In the world of climate geeks, there was some serious hubbub a couple of weeks ago when researchers with the Vulcan Project produced a carbon-doixide emissions map of the U.S. Using direct CO2 measurement, we saw this first-of-its-kind map. (Click for a larger version).![]()
Perhaps for obvious reasons, the map looks a lot like a population density map, since the largest share of cars, buildings, and industry -- and hence CO2 -- tend to be where the people are. But by turning major cities red, it leads one to precisely the wrong conclusion. Looking at the map, you might think that urban areas are the nation's big carbon problem, while the dessert West and the Rockies are doing something really right. I suppose that's true on some level: there's not a lot of carbon being emitted in the wide open spaces of the West.
The good people over at Wired got wise to the situation and agitated for a map that factored in population density. Check out what happens when the researchers add population density to calculate per capita carbon emissions. It's a completely different story.
On this reading, the real problem is the West, particularly the Southwest. The nation's cool spots are the relatively densely-settled eastern areas. (Data-oids take note: the population density methodology is imperfect - and the researchers acknowledge it - but it's roughly right.)
Now, we know that per capita emissions don't matter a whit to the atmosphere. All that matters is the total amount of carbon that goes up in smoke. But without understanding the population-based side of the equation, we're unlikely to understand how to fix our emissions problem. The key is not for our economy to function like it does in West Texas or Wyoming, but more like it does in cities.
Cities, as it turns out, are a major climate solution. That becomes clear when you think about how we use energy. Folks in cities drive less often, and when they do drive, they don't drive as far. They tend to live in smaller spaces - square footage is expensive - which means lighting fewer rooms, and less heating and cooling too. Plus, city life often means sharing walls (and floors and ceilings) which makes for tremendous heating efficiencies.
In fairness, there's lots of other stuff going on in a map like this. Places with energy-intensive industries-aluminum smelters, oil refineries, and paper mills-get dinged because the totality of those emissions get attributed to the people that live near them, even though the goods they produce get consumed across the nation. Similarly, places that are nearby coal-fired electricity generators aren't likely to do so well either, even though people in far-flung places consume that dirty electricity too. But lifestyle matters. A lot. And maybe the most powerful predictor of your climate impact is simply this: whether you can see a sidewalk from where you're sitting now.
Full explanation, with links to lots of other cool stuff, can be found here.
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So?! Fascinating post, Eric. And a fascinating twist on what we’re used to seeing.
Hmm - Texas as a major hotspot. Whoda thunk it?
Heh. I just took a closer look at both maps. So the highest per capita carbon emissions in the country are in Texas. Why am I extraordinarily unsurprised?
I think I owe you a beverage…!
As a Manhattan resident, I can say: I knew that. Manhattan’s also one of the thinest counties in the country, because residents do so much walking.
I still get comments down here about how fast I walk. I tell folks that I was born and raised in a place where walking was actually considered a viable means of transportation. Jaws drop… silence ensues…
Eric, it just goes to show you how easy it is to manipulate data to effect our psyches. The right wing is good at doing this for sure.
I bicycle almost everywhere & for pleasure in the country. Jaws also drop when I tell ‘em I don’t have a car.
Do you actually think that most Americans give a rat’s ass about global warming? The only thing most Americans want is a cheap, powerful gasoline, a shoe shine and a big juicy, greasy burger, preferably raised in the Amazon.
What the heck is going on in Texas to cause such high emissions per capita?
Probably AC & driving long distances. Traffic jams around Houston & Dallas, I’d bet.
I got the first car in my life 5 years ago, simply because toting groceries almost a mile on foot became a bit much. Even after I had it I’d take the bus to and from work. Where I am now there is no bus, so it’s the car (but only about 2 miles away). If you think people in NY look at you funny when you don’t have a car, you should try telling them that down here! Hell, we’re still struggling to get curbside recycling started…
Why are per capita consumption patterns so high in the intermountain west? Because it’s a long way from here to there. More than that, you pretty much have to drive to get there. Add to that the need for cooling. Our summer temps push above 100F regularly. You can cool with evaporative coolers in most of the west, but that consumes scarce fresh water. Or you can cool with refrigeration, but that consumes lots of electricity.
Also, we have some of the world’s (not the nation’s, the world’s) largest coal-fired power plants. Look up in the Four Corners Area. That’s Public Service of New Mexico’s San Juan Generating Station. It’s a huge coal-fired plant that distributes electrical power all across the western power grid. Look around Rock Springs, WY. That’s another huge generator. Why do we have so many big coal-fired plants? Because nobody wants a coal generating station in their backyard, so they’re placed where nobody lives. Ooops, that’s out here where WE live.
It isn’t the Navajo creating all that CO2 in the Four Corners area, it’s all of us living here.
That’s not to say that something can’t be done. New Mexico has put a light rail system in from Belen (south of Al-be-a-turkey) to Santa Fe (the adobe theme park.) Lots of State employees live in ABQ and commute to Santa Fe. If they ride the rails, that will cut emissions a lot. But it’s going to take a lot more projects of that sort.
BC
Air conditioning an 8000 square foot house with cathedral ceilings in the middle of a Dallas summer is gonna have a BIG carbon footprint.
Heh…what you said, plus…I live in a third-floor walk-up. (In Manhattan, it was a fourth-floor.) When I have guests over, they can’t believe I walk up ALL THOSE STAIRS. No wonder everybody’s so fat…
Same thing happens when I tell people I didn’t learn how to drive until I was in my 30s.
“How did yo live?!” is the most common response.
Eric,
This is an excellent piece of work! Thanks!
So why is the Midland-Odessa part of West Texas so red? I know that they’re oil towns. Are they “burning off” a lot of gas?
Bob in HI
Refineries and power plants and low population.
Eric, a question. On looking at the maps again, both of them, I don’t see any indication that Las Vegas exists. It’s one of the fastest growing settlements in the nation, to say nothing of the neon, hotels, etc., but they don’t seem to show up. Or am I missing something in how the demographics are being interpreted?
It’s there, Marion. Look down at the southern tip of Nevada. It’s that patch of yellow-orange.
What I found really interesting about the original map is how clearly the interstates and US highway systems show up in the west…
BC
I was expecting a much redder patch. Or is LV smaller and/or greener that I was imagining? It would be an ideal place to use solar panels… I’ve got old eyes. Does anyone know how I can get a larger version of the maps? If I click on them I get the little + magnifier, but only one magnification. (Getting older is NOT for the faint of heart!)
“Cities, as it turns out, are a major climate solution.”.
I find that more than a bit disingenuous. Would life be so simple! If the CO2 concentrations are higher in the cities which the first map indicates, then in order to equalize the overall picture, the amount of energy flowing into each 10Km grid has to be balanced against that flowing out. IMO, anyway.
“Cities, as it turns out, are a major climate solution.” Ergo, build more cities in the wide open west.
This map is on a per-capita basis, and it presents CO2 emissions per capita. So, Las Vegas gets the same sort of benefit from its (relatively) high population density that NYC and Boston get. In fact, they’re about the same shade of yellow-green as Las Vegas. Also, electricity generation is attributed to its point of generation, not its point of consumption.
OT
I feel just like a turkey vulture. I roasted a turkey breast last Friday, and have had about 6 meals from it since (including lunches). Tonight I gnawed the remants off the bones. Yum.
It’s not the cities qua the cities. It’s the infrastructure IN the cities. You can live in New York City, as I did for 44 years, and never have to learn how to drive a car. You can either walk or use public transportation. Too many people think “city” when I see “suburban sprawl,” with no real public transportation that covers the entire “city,” to say nothing of the fuel that must be expended to transport anything sold in any store all over hell and creation instead of a more focused population center.
Visitors to LV, though, are not counted in the capitas, I’d guess. So if you included them for the portion of the year they’re in LV, the figures would be lower there, and not much different elsewhere.
So lets get all them rural peeps outta the country- they’re fuckin everythin up!
You guess right. The population figures are derived from 2000 Census block data.
As Eric said, it’s not perfect. I think the biggest imperfection is the failure to allocate coal-fired electricity generation to its point of consumption rather than its point of production. But that criticism holds true of the original map as well.
The point is to do more intensive living patterns, whereever, so that transportation infrasturceture becomes economical. However, people don’t wan’t to live in cluster housing, so I’m not holding my breath waiting for that as a global warming solution.
But most people are not aware of the transportation contribution to energy consumption from sprawl, which is why the per capita chart is interesting.
But way too many cities have no transportation infrastructure worthy of discussion. Los Angeles? They used to have a decent trolley system but GM tore the tracks on THAT up before I was born. Any Texas City? Don’t make me laugh.
When I visit D.C., I don’t rent a car. I fly in to National and take the Metro. I was very unhappy on my last visit when my flight to National was delayed and I had to take a shuttle to get to my hotel. I love the Metro, once you figure out how to get around on it it’s beautiful.
Actually I think the original map is a better indication of that — the Interstate Highway System stands out like a green network belting the country west of the Mississippi.
And when you think about it, green is very unfortunate color for that net covering the country west of the 100 meridian.
Excellent post, Eric.
Most excellent analysis.
Definitely thought-provoking and worth all the more because there is far too little of that extant in the USA these days; nuance and subtlety having departed, frog-marched out of here amidst derisive laughter and the language, tortured beyond recognition, usually meaning the opposite of what it claims to mean …
Try Atlanta, they keep Marta out of the burbs so guess who can’t get out there?
No car? Of course.
My daughter who lives in DC doesn’t either. She pays a higher rent, but doesn’t have the expense of wheels, and her employer pays for the metro.
Me? The closest bus stop is 3 miles away.
So, what to do?
Move in w/ you or my daughter?
I’m totally kidding. :)
Can you commute to work by bicycle?
Here’s a handy gadget to go along with this good info: http://www.walkscore.com.
Also not perfect (the maps are less than wonderful) but it tells you how far your address, or a prospective one, is from things like park, school, store, and so on. Not sure where I found this originally–maybe here.
Uh, no hip chick
I drive my son to his special ed school about 15 miles.
I temp work and try to get something as close to his school as possible.
Forgive me while I roll on the floor for a minute.
LA is sprawl city.
Oh, Raven… You must know what MARTA stands for. It’s not Metropolitan Atlanta Rapid Transit Authority, as they would have you believe. It’s “Moving Africans Rapidly Through Atlanta.”
Uh, I meant, no, hip chick.
It’s hard to be really hip in LA, if you know what I mean.
Some day.
Didn’t know you live in LaCa, in which case I wouldn’t have suggested it. *g*
Odessa-Midland, TX, one of the reddest spots on the map, is the former home of the Bush creeps (and Laurabot). Shrub grew up sucking toxic fumes.
Hate New York City
It’s cold and it’s damp
And all the people dressed like monkeys
Let’s leave Chicago to the Eskimos
That town’s a little bit too rugged
For you and me you bad girl
Rollin’ down the Imperial Highway
With a big nasty redhead at my side
Santa Ana winds blowin’ hot from the north
And we as born to ride
Roll down the window put down the top
Crank up the Beach Boys baby
Don’t let the music stop
We’re gonna ride it till we just can’t ride it no more
>From the South Bay to the Valley
>From the West Side to the East Side
Everybody’s very happy
‘Cause the sun is shining all the time
Looks like another perfect day
I love L.A. (We love it)
I love L.A. (We love it)
Look at that mountain
Look at those trees
Look at that bum over there, man
He’s down on his knees
Look at these women
There ain’t nothin’ like ‘em nowhere
Century Boulevard (We love it)
Victory Boulevard (We love it)
Santa Monica Boulevard (We love it)
Sixth Street (We love it, we love it)
I love L.A.
I love L.A.
thank goodness the bursting of the housing bubble and the dawn of peak oil will spell the end of the ludicrously inefficient, soul-bleaching, corporate suburban era.
it’s quite possible the very last McMansions are being built right now, and when the pipeline is clear there we be no more.
welcome back to the cities folks - time to learn to live in non-homogenous communities again.
Aloha, ya’ll! Welcome, Eric, excellent post!
Just as a reminder, I went to school with Greg P.
San Fernando Valley.
Land of the strip malls and usedtabe GM and Lockheed.
But, I’ve moved up into the foothills now. Above it all when I’m home. Ha!
Nice and quiet and rural hight desert, but, always a long drive to anywhere.
It’s quite possible that the moon is made out of green cheese too.
Did you make a turkey pie?
Any idea why the Adirondacks are depicted in the red? Also, the higher rates of emissions in Vermont somewhat loosely follows the spine of the Green Mountains. Is there a bias against trees here?
Its a long day living in reseda
Theres a freeway runnin through the yard
I made Turkey Jambalaya for 100 people today for a retirement gig.
I bought a turkey breast the other day half price - paid 2 bucks plus some change. I’m too lazy to do pie, but we eat a lot of soup.
How you doing, scout?
Ask me how much I love Tom.
Saw him once with Bob at the Greek Theatre.
It IS a long day, livin’ near Reseda.
But, maybe no longer than anywhere else.
Culture, not place. On the map, to make this On Topic. :)
any leftovers? or a (modified for a lesser amount) recipe to share?
Nope. Just cold turkey. I did make soup from the drippings & turkey broth from other roast turkey leftovers that was in the freezer. Celery, potatoes, brocolli, tarragon, a few other ingredients, now in the freezer in single serving containers. I threw the carcase out in the back 40 (in country, not Manhattan) for real turkey vultures to pick apart. I worked outside 8-1/2 hours today, so no more cooking tonight.
Yum raven!
demi, just buy the ready made crusts. Microwave the potato, carrot, peas, celery. Mix with the gravy and turkey, put the top crust on and bake till the crust is brown. Not time too time consuming, but you do have to make the gravy.
Good for you! I’ve been busy (directing) turning the girls’ area of the house into an apartment. Should be done tomorrow. Turned out really cute.
One of the most fascinating things about growing up in NYC was the realization that every few blocks the neighborhood/community completely changed. In my neighborhood I knew the folks in the stores, on the sidewalk walking their dogs, waiting for the bus or the subway every morning. It was like living in a town inside a larger city. I don’t know if that exists quite the same way any more (eCAHNomics will know more about that), but on a smaller scale it exits in downtown Savannah. I’m not talking race or religion here — it’s the interest that all the people who live on a given square (in downtown Savannah) or in a given neighborhood like Yorkville or Murray Hill (in NYC) take in their surroundings. It’s also a way to make what might otherwise seem like a huge, unmanageable place (like NYC) more livable. We all live in a neighborhood.
Wow!
check, do not micro the peas or anything that you want crispy. Put in whatever you have on hand.
Y’all know I Love Gravy.
Will try your suggestion. I’m sure the boys will appreciate that.
That sounds really nice. In California everything is so far apart that you have to drive and there are few
“neighborhoods” - our loss. We have very poor transportation systems and cars are necessary. I really liked getting around in London on the tube - they planned well.
Eric, this is a really good piece. Thank you.
Uh-oh, did turkeys hijack the thread…? ;-)
You so f’cking rock dude.
Lotsa love from us chicks at the lake for a man who does that!
(How’s the missus’s leg? and, l’il bits?)
Take a drive way out west in Texas and what do you find? SMOG, dense
brown cloud like the one that squats on Denver, it will choke you.
So much for Marlboro country, glad to see the map validates my own
experience.
Another thing is to look at how people in rural areas get served by energy. I’ll use my area, Upstate New York, as an example. A huge percentage of housing units in Upstate New York are not served by natural gas; people are heating with fuel oil, LP, and wood. At the same time, a huge percentage of housing units in Upstate New York were built before 1969, so those houses also tend to not have insulation, not have energy efficient windows, and have old boilers or perhaps outdoor wood furnaces. You combine those things and the rural areas of New York State generate a huge amount of particulates, CO2, etc. in comparison to New York City. At the same time, we also have, by and large, coal fired electricity plants. There is nuclear on the Hudson and on Lake Ontario, but everything else is, I think, coal fired. There are a few small hydro plants also.
Me and the turkeys apologize.
Interesting how we turn to comfort food/recipies?
Tough days, sometimes. Ye-up.
But, no pulled out hair on the floor.
Stay away from Houston—-armpit of creation- shit grows in the air there- and it ain’t brussels sprouts.
I picked one of the few areas of the city that wasn’t a neighborhood, at least one consistent with my lifestyle. Turns out that the buildings were built in the 1950s and everyone who moved in then & is still alive is still living there. Even when I moved there around 1980, the population was elderly.
Re Savannah: One day when Ted & I were walking thru a square, we chatted up a female resident, about 60. She’d lived there for 30-40 years and raised her family there. She pointed to the various houses around the square: 2 in estate sales, a couple that were occupied only a few months a year, and a few others for sale. Neighborhoods no more. She is quite sore about the fact that the rich invaded Savannah and are now leaving it in droves, presumably moving on to some other place more in fashion. I can’t tell you how many interiors of historic houses were ruined by too rich people, each one of which had the identical plexiglass door wine cooler in the butler’s pantry. So sad.
I distributed tons around the hood. I took 2 whole birds, boned it. Roasted the bones for a stock. Took the thigh meat and wings, rolled in cajun run and cinnamon and made Turkey Tasso on the water smoker. Cut the breast in chunks and sauteed until pink was gone. Chop holy trinity, celery, bell pepper, onion and sauteed. Bring stock to a boil, add meat, veggies, garlic and more cajun mix to taste. One and a half cups of stock per cup of rice. Add rice and scrape bottom to prevent scorching. Cover, reduce to simmer. After 10 minutes pull the rice away from the sides of the pot all the way around. Cover and let simmer 20 minutes. Mince parsley and chop green onions and add just before serving.
lassie bon temps roulet
Uh, don’t forget the hydro from Niagara Falls. Have you ever seen it at night when they turned the American Falls off?
I first saw LA when I was 15, in 1961, when I went to spend the summer with my father to whom I had been introduced by a summer camp counselor the summer before. (LOOOONG story!) I was stunned that they called it a city. I wound up thinking it was about 35 suburbs in search of a city…
I always liked Savannah- a little.
that’s really interesting. thanks Eric for the post!
Hell, we’re all turkeys in one way or another! *G*
Easy
You’re gonna be careful about who you rent to, like we discussed before, right?
Nope; can’t say that I have. Most of that power is under contract to NYPA to sell cheap to the little muni power companies but those contracts were only for a hundred years. I think they will be over soon.
The high emissions per capita are in WEST Texas. Houston is on the gulf coast, Dallas is in North East texas.
Emissions per capita are Bullshit, meaningless, and completly misleading. I don’t give a damn if 10 people emit twice as much CO2 as a city dweller, becuase its only 10 people.
It’s the gross amout of CO2 emitteed that matters. lean to alk, ride a bike, insulate you homes, and take public transport.
Turn off the a/c and open the windows. Make NNN leases illegal, as neither the tenant nor the landlord has any interest in making NNN lease properties more energy efficient (and this includes all strip malls, and all supermarkets).
damn that sound good.
You’re right about the destruction of downtown Savannah. When I first came here all sorts of people could live there, and did. Students, elderly, rich, poor, black, white, everyone. Then came the perfect storm of “THE BOOK” and the real estate bubble. Which is why I now have a car and live in a house 2 miles from where I work… The up side is that I can eat my own lettuces and herbs and tomatoes. And this year I’m trying peppers and eggplant… I still miss living downtown, though.
Oh, yes. Thanks.
SCAD
SCAD didn’t destroy downtown. Lord knows, the students could get in the way and think they owned the town from time to time, but SCAD was not responsible for what’s happened in Savannah. You can drop more of that in Berendt’s lap.
OK for you then!
Eric, wow… the posts today have been so terrific (!).
The issue of climate change is so complex and difficult that we need new tools. The mapping is terrific, so there’s a great start.
Here are two other tools that you might find of interest:
(1) How do we do a better job of collecting information in real time from a multitude of sources: http://cci.mit.edu/
MIT Center for Collective Intelligence
and
(2) How do we get away from pseudo-science, from he said/she said, in which bogus (even brazenly false) information sinks to the bottom of a better ‘information net’. Again, MIT is developing resources, but here’s a link to a page at NYT, for a bit more context if anyone is interested:
http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes......-steroids/
Democracy certainly needs steriods, and now we can SEE why.
Blueloe2 @9: you may feel a bit more encouraged if you Google the term ‘Climate Care’. Evangelicals who supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 got a big wake-up, mostly from Katrina but also due to other factors. People are catching on — now, we have to be wary shills selling us bogus ‘green’ products that aren’t well thought out. Climate change items are a huge and growing market.
When I occasionally still look at the comments to an interesting topic here in FDL, I quickly stop again, because in the midst of information sharing, there is, like often, a coffee klatsch - today on turkey. I just don’t have time for that.
The per-capita map is really interesting:
That big red area in southwest TX may be the Permian basin oilpatch; I don’t know what’s going on north of Amarillo, though.
A lot of those red areas are in odd places.
In CA, they’re in places without a lot of people: maybe more oilfields? Forests? Lots of cattle?
Surprisingly, LA/Orange county is not high, nor are most of the other urban areas.
They raise a lot of beef in West Texas and the cattle industry is one of the largest consumers of energy. I think this explains why the per capita energy use is so high.
If you’re using Firefox, you might try Image Zoom. The install widget at the site should work smoothly. I couldn’t surf nearly so well without it.
There was a great article in the New Yorker last year or two. The writer analyzed the difference how his carbon footprint was much less in Manhattan as compared to the exurban, wooded community he moved to in CT or upstate NY. He required two cars and had to drive everywhere. The exurban wooded environment had the illusion of being “green” given the environmental crowd and their philosophy but in reality the noisy, smoggy city was more so. The conclusion is that vertical, density (and the walking and public transit that support it) are more green.
I was living in western Massachusetts at the time, a progressive oasis of environmentalists and alternative energy. Yet, everyone had two cars (usually low mileage AWD Subaru’s) and drove long distances daily to their jobs. Many commuted from Brattleboro, VT and Franklin County, MA down to Springfield MA or Hartford CT. Quite the footprint. My own commute for 4 years was 80 miles round trip a day.
one word:
methane emissions
I was in Atlanta just recently (4/17-22) and rode the Marta from the airport into town and back. It is fast, comfortable and got pretty full.
I don’t know which areas it covers, but if we had a lot more train systems like that, then there would be a lot less need for most commuters to use cars.
BTW, what’s up with one-way trains instead of more circly curvy routes where a train can run all around town one way without having to turn around and just run the same track back & forth?
Also, don’t trust your friends when they say you should buy the ticket and they’ll reimburse you later. Somebody, not sayin’ who, still owes me about $5 for transportation.
If one believes in global warming and that carbon in the atmosphere is becoming a problem, then there are a lot of things to be done.
more clean transportation of a group kind (like trains) as well as cleaner cars
more clean energy production plants
more conservation built into the building codes
fewer non-bio-degradable plastic bags and other packaging (or for that matter, ocean-going shipping containers) which can’t be recycled
from more energy efficient cities to walking-distance work & entertainment & grocery shopping communities to cut down on the need for going places in a car
even more Internet to enable better communications without having to go there in person
Creative thinkers can tackle these problems and many of them require solutions we already have! We just have to put the solution in place.
It would have been interesting to do carbon dioxide sinks as well, since it is sources-sinks that is the real story.