This Looks Good

Better than polls:

TO: Interested Parties
FR: Jon Carson, Obama-Biden Campaign Field Director
RE: State of the early vote
DA: October 24, 2008


    

According to information from Secretaries of State from all over the country, Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004 and new and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans.

Below is the data on early voting I provided on the conference call earlier this afternoon.

Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004:

North Carolina – 2008 to date

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

520,064

56%

REP

254,515

27%

UNA

155,476

17%

North Carolina – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

479,305

48%

REP

363,294

37%

UNA

149,632

15%

Nevada – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

107,122

53%

Repub

63,577

32%

Other

30,938

15%

Total

201,637

 

Nevada – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

147,408

45%

REP

135,743

41%

OTHER

45,211

14%

Iowa – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

132,882

50%

Repub

76,689

29%

Other

53,787

20%

   

 

Iowa – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

185,115

48%

Repub

118,167

30%

Other

86,071

22%

   

 

New Mexico – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

84,123

56%

Repub

49,145

33%

Other

16,484

11%

   

 

New Mexico – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

178,216

50%

Repub

132,505

38%

Other

42,461

12%

   

 

Colorado – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

184,352

39%

Repub

181,424

38%

Other

110,284

23%

   

 

Colorado – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

307,244

34%

Repub

384,642

42%

Other

221,336

24%

Florida – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

650,363

43%

Repub

651,700

43%

Other

225,980

14%

   

 

Florida – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

1,056,986

42%

Repub

1,097,616

43%

Other

386,367

15%