It pays to keep your eyes on the fine print of the McCain campaign. And this is certainly an interesting little turn of campaign events for the McCain Lobbyist Express.
I wonder how weak McCain's internal polling numbers really are for this sort of move this early -- to risk alienating the Hagee/Dobson/Bauer types (again), by placing social moderate advocates in positions of real authority and power within the McCain campaign? Very intriguing. Via WaPo:
One of McCain's first decisions has been to assemble a novel and risky campaign structure that will rely on 10 "regional managers" who will make daily decisions in the states under their direction, his advisers said. The managers will gather today in New Mexico to plot strategy with GOP state officials....
One element that will work in McCain's favor in coming weeks is the formation of the Republican Party's Victory Committee, which can put together events that are held jointly by the senator and the Republican National Committee. Those events can bring in nearly $30,000 per person because the limits for giving to the RNC are much higher than those for candidates.
The naming last month of Lew Eisenberg, a former partner at Goldman Sachs and one of the heaviest hitters in Republican money circles, as the finance chairman of the Victory Committee silenced many of McCain's critics on the fundraising front....
McCain recruited two key officials at the RNC: Frank J. Donatelli, a Reagan administration official, will serve as deputy chairman and will be the campaign's liaison to the committee. Mike DuHaime, who managed former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani's presidential campaign and used to be an RNC political director, will help staff the RNC's political team. He will also work directly for McCain.
The regional managers, most of whom have been chosen, will spend four days at the New Mexico resort this week. McCain aides said there will be intensive meetings with Republican chairmen from across the country, who are holding their annual meeting in the swing state. (emphasis mine)
Now, call me skeptical, but isn't it a bit unorthodox to have the national party apparatus so integrated into your presidential campaign in terms of power structure? Rick Davis may still be the titular head, but "decentralized control structure" in the McCain campaign can mean only one thing -- someone else is pulling the strings. And this has Ken Mehlman written all over it.
Don't get me wrong, Lew Eisenberg is a great get for the McCain camp -- although a bit unexpected given Eisenberg's unabashadly pro-choice and socially liberal bona fides which are sure to raise the hackles of the "values voter" contingent. Especially in tandem with Frank Donatelli, a lobbyist/political operative and pundit who has advocated reaching out beyond the traditional GOP constituencies who alienate moderates, and taking a more -- dare I say -- liberal approach on campaigning for Republican candidates.
What does this say to me? That McCain's fundraising heft hasn't improved even since he was crowned the GOP heir apparent.
And Republican party stalwarts are worried about McCain being a bad brand for the party as a whole since selling him as the "change" candidate isn't going to be easy given his curmudgeonly, gruff embrace of all things Bush/Cheney failure, so they are stepping in to shore up the foundations and dupe the Republican faithful into contributing to "the party" rather than having to swallow their bile and pony up for McCain.
McCain appears to be dependent on the party to raise enough funds to be competitive, because he can't raise the necessary campaign money on his own. Which says McCain knows he can't win depending on just the GOP to turn out because the reception has been rather tepid.
So they are bringing in all the Republicans they usually trot out for the highly staged convention moderation tap dance...but this time, they are doing it before the convention. It's a rather public admission of the failure of social conservatism as a lasting political power, isn't it?
Weird dynamic. Almost akin to an internal party apparatus panic -- or a scattershot Hail Mary approach before we even get to the fall campaign push. Definitely worth keeping an eye on, though.
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Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy…
You nailed it Christy.
If that is the same article I think it is, McCain is also planning to leave some Rethug “consultants” on the outside since he probably can’t afford them. Needless to say, he will have a hard time raising money.
When will he formally appoint Rove to the campaign?
This is what needs to be focused on. Not these stupid attacks on his service and education.
Poor John, his base are conservatives and the money is not with them.
wow Christy, that’s an amazing
graphic on Frank Donatelli’s career
but prolly not atypical
It’s amazing how the “media” trumps up “polls” that say McCain is even with both Obama and HRC for the national election…based on his donor/supporters and the real money figures…his supporters must be a bunch of cheapskates…or it’s just one more big lie..D’oh…
It doesn’t add up. Smoke and mirrors.
A while back, I expressed the theory that the reason the GOP had such rotten candidates this year is that the smart ones know there’s no way in hell they’re going to win, so they ducked out of being tagged as losers.
To build on that, I would venture that the religious right leaders would rather give token support and blame McCain for losing than getting behind him and sharing the blame, and GOP money men don’t see much reason to invest in a losing proposition.
Funny how our political media are so wedded to the “Democrats in disarray” storyline that they can’t see who’s really in disarray…
Does RNC money bypass the Federal spending limits McBush signed up for? If so, that may mitigate any fines/jail time he and his are exposed to if and when the FEC investigates the Jane/FDL complaint.
Actually he’s LEADING according to Gallup….what do you mean by “smoke and mirrors”? These are real numbers as far as I know.
Yup, and Rasmussen is less real, but they also have him in the lead. We have the media to thank for that.
I heard a great interpretation of the “tie” polls (it may have been Rachel Maddow on Keith; I’m not sure.) It went something like this:
Right now, the Democratic candidates are tearing each other apart and leaving McCain to put out his message pretty much unopposed, and the best he can manage is a tie. He’s in deep trouble.
One element that will work in McCain’s favor in coming weeks is the formation of the Republican Party’s Victory Committee, which can put together events that are held jointly by the senator and the Republican National Committee. Those events can bring in nearly $30,000 per person because the limits for giving to the RNC are much higher than those for candidates.
This worries me the RNC can raise more money per person but that money should go to the RNC and NOT John McCain directly that is. So why would John appear at joint fundraisers unless he was either getting a cut or had an agreement in place already about just how the RNC will spend its money to help McCain and not GOP candidates.
Remember McCain is prowar this election looks like a bloodbath for the RNC many GOPers might want to run as antiwar GOPers but does McCain have an agreement with the RNC that those GOPers won’t get any money?
This might explain all those GOPers retiring in Congress?
Redhift -
they’re not the only ones “ducking out”
McCain faces test in wooing elite donors -
Int’l Herald Tribune
I don’t believe the polls saying McC is leading. NYT said yesterday that he is having a difficult time getting money from the BIG donors. Don’t know who they are.
McBush is a long way from out of this thing. His biggest problem is Clusterfuck. He needs to stay close to Clusterfuck for the purposes of raising money from goopers- but he needs to treat him like Fallstaff for the purposes of winning. One would suppose that his genius campaign managers are chewing on that dilemna as we speak.
I don’t believe the polls. The financial support figures don’t support it. Both of the other candidates are miles and miles ahead in campaign donations.
Why would you not believe the polls?
It’s also going to really bug the conservatives. Somehow, having a big happy celebration in Minneapolis is going to be tough if the conservatives aren’t on speaking terms with the nominee.
Unless, of course, McCain picks someone they love as VP. The more I see of this “moderation tap dance,” the more I expect a hardcore winger to be tapped as the VP.
Romney wants it, Huckabee wants is, Brownback really wants it . . . there are even rumors that up-and-coming winger MO Gov Matt Blunt (son of US House Minority Whip Roy Blunt) is under consideration after he abruptly canceled his planned campaign for reelection.
It’s going to be something to watch.
They are also going to have to get somebody with a hook to whisk him offstage when he is about to make (or has just uttered) another idiotic remark. Unlike their current President, whose prose is so distant from what we know as English that no one knows what he is saying, you can actually parse out McCain’s idiocies. He’s an embarrassment to him, and they are now looking hard for a VP candidate who like the present one, will be the real and known to be the real, POTUS. It’s their only hope.
From Eugene Robinson in the WaPo:
McCain’s Free Ride
Because they don’t reflect the opinions of the majority of people in the country..they are only a tiny sampling and it all depends on who you ask and where you ask them..it is impossible for them to be accurate…
Besides, they never ask me!! *g*
This has been my feeling, as well. Especially with so many people saying they will not vote for Hillary if Obama wins the Dem nomination, and vice versa. When it comes time to actually vote, most of them will vote Dem, whomever the nominee is. Also, once we get away from the Dem horserace and focus more on the November horserace, we will see stark differences in the Dem nominee and McCain. A tie right now is very bad for McChimp. (Isn’t one McPresident enough?)
So it is go with the candidate you have, not the one that you want.
I agree with you.
Digg IT
Santorum is clearly the best choice. He is not part of the “beltway insider crowd”. He can also bring millions of unborn children’s votes to the table. He also has no compunction about killing live people. McCain Santorum… it has a lovely ring to it.
Yeah, but I think he might frighten off the dog vote.
Yup.
I often thought the same thing, until I realized that I don’t anwser the phone unless I know the number from the caller ID.
Except for that pesky little fact that Santorum loathes McCain, and I can’t imagine McCain’s cozy tete-a-tete with Hagee brought them any closer, either.
I’ll bet a lot more McCain supporters have land lines and answer every call (not using caller ID). At the same time, lots of Obama supporters have cell phones only, and are never polled.
The other explanation is that he has a slight lead.
I have said this before but McCain is a media creation, essentially a repackaged Fred Thompson just less somnolent.
Thank God for McClatchy.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/hom.....32191.html
I think another thing skewing the data in the polls this year is the unprecedented participation level by the very age group most likely to have cell phones only and who are Obama supporters. The polling companies have “correction factors” they use to adjust for people without land lines, but I think if they are using 2006 data, they are off by double digit percentages for the 18-35 age group.
Even if McCain’s finances might not be what they need to be, how is he able to keep such a strong showing in polls? Or on prediction markets. He is still able to come neck and neck with both Democrats, so how are such large majorities of what would be considered “GOP moderates” sticking with the old and dying dog? I wrote a blog post about this today here.
Take a look and tell me what you think. Would be very interested in Christy’s opinion.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
www.hubdub.com
No, Loo Hoo is right to point out the problems with polling methodology in the age of the cell phone. A lot of voters are simply invisible to pollsters because they are using cells. Whether McCain supporters are more likely to be limited to land lines is something I don’t know, but it’s a question that deserves serious consideration.
Wow no love lost there is there!
I haven’t figured out who the hell the McCain supporters really are…He doesn’t appeal to the “family values voters” really…the only thing I can figure is the “no new taxes - we love war” people…but they have been greatly diminished since 2001…so, I think that leaves just the “no new taxes” people plus the remaining few who support war. The country wants change and they want out of war…even a bunch of Pukes want out of the war and a better economy. The country is sick of Bushco…that’s why they booed Bush the other day. That would never have happened before. JMHO.
The same reason Clinton poll numbers are off at the polls.
Despite all the hype by the media, it speaks volumes that Republican Big Money won’t back McCain. It says that not only do they think he will lose in November but that there is no way to repackage him in such a way to win.
Bingo.
Double bingo.
Or do they just realize the media is doing their work for them, so they don’t have to put their money into it just now?
Also, if he has to bow out for some reason before November, they can designate that money to another candidate of their choice.
I haven’t figured out who the hell the McCain supporters really are…
In my area, McCain supporters are largely non-political, salt-of-the-earth types who work hard, don’t follow politics, loathe Hillary, and think Obama’s too young and inexperienced. And there is a hell of a lot of them.
Maybe his VP choice will change that. What’s Jeb doing these days?
According to the latest UNH poll people with land lines are more likely to support the Iraq war by 65% -32% with 3% not answering their phones. People with cell phones are less likely to support wars as cell phone towers tend not to last long in war zones.
No reason for goopers to be giving McBush money NOW- he already WON the primary. He may, however, have difficulty gettin the fat cats or the snake handlers to pony up in the fall- THAT’S more serious.
Because it’s way, way too early for the polls to predict much of anything except where people are the least irritated at the moment. And McCain’s coverage has been all about his past accomplishments now that he’s not duking it out with Romney in a smarm match these days. If and when the Dem nomination is finally settled and the dust begins to clear, and they start throwing mud between the two sides, then we’ll begin to get a clearer picture — but that is months away.
Whoever said above that McCain has a free run as the GOP nominee with the press at the moment and the best he can manage is a single-digit lead against to scrambling Dem candidates was right on in terms of analysis. Especially given how fawning most press coverage of McCain is.
And for fawning press, I give you “Exhibit A.” “Which most awesome McCain personality trait should I focus on next in my most awesome job as a reporter covering his most awesome campaign?!?” Gag me.
The media will support McCain or any other Puke candidate, because they are run by corporations who will not support anyone that threatens to get rid of their tax breaks.
It is always about taxes for the Repubs.
In other words they get their news from TV news.
Not so sure that people will be motivated to go out and vote “against” a candidate, however voters for either clinton2 or obama1 will vote in droves I do believe.
I think the dems are going to have Americans understand who and which corporations benefit from the tax breaks this time around. The economy will be the issue, with the cost of the Iraq war being the ball and chain.
I’m sure they got the idea for that pic of McCain in the shades from this:
http://www.popartuk.com/g/l/lg.....poster.jpg
Turkey’s got some judges that GW Wouldn’t select apparently:
To call what they are considering a coup is not too harsh. In a democracy the voters don’t just have the privilege of selecting the government, they also have the exclusive right to “throw the bums out.” What prosecutor Abdurrahman Yalcinkaya proposes in his bid for the history books is that the constitutional court close Turkey’s ruling AK Party and thus remove a duly elected government. He also wants the court to ban Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan and President Abdullah Gul from politics for five years, along with 69 AK Party grandees. He charges that AK, which wants to remove a ban on headscarves, is “a focal point of antisecular activity.”
I think the link is good, but there’s no art there, LS.
NBC = GE…and GE is a war-profiteer…for example..Just sayin’.
It’s there for me, when I clicked on it.
I’ll try again:
http://www.popartuk.com/g/l/lg.....poster.jpg
Funny you should ask. His legacy lives on:
Mark Shields on the NewsHour is another “liberal” commentator who is so in love with McCain that he would never do something so gauche as to look at his record, you know the real one, Keating 5, sitting on Abramoff documents to protect friends, being bought and paid for by lobbyists, and flip flopping his positions on torture, immigration, sucking up to the religious Right, and campaign reform. Shields thinks McCain’s one (small) aberration is Iraq. What an idiot.
This from the latest Edward Jones Investment Perspective: Q: Some investors are worried about the election. Some candidates are talking about raising taxes on income, dividends, capital gains and businesses. How might this affect the market?
A: We don’t know, but rasing taxes on income, dividends, capital gains and businesses is not exactly a prescription for a bull market and a robust economy.
———-
Tricky, aren’t they?
Don’t forget .. once upon a time … Dukakis was leading Dubya’s dad by 18 in the polls
Jebidiah’s busy pickin his wardrobe fer the 2012 elections. No fuckin cowboy hats!
Happy Holiday!!!
To The Commander-in-Chief-Fools
(although it is eerie how much of this turned out)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h-1qnukIGVw
Hey
I didn’t say he would win- I just said that he has a slight lead at the moment.
At least Jebidiah doesn’t have ta go guy a fuckin pig farm and call it a “Ranch”. Bein in Florida, alls he needs is a big fuckin BOAT!
hey Christy -
have ya seen this today ?
LAT
Jebidiah lookin fer more countries ta invade—the Bush’s can’t get much more mileage out of invading Iraq.
Excuse me?
the msm is trying to help mcbush get elected but ithink and i hope that the american people are not lisening to them much anymore. at least the people i talk to tell me they dont.
The route for Jeb is similar to Nixon in ‘64…instead of trying to hold together a party in shambles, step aside, let the party be taken over by Goldwaterites…then when he got stomped, Nixon moved in and took over the party with no guff from anyone.
In this updated scenario, Nixon is being played by Jeb, and Goldwater by McCain. McCain gets beat? Jeb in 2012.
christy from uptop–”Those events can bring in nearly $30,000 per person because the limits for giving to the RNC are much higher than those for candidates.”
lurita doan gave 25,000 to them during bush race.
===
christy again-”The regional managers, most of whom have been chosen, will spend four days at the New Mexico resort this week. McCain aides said there will be intensive meetings with Republican chairmen from across the country, who are holding their annual meeting in the swing state.”
resort?????? quite a chunk of change, i’ll bet.
who’s payin for that?
thought they didn’t have any money?
is he using his federal funds grant as collateral again???????? /s
===========
===========
OT epu’d
this is ’rich’ with irony-
news announcement that 1,100 lawyers in ohio are volunteering to advise homeowners in financial trouble to help them keep their homes.
then,
usbank commercial advertising for equity loans, ’interest rates lowest ever’
not an april fool’s joke.
=====
(and mccain is running on his military record because he knows he can run on his military record.
plenty of other things he’s not running on, with good reason.)
I loves youtube..Jeb?…give this woman some props by visiting
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyv_YDxO2xs
C’mon wouldn’t we love if our MOM was this cool?