In catching up on economic news this week, I've noticed a trend toward real world reports. It's as though a few in the media have awakened to the fact that a large segment of our population is struggling to just get by -- which for regular folks isn't exactly news, but it's a welcome change from the usual indifference. There was a piece on the farm bill, featured on the Bill Moyers' Journal website, that I want to emphasize:
The U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates that the monthly grocery costs for a typical low-income family shot up 7.2 percent in 2007 – a three-fold increase over the previous year. But, the average family’s allotment of food stamp benefits grew by less than five percent. We also know that most people can only stretch their food stamp benefit to the third week each month.
Last year, the number of households participating in the food stamp program increased 5.6 percent. This year, with our economy in deep trouble, it’s going to get worse. The latest report says that probably 28 million Americans will receive food stamps by the the end of 2008, a million and a half more than 2006.
That's an enormous shift in circumstances for a lot of families in a short period of time. And it's led to a recent spate of studies and reports thereon regarding cutbacks and the Depression-era tactics being employed as American families slip from "rampant consumer" mode to "survival as best we can" mode. This latest from Reuters on the increasing use of shopping lists to keep grocery costs in line is but one of many I've seen crop up.
And, if public sentiment, Congressional calls to action on consumer credit issues or even the Fed is any indication, we'll be seeing a lot more. One of the factors driving all of this is the reduction in workforce hours, which has led to economic shrinkage across the board. Via NYTimes:
Throughout the country, businesses grappling with declining fortunes are cutting hours for those on their payrolls. Self-employed people are suffering a drop in demand for their services, like music lessons, catering and management consulting. Growing numbers of people are settling for part-time work out of a failure to secure a full-time position.
The gradual erosion of the paycheck has become a stealth force driving the American economic downturn. Most of the attention has focused on the loss of jobs and the risk of layoffs. But the less-noticeable shrinking of hours and pay for millions of workers around the country appears to be a bigger contributor to the decline, which has already spread from housing and finance to other important areas of the economy.
While official unemployment has risen only modestly, to 5.1 percent, the reduction of wages and working hours for those still employed has become a primary cause of distress, pushing many more Americans into a downward spiral, economists say.
It doesn't help that unemployment numbers are also up sharply from expectations. And it isn't just the US, it's worldwide. With food shortages increasing all over the globe, and economic instability rising in some of the most volatile regions, civil unrest, war, hunger and famine are rising issues for all of us.
The folks at The One campaign aren't waiting for the crisis to deepen before asking for action:
The shocking headlines have had our attention all week. The price of basic food staples have increased 45% in just the last nine months - and they’ve doubled in the last three years....
This weekend, World Bank President Zoellick said that this hunger crisis could “push 100 million people in low-income countries deeper into poverty” and that the effects would be equivalent of “seven lost years in the fight against worldwide poverty.”
The shortage is fueling social unrest in some of the most fragile nations around the globe. Haiti, Egypt, Niger, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Indonesia, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Mozambique, Bolivia and Uzbekistan discontent has already erupted. “For countries where food comprises from half to three-quarters of consumption, there is no margin for survival.”(Zoellick)
You can sign their petition requesting action to help those countries where the need is most dire.
Stirling has a fascinating piece on industrial revolutions and raw materials that is well worth a read. The folks at Brave New Films are taking on some of the greedier aspects of our economy, the modern day robber barons. (Also, here and here for more.) Robert Johnson provided us with a glimpse after his presentation at TBA, and Ian has been sounding the economic alarms for quite some time.
See our future through our past...and realize how little things have changed, despite the desperate need for them to do so.
(YouTube is an information piece from the Charlotte Meals on Wheels program. What's your niche to help folks in need? Imagine if we all pulled together to lift each other up for a change...)
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Hi Redd
This no rice thing is gonna starve lots of people to death in the poorest countries on earth….Don’t know what can be done about it- but turnin all the corn into alcohol is probably not a good solution.
Last year, the number of households participating in the food stamp program increased 5.6 percent. This year, with our economy in deep trouble, it’s going to get worse. The latest report says that probably 28 million Americans will receive food stamps by the the end of 2008, a million and a half more than 2006.
Any numbers on food banks?
This weekend, World Bank President Zoellick said that this hunger crisis could “push 100 million people in low-income countries deeper into poverty” and that the effects would be equivalent of “seven lost years in the fight against worldwide poverty.”
The shortage is fueling social unrest in some of the most fragile nations around the globe. Haiti, Egypt, Niger, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Indonesia, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Mozambique, Bolivia and Uzbekistan discontent has already erupted. “For countries where food comprises from half to three-quarters of consumption, there is no margin for survival.”(Zoellick)
I wonder if Al Quieda is running out of registration forms?
Starvin to death pisses some people off.
and things will continue to get worse, the democrats continue to approve bush judges so nobody will get redress
I don’t know about numbers everywhere, but in our area, donations have been down as local belts have had to tighten for a lot of folks who were otherwise trying to help out. And at a time when there is so much more need for a lot of folks to get a little extra help, too…it’s like the perfect storm of need and lack of supply.
Hey you starvin people—see this here food? My president is gonna turn it into alcohol so I can burn it up in my car- nothin personal.
Thats what I’ve been hearing too!
If there’s a worldwide food shortage things are really going to get ugly because people will not sit quietly and starve. With the climate changes we may face some real hardship right here. Notice that some scientists are talking about another Dust Bowl. And there’s no money left to help - thanks to the war.
Yeah but the price of gas is still going up despite all the ethanol being made at greater cost to tax payers than a gallon of gas.
Anyone outside of Charlie Gibson’s mythical middle-class person ($250,000) is going to be looking seriously at Government Butter and Cheese soon, providing that has not been outsourced to ADM, Cargill and Blackwater (protecting the stockpiles).
We have one of the best ag systems in the world, and yet we still pay farmers not to grow crops, waste money and energy energy on “ethanol” and allow industrial farming a huge voice in the way that our ag policy is shaped.
The terrorists don’t necessarily hate us for our way of life, they hate us for our stupid policies that hurt everyone except the richest people on earth.
Is the decline of bees world wide is that affecting food production? Or is that happening only here which would probably link the decline to our farm chemicals?
Who benefits from food shortages and starvation?
Anyone outside of Charlie Gibson’s mythical middle-class person ($250,000)
That is a great line we should keep. Its perfect for the Press, McCain and Bush.
Gunmakers selling to the rich?
The post that I did earlier in the week on the economy and food shortage had a link to an article about local food banks getting less and less from government surplus, because it just isn’t being produced…it really is a perfect storm of shirnking supply, increasing need, poor planning, and vastly indifferent leadership. And it doesn’t seem likely to get better before it gets much, much worse.
‘Afternoon, Christy;
Who coulda thought it?
Don’t know, I just had an all day bee swarm in my backyard. My neighbor had one for three days.
Makes picnics less enjoyable
Maybe them bees is comin back?
Those that don’t die have more to eat…
On the food bank shortages: Here’s a piece from an AL paper. One from the LA Times. Something about Manchester, NH, from the NYTimes. Something from Sen. Casey talking about an emergency supplemental to help with shortages at food banks nationwide. And there is a lot more out there about shortages nationwide…
They’ve had colony collapse issues in Europe as well, I do know that — and have had to import new colonies from Autralia in some areas. No idea if that’s resolved the issues or if the new colonies have then had problems, though…
Thanks for the alert. Our food bank is usually in pretty good shape- but it wouldn’t hurt to check.
Maybe the chemicals we think are killing bees were not used to much in your area last year?
Were they honeybees? Because wasps and yellowjackets haven’t really been impacted as yet that I know of, nor bumblebees.
Kissinger, 1974:
http://www.population-security.org/28-APP2.html
Europe does use a lot of chemicals to grow things but what do we and the Europeans use that is not being used Down Under?
I don’t know. I’m in socal- near agricultural land (avocado groves)…bees are kept here to pollinate- and there’s no apparent shortage of em…we’ve got several active hives on the golf course–played as a lateral hazard.
Hello Christy. This is a hard subject for hard times that are getting worse.
In my surrounding areas the crime rate is soaring. Desperate people do desperate things.
Seniors on fixed incomes are in serious distress. Even if they had a retirement set aside the interest is zilch from it. May as well have the money in a mattress. They’ve been living off their principal for some time.
It’s been quite a few years since I’ve met a middle class person earning 250K. That was during the nineties. It has gone the way of the top soil in the Dust Bowl.
Even those very few who’ve earned millions in the upper middle class bracket are crying over the price of gas, the devalued dollar, healthcare, and the decrease in their income. They still live well and their reality is sooo different from mine but they are now noticing and for the first time really feeling scared. They contribute less and hoard more. So much for “trickle down economics!”
It’s amazing what pinching the wallets of the well-to-do will do.
Yeah–good old fashioned honeybees.
We have tons of wild honeybees or honeybees that have fled “management”…the organic honeybees are apparently not being affected the same way as those artificially cultivated…or so I read over at KOS last week.
They haven’t been able to make a chemical connection — there are a lot of potential causes, some chemical, some mite-infestation-related, some questions about cell phone signals, and a whole host of other things. 60 Minutes had a great piece about the colony collapse issue a few months ago — if they have the video up on their website, it is worth a watch. It didn’t come to any complete conclusions, but it did raise a lot of very interesting questions and connections…
I suspect that we ain’t seen nothin yet. We’ve got people on the verge of retirement who don’t have a pot to piss in- and we’re seeing growing inflation. Nothing crueler than people who can no longer work tryin to survive on dollars that are worth less every day and a pittance of social security.
We’re gonna see some VERY hard times ahead for many people.
We have a lot of them, here, too — but we live in a fairly rural area which had wild population to begin with and it has stayed fairly consistent, I think. But the bee fellow that 60 Minutes spoke with in the piece I mentioned above about the colony collapse lived in a rural area in Maine — his family had been in the bee business for generations, and had never seen something like this. It’s very odd…and nationwide, but patchy, which is even more odd.
It will get worse. Many truckers with years of experience are hanging up their keys. New hires are not keeping pace with a) retirements and b) population growth. Companies are offering greater and greater pay packages to recruit drivers. Consequences for putting low skilled drivers in a big truck can be serious. All of these costs will be passed onto the consumer.
We are the wealthiest nation in the world, but we cannot feed our own people,” said Brown, the first Senator from Ohio in 40 years to serve on the Agriculture and Nutrition Committee. “Food banks across Ohio and the country are running out of food. This is an emergency and an outrage.”
The growing number of Americans who rely on food assistance and a decreasing supply at food banks this winter have caused a food bank crisis. In most years, the government buys surplus food to donate to food banks. However, with commodity prices high this year, the government does not have to buy excess food to support prices. Moreover, grocery stores and other major donors of food are ordering less products, leaving less to donate compared to past years.
http://casey.senate.gov/newsro.....C28C20EE70
I think this issue can help us win an election.
The bee populations are slowly being hybridized by Africanized bees. Wonder if that’s got anything to do with the population numbers? Some genetic thingees going on?
It is odd. Certainly, something the “beekeepers” have been feeding them or something about their conditions seems to be the problem…viruses or bacteria in their boxes…also, transport has been cited as a problem….something is definitely wrong.
I make nowhere near the income you quoted but I am lucky enough not to be in debt. I rent and have no place to grow extra food as Rev Deb suggested this am but I’m planning on giving my tax rebate from Bush to the local food bank.
Hope our citizens don’t have to resort to eating dirt as the Haitians are -heart-breakong
While I’m very glad to read the Brown, Boxer, and, especially, Casey are concerned about hunger abd food banks, $40 million does not look like much help. Even the ‘extra’ $110 million in the Senate version of the Farm Bill will be eaten-up quickly, given what we might face …
The Senators’ appetite for doing ‘more’ must be whetted by reality.
The World Bank report put the biggest issue for food price increase on the conversion of food crops to energy production. When Zoellick was asked about this in an NPR interview about 2 weeks ago he really played that down and the NPR interviewer kept bringing it back up till Zoellick aburptly said he wasn’t going to talk about that anymore. He is a Bush sh*t and is covering Bush’s ass and the profits the energy companies and giant food processing companies are figuring they will make out the high prices.
Do beekeepers FEED their bees? Thought they just let em go off an collect food.
I noticed with an arched eyebrow that the vast wasteland of the MSM only gave token lip service to economic concerns, until the jewelry of the investment class began to tremble. Only at that point was it a serious issue.
Well, I know for sure that is a problem here in TX…last year africanized honeybees killed a horse at my old ranch (20 miles away)…makes me tread with caution when I’m around them.
All of these costs will be passed onto the consumer.
I’m more worried about inexperienced truckers on the road than actual costs. I want experienced Truckers on the road.
The Seattle area is seeing similar shortages:
This column was written two weeks ago.
Worst part about this is that this is probably the start of the recession, not its middle or end.
I swear on I-80 they’ve already done that.
They feed them some kind of sugar thing during the winter, as I understand it. Maybe there’s something in the sugar formula….pesticide or herbicide residue or something like that.
Sugar water so they keep making honey between feedings?
Great!! LOL, 707 …
Funny, but oh so true.
Therein lies the chord that Obama is striking with millions of people. I suspect that many, many folks, even low information voters are getting that perhaps Obama is not interested in providing leadership in that way, partly because he’s not a member of the “beltway elite” that has been in power since before the Clinton the 1st.
I suspect that even hard-core republicans who might otherwise vote dogmatically for McCain will look long and hard at the economy not in huge macro-economic terms but with the perspective of their paycheck to see that he’s just blowing more voodoo economic smoke up their ass. “Lower taxes” benefit Charlie Gibson, but make no real difference when gas is touching $4 a gallon in some states, banks are having a field day screwing everyone at will, folks are losing their homes and we have a national debt that will be paid off sometime around 2450AD even if we incur no more starting tomorrow.
Atillary the Hen is just more of the same… her DLC friends will occupy the same positions in her administration that are now occupied by the current crop of K-streeters gone native. Nothing will change…it will all be “studied” by “blue-ribbon commissions” chaired by Vernon Jordan, Leon Panetta, Rahm Emmanuel, and Geraldine Ferraro (or some other equally interchangeable DLC pezzonovante.
FWIW
My brother and I own a small business that has been a great predictor of Bush recessions….
According to our magical calculations- the economy began tanking in July of 07.
Oh, BTW, I detest Monsanto with unbridled passion.
I am an experienced driver. Sometimes I share the road with Christy Hardin Smith, Jane Hamsher and many of the pups. I share your concerns.
I know it isn’t much, but we’re planting quite a block of flowers that attract bees and trying to make the area a mini habitat for the lizards, butterflies, bees, birds, etc.
Wow…hadn’t thought about the drivers like that. Hope you will write more on this.
Good One LOL
If everyone did that, think of the difference it could me. Bravo!
No, this is something unrelated. Whole colonies are just dying and there is no rhyme or reason. You will have one bee keeper whose entire colony has dies pff but his neighbor hasn’t been touched.
I’m not absolutely nuts about either Rev. Obama or Colonel Clinton- I was an Edwards supporter- but I will vote for one of em if their respective supporters don’t cause me to go totally nutso with their high frequency attacks on one another.
The truckers can bring this country to a screeching halt and a rude awakening…anytime they choose to..They are the cog in the wheel of our economy, so to speak.
Waving to Christy. I got a new job and a new truck.
What is your business?
Pretty damned interesting problem….Maybe Archer Daniels would like to offer a few million for a solution.
Good on ya! Next time you are out our way, give me a holler…
Sounds about right to me. I can’t really point to any indicators of my own, but that’s roughly when the housing/mortgage business started.
The reason I think we’re still near the front end, though, is that there’s going to be a lot of settling out in the financial markets when all this capital goes poof, and that’s going to screw up the job market for some time.
Not to mention all the basic structural problems like we’ve been shipping our manufacturing and agricultural business overseas and have done a lousy job of educating people for at least thirty years…
Good news. Be careful out there.
Retail Store- we sell bicycles, motorscooters, and other alternative transportation vehicles….
I think us Edwards people are not going down easily. Wait until either candidate feels the heat from the fire on their feet ;)
All drivers have CB radios and talk to one another. When one gets out of line, they are unmercifully ridiculed publicly. A chickenshit driver is called a “steering wheel holder,” the worst kind of slur.
Gawd…sometimes I think I’m on some strange, strange trip. Oh yeah, I guess I am.
Well, I would take a jet ski… :) 707!
The miro-environments, knitted together … are more a treasure than too- many humans know, they are our paradise, the nature of our world …
So is business going up down how do you make your predictions? Also I thought I read something about Vespa? and hybrid scooters.
I’m no economist but wasn’t this collapse of the insanely inflated real estate prices inevitable?
You changed your number or something. You have my email address if you want to give me new info. I’d love to show of my new truck and tell you all the inside dish on our full-scale mutiny. A great tale of local v. Corporate flexxing.
Seems like it to me. Like a pyramid scam.
Fixed it for ya. More, much more, yet to come.
Partly, combined with bad monetary/fiscal policy, and a pinch of national indebtedness brought on by an unpaid-for war on a credit-card.
Yes. But, the people who made all that nifty CDO fee money will never miss a meal over it.
We had a great year going until July- at that point it turned negative year against year. We sell “Vespa” among others. There are some electric scooters out there (mostly too expensive or not worth a shit)- and electric bikes that we sell. Haven’t heard of any “hybrids”
I would have expressed this but it just didn’t come to my mind. Tweak! :D
To anyone who is not a Problem Gambler or named Greenspan or Bush yes it was obvious. Although some people thought we had a few more years of Boom to go.
Oh I’m not an economist either.
I’m not an economist either, but just from the pragmatic point of view that new houses are so much more expensive compared to what most of us earn it would seem that something had to give.
When I was shopping for a house fifteen years ago, the rule of thumb was don’t get into a mortgage that’s more than three times your income. Now, it seems to be four, and that’s still not enough.
Yeah- most of us Edwards people would be satisfied with just having the Hillary people and the Obama people SHUT THE FUCK UP. (I think).
He was great on Colbert…! ;-)
Dang
Sorry Electric scooters how do they run? Whats the recharge time are they selling is it only Vespa or is someone else making some electric scooters. Also you would think with gas prices only going higher that you would be making more money?
I am in the energy business. Bush punted any American action until 2025 (how bold can a decider get?) By then the worldwide energy consumption needs will have increased by over 40%, of which we lead the way. Truthfully, I can’t haul that much oilfieldshit. So, change a lightbulb or something already.
At least things are turning around in Iraq
Some developer is trying to build 400 new homes right near me. Also, in my area Centex, the new developments are going gangbusters and bringing in several huge super Walmarts, Home Depots, and giant supermarkets. What’s up with that? You’d think they wouldn’t have the market at this point. Something seems skewed…maybe it is just location, location, location. Go figure.
LOL
I know what you mean but it’s a somewhat novel idea during a political campaign.
The nice thing (or bad come fire season) is that the hillsides here are filled with wild flowers/bushes that attract butterflies and bees. Just want to extend it a bit. We figure that the lil lizards and birds will stave off utter bug annihilation of the garden.
I’m reading articles about the rise of food staples like rice and I think about those nations that import almost all of their food (haiti) and it just breaks the heart
McCain solves our problems - From Think Progess
How much more of an inside trader can you be than prez and Al? They invest on the rise, know when down turn is coming and get out. Got a fit full of more wealth from the Financial Sector.
speak for yourself, I was an Edwards supporter before he dropped out (and he was my second choice at that)
I don’t blame Sadr for getting pissed. He’s being politically targeted by Maliki and Betrayus,,,!
I think that once they finish “new construction” they are somehow off the hook financially. As long as it’s going on, they are more likely to be hurt than if they finish the job and turn the key over to the buyer or bank.
In Vegas we now have the highest foreclosure rate in the nation, more than 5%. In my old ZIP code it’s 24%!
We had an article in the paper the other day also citing busted out condo projects, sitting there partially completed, no buyers.
The crazed (and now kaput) building boom is quite reminiscent of the one propelled by the S&L shenanigans. Recall how developers back then got control of S&Ls under Ronnie Raygun’s dereg jones, and funded massive unneeded building projects of very stripe, ‘cuz they knew the feds would have to cover the losses on the bundled “hot blocks” of $100,000 chunks (the FDIC insurance limit) that got traded like today’s CDOs.
Diff’rent Day, Same Shit, essentially.
It would be cool if the left blogosphere could start a “living left” campaign, encouraging all participants to do certain things to help in this area.
One of the major tragedies of Haiti is that you would think they could fish off their vast coastline…but noooo…because deforestation (which happened because they cut the trees down to use for fuel) and it then spewed silt onto their coral reefs and smothered them. Their topsoil is now in the sea. When you fly over Haiti, it looks just like a crumpled up brown paperbag.
Electric scooters run on batteries. You just plug em in to charge em…Vespa doesn’t currently import any. Most come from China and are pieces of shit. We don’t carry any so I can’t provide details.
Electric bikes work fairly well- but to get 15 miles out of a charge, you have to actually (horrors) PEDAL a little.
You would think that higher gas prices would lead to higher sales for us- but most people buy bicycles to ride for fun- and when the economy slides- a new bike purchase is easy to postpone- like new golf clubs.
Could be…endless “construction loaning” by the crony banks…