It’s been called America’s original sin, slavery, and the racism which flows in an endless bloody river from it. It stains everything in America, a scar that has never healed, from which that blood still flows. It’s what no one really wanted to talk about during the primary, when Obama was making history, when Democrats saw a chance to redeem that blood; a chance to scream their defiance against the original sin, to claim that even if it still scarred the land, ’twas healed enough that the nation could be led by a black man.

It is a present, a future, that we all want. A vision of a land where the highest can come from amongst those pounded into the dust for centuries. From oppression, lynching, slavery can come a new America symbolized by one man’s ascension to the highest office, not just in the country, but the world.

And that dream still sings in Obama’s candidacy. Win the White House, and if certain wounds will not be healed, certain wrongs not redeemed, then at least the present will be different than the past, and better, for the past could not have conceived of a black as President.

But seeing a better world, reaching for a better world is not the same as grasping it. Upon this great dream rests a great deal, for if the dream fails then possibly the most evil and incompetent regime to rule the United States will keep the White House. The failure to elect Barack Obama the US’s first black president is not just a repudiation of a new, less racist America, it may well lead to widespread deaths, economic disaster and war.

The tension is the one that all attempts at great change face—between pragmatism and the dream of a better world. Because, as the New York Times now admits what was once unspeakable: maybe Obama isn’t crushing McCain despite being the better candidate in almost every respect, despite Republicans being less popular than herpes, because, well, he’s black.

And those of us who loved the dream but thought it was at dangerous odds with reality, those who were told during the primaries that of course Obama’s race didn’t mean he might have trouble winning, we wince. No one wants to be the one who says "the time for the dream is not yet" and indeed, we may be wrong. We probably are wrong. But those who said that being black wasn’t a huge disadvantage in a general election, well, they were most certainly wrong.

Obama, choosing a black man, was and is a gamble. It has made it much harder to win the election. The idea that "no American who’s racist would ever vote for a Democrat" was and is simply wrong. While perhaps only 5% are willing to admit that they wouldn’t vote for blacks, and 19% think others wouldn’t, what I always remember is what finally convinced me, as a conservative, to support affirmative action. (And really, if you think racism is so widespread that affirmative action is required and yet think that racism will not be a major effect on the election then allow me to suggest you are suffering from a certain amount of cognitive dissonance.)

What convinced me, back when I was a conservative, was a study that showed that whites with an identical resume to blacks received 50% more interview requests than those blacks in Boston and Chicago. 1/3rd of American bosses and hr drones (i.e., the middle and upper class, not the lower) won’t hire blacks, but they’ll vote for one for the most important job in the country?

It boggles the mind.

As with everything else social, this is a weighing of the scale, a thumb on one side. Two-thirds did get the interviews, after all. Polls show Obama slightly ahead (though far behind "generic democrat"). Enough Americans will vote for a black man.

But a lot won’t, no matter what they say. The thumb is on the other side of the scale and to be part of the reality based community means to recognize that dreams are not reality. We work to make them real, that’s what makes us progressives, but recognize the real situation on the ground at the same time.

And the situation is that the racism charge which worked against Clinton (I make no claims about whether fairly or not, that partisan battle should be past) has not worked against McCain. Indeed when the charge was made, more people believed Obama was racist than McCain.

Racism, if you’re not a Democrat who’s race conscious, is when someone tries to call someone racist. A lot of Americans may be racist, but they don’t like being called racist, just like only 5% of them say they wouldn’t vote for a black man.

And just like 1/3 of bosses won’t give blacks a shot at a job.

That’s race in America, you can’t talk about it frankly, you can’t really admit just how widespread it is, and somehow at the end of the day blacks don’t get the job, get paid less and get less votes.

So now that we’re out of the primary, let’s just admit it. A black man’s at a disadvantage.

That doesn’t mean he shouldn’t be president. In fact, it’s one reason why he should be. The dream is a great dream, one worth fighting for. But it’s going to be a fight, and those who have pretended that Obama’s race didn’t matter have done neither him nor the Democratic party any favors.

Because, as the last 7 years have taught us, it’s really much better to live in reality than to try and make your own reality.

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