economic and internet rumor-mongering ignorance lines mostly.  The common thread among these articles and my conversations is scant enthusiasm for McCain, even among "supporters" it’s tepid.  McCain fails to inspire, he offers continuity of failure at a time when people desperately want change.  

No one wants to continue getting screwed. It’s that simple.

Can Obama close the deal here and elsewhere with blue collar voters?  We’re about to find out, although as this WV public radio piece shows, it’s by no means a sure thing.  Here in WV, I feel a squeaker coming on…in the meantime, let’s all get to work