Oh, woe is Howard Wolfson, wronged political strategist who bears no responsibility for electoral loss?

"I believe we would have won Iowa and Clinton today would therefore have been the nominee."

That’s your explanation for the primary loss for a campaign that you helmed?  If it weren’t for those meddling kids or the media not digging into the sordid nuggets of the Edwards hanky panky that were strewn carefully along their path by folks like…Howard Wolfson? Puhleese.

And then fairies ate your pants. Why does this round of political sour grapes du jour sound like the Joe Lieberman "evildoers crashed my website" malarky?

I can appreciate a game of "pass the failure buck" as much as the next gal, but this really stretches the credibility line according to the math:

The thing about Iowa, however, is that unlike virtually any other electoral contest, second choices matter, since Democratic caucus rules dictate that a voter may caucus for her second-choice candidate if her first choice does not achieve the 15 percent of the vote required for viability. As such, Iowa pollsters did a lot of work in trying to determine voters’ second choices. And in virtually every survey, Clinton did rather poorly as a second choice: an average of several surveys in December showed that she was the second choice of about 20 percent of voters, as compared with 25 percent for Obama and Edwards (an even later version I have sitting on my hard drive showed the second-choice breakdown as Edwards 30, Obama 28.5, Clinton 23.5) 

So the odds are that, if John Edwards had dropped out on the morning before the Iowa caucus, Obama would have won by more points rather than fewer.

Oh, Howard, go back to your pals at Faux News. Your disinformation slip is showing.

And take Mark Penn with you, while you are at it. I suppose it’s a mere coincidence that the very advice Penn gave the Clinton camp on how to destroy Obama during the primary somehow made it’s way into the hands of McCain’s campaign folks…and that Penn and Charlie Black just happen to have worked together for years. Yeppers.  Just a coinkydink, I’m sure.  Sullivan has more.

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