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Late Sunday, the Federal Reserve made three announcements hoping to calm world financial markets and forestall a financial panic.
First, the Feds are again reducing the interest rate they charge banks by a quarter point and extending the period from 30 to 90 days. Another rate cut could occur Tuesday.
Second, after playing the middleman to enable the Fed's multi-billion bailout of Bear Stearns last week, JP Morgan has agreed, with the Federal Reserve backing the risks, to purchase Bear Stearns for a mere $2 per share.
Yep, two bucks. As The Agonist noted, Bear Stearns was trading last week at $50 per share, but even at $2/share, the Feds, who stand behind JP Morgan, may be taking a risk if Bear Stearns "assets" are in fact net liabilities. (h/t Ian and nomolos).
UPDATE: Third, expanding on the deal it gave Bear Stearns last week, the Fed further opened its loan windows directly to other non-bank Wall Street financial institutions, offering them what appears to be unlimited credit through loans/exchanges of the firms' shaky assets for safer US securities. It appears to be a massive bailout of those firms whose teetering financial conditions are based on the shaky mortagage markets.
The Fed's unprecedented actions are meant to ward off a broader collapse as the financial/confidence crises spread. If you haven't read Ian Welsh's excellent background explaining all this, you should do so. Today's New York Times summarizes the concerns this morning.
The cash squeeze that brought Bear Stearns to its knees is fanning fears that other investment banks might be vulnerable to the crisis of confidence gripping Wall Street.
Investors are bracing for another volatile week in the markets as bankers and policy makers deal with the fallout from their bid to rescue Bear Stearns.
For now, the prospect of a new wave of consolidation in the beleaguered financial services industry seems remote. That is because would-be acquirers and everyday investors alike have lost faith in the values that Wall Street firms are placing on their own assets.
Of particular concern are the so-called marks placed on mortgage-linked investments like those that undid Bear Stearns, prompting a run on the firm that led the Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase to throw Bear Stearns a financial lifeline last week. . . .
The unhappy experience of Bear Stearns proves that it is a lack of confidence, not capital, that ultimately topples even the savviest financial institutions.
“Once you have a run on the bank you are in a death spiral and your assets become worthless,” said David Trone, a brokerage analyst at Fox Pitt Kelton.
On Saturday, Martin Feldstein, president of the Cambridge/Harvard economic research group that makes the official call on whether we're in recession, delivered his opinion. His assessment was that we're not only in a recession but could be facing the worst recession since World War II. "The situation is bad, it's getting worse, and the risks are that the situation could be very bad," he warned. Udpdate II: Alan Greenspan concurs (h/t Biodun, Bilbo).
To borrow my favorite economic term, this is serious stuff. We need the wisest, most mature leadership we can muster to avert a serious recession or worse. The entire financial system is on the verge of collapse, with the Fed using every tool in its limited monetary arsenal to prop up confidence in the system.
As Ian noted, with the Fed's monetary tools stetched, we could use some fiscal policy help from Congress and the President. But as if to mock us, President George "Hoover" Bush warned business leaders that government should avoid "overcorrecting the economy" -- as though the problem we're facing is not a Fed running out of options but rather a government trying to do too much instead of relying on the unfettered markets.
Markets? The Fed has already used $400 billion of its $800 billion of readily available funds trying to bail out the wizards of Wall Street, and is facing the need to print money -- and risk inflation -- to retain further leverage. The Fed is in the process of taking over and running Wall Street financial institutions, only a step removed from nationalization.
Meanwhile, we're stuck with President Hoover and in desparate need of FDR. So it would be helpful if the media, who are recently into censoring black ministers, began instead to ask Obama and Clinton about how good their economic advisers are. Update III: I see I've been far to harsh on Herbert Hoover. Point taken.
All eyes will be in the world's and US financial markets to see how they respond to the Fed's unprecedented interventions this weekend. Will they hold? Or panic? Hang on.
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McCain takes a taxpayer-funded campaign trip to Baghdad… and mysteriously enough Cheney decides he needs to accompany him…
…I guess the conditioning is still underway!
Apparently not. Their “investment” is backed by you and I with our unlimited and incredible wealth!!!
buckle your seatbelts.
‘morning, ‘crow!
back atcha
Gotta love the free market.
But Bushie has a MBA?
Yep, I just caught that and will update.
And he was a fighter jock and all that shit.
Good morning, Scarecrow. You’re right on the mark this morning.
Don’t miss Krugman’s column which ends rather ominously too,
And he is codpiece in chief
Let me guess….the CEO of Bear Stearns will walk away with the very least $250 million? Wouldn’t surprise me. Bunch of crooks…all of them.
“Bush Is Becoming Hoover; Where is FDR?”
At home in North Carolina.
Greenspan: We’re now in the worst economic crisis since World War II…
Don’t the Bushies know all about Resolution Trust and bailouts?
and Good Morning Scarecrow!
Wasn’t this during bush1 when neilboy ripped off 200mill?
Who could have foreseenWho could be surprised that we are finally encountering the effects of seven years under leadership that clearly announces that rules are for the breaking. If you are a large company, anything goes while you line the pockets of upper level management.You can bet that Bear Stearns is the tip of an iceberg. Wall Street operates by the lemming philosophy. If Bear Stearns is nothing but bad paper, then virtually all of the investment banking sector is also.
If the “sages” are saying we are in the worst recession since World War II, my be is that we are actually facing the “D” word: depression.
What else could you expect when we have five years of war at $12 billion a month, a political system that treats taxes as sin and a total lack of regulation of financial markets. Dig in folks, this will get ugly.
No mention of his role in it, huh?
Good Morning Scarecrow and Firedogs,
via calculated risk -
the page also has ‘futures’ links
almost 600 comments this morning - jaysus !
calculated risk
Here’s what one of my readers said last night on my blog:
“# Uncle Fester Lurks Says:
March 16, 2008 at 10:17 pm e
Lets see. George HW. Bush raided the treasury as president, his son Neal was involved in the S&L banking scandal from the 80’s, his youngest son Jeb was involved in healthcare fraud in Florida, HW’s son Marvin was part of the security firm at the WTC before 9/11 than was hired by the Houston insurance company that the WTC was insured with. Then theirs little georgie, the pathetic failure and eldest son of the Bush clan. The guy who made $$$$ off of the failed Harken Oil, used eminent domain to grab land for the new Texas Rangers baseball stadium, sat on his ass during the Enron scandal, sat on his ass before 9/11, and has sat on his ass as the subprime loan fiscal has exploded. Criminals thru and thru.”
And let’s add today to the long list of financial scandals! Shall we?
Unreal how out.of.touch. this guy is. I thought of Hoover in the past year–looking at the number of houses for sale or in foreclosure and the number of people living in housetrailers now (at least in my neck of the woods)…that used to be the Middle Class.
I wanted to travel the country taking pictures of it all, so that there would be some historical record….
Meant for the previous thread so slightly OT.
Morning All!
Top of this one to you. If coffee is not enough to get your brain started, here is a Mark Penn statement that will set your head spinning, so much does it twist and turn the logic said brain in said head is supposed to produce.
h/t Politico via TPM:
http://www.politico.com/blogs/.....ivity.html
Is this a distinction without a difference, semantically? Does this make any sense whatsoever?
Perhaps the difference is that the Clinton campaign went negative and personal–Rezko 17 years, the kindergarden charge, the not Moslem is what he tells me–when the Clinton campaign was ahead and has stayed negative consistently, while Obama is only said to be going ahead with negatives now–said to, mind you, not done.
Then there is the fact that he has not lost momentum–his recent gains having wiped out Ohio, and as Kos says his metrics ahead by almost every measure except absolute number of superdelegates (and his rate of gain is better than hers).
As for transparency, he has asked that she release her tax info as he has. Oooh, so nasty that one.
Signif. Other is a master logic chopper who gave up on the possibility of logic coming out of Penn’s mouth and will not hear another word about it.
So help me here. Is there a reading I am missing that makes this statement make any sense whatsoever, in terms of argument or evidence?
I bet Bush will say, “Today is a hiccup”. Who wants to bet? He’s just an eternal optimist! Oh yes, when Rome is collapsing all around him he’s the kind of guy who will say, “Well, let’s look on the bright side. We still have our health”.
this is brilliant, at times of inflation we’re supposed to be raising interest to get funds out of circulation, instead they figure the opposite is gonna do the trick
man, we are gonna have to start printing money state by state
from scarecrow’s nyt quote:
while it’s true that a lack of confidence can topple even the most sound financial institution - that sure doesn’t sound like what happened with bear stearns. seems, to me at least, that it would be more accurate to say that investors are finally realizing that “the values that Wall Street firms are placing on their own assets” is bullshit. and what we are seeing is an unwinding from the position of “faith” to one with a more rational basis. the lack of confidence is not unjustified - which makes is all the more dangerous, because it can spiral out of control.
Oh, and good morning, Scarecrow.
So that’s it. Shrub’s legacy: Hoover with torture.
Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism discusses the crisis in light of a scary article in the Telegraph. In part, he says,
My bold.
The market will have a run today on all the banks, hedgefunds, investment firms etc. Then tomorrow or Wednesday the investors will go after companies that owe a lot of debt to banks because the Fed can’t bail them out too and with the economy exploding nobody thinks that they will be able to pay the banks.
Plus the banks can’t ignore debt their too broke right now. End the war and spend to rebuild the bridges is my best advice FDR and Keynes were Geniuses.
Bush’s NeoCon’s with Chicago School Economics training were not.
We need to ban the teaching of Chicago School Economics from schools except as an example of what can go wrong.
He will be playing with his piddle
I am betting he says we need more tax cuts
and he’s not an eternal optimust, he is a pathological liar
thus, deregulation, wonderfull thing that
OT - jim, left you a reply at the bottom of previous thread.
man, we are gonna have to start printing money state by state
Great Bush is taking advice from the Wemiar Republic of Germany.
what’s the good of hoarding cash when they’ve printed so much it’s worth less then water?
I think we should be hoarding water and protein bars not cash
selise–I replied. No problem here; you were making a good point I had left out.
it’s a good thing I have a wheelbarrow
Jane quoted by CSPAN host!
Happy St. Patricks Day all.
This may seem OT, but, ahem, aren’t there pots of gold involved?
That could save the economy. Ha ha.
And, don’t just wear green, think green.
Joe Scarborough was repeating your question, Scarecrow — in a whiny kind of voice: “Where’s FDR? Where’s the Democrat saying ‘the only thing we have to fear is fear itself’?”
What Joe misses is that in addition to saying that famous line, FDR also pushed to straighten out the markets and put the economy back on track. The Civilian Conservation Corps, the Works Projects Administration, and all those ‘alphabet soup’ agencies put people to work.
I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that had Joe been around in 1933, he would not have been pleased at such a “heavy hand of big government” attempt to address the problem.
What was the quote about?
any firedogs out there struggling with the subject - 2 most excellent pieces by Ian Welsh will help get you up to speed -
Bernanke’s Bind
How It Will Play Out
sometimes it all might as well be sanskrit - this page helps
Investopedia has a dictionary and tutorials
Let me get this straight. The people who thought these crappy securities were the path to incredible wealth (and it was until the mirrors broke and the smoke cleared away), combined with the Fed and Treasury Dept are supposed to fix this mess. Good luck with that. I can only imagine what Bear Sterns shareholders are thinking this morning, particularly those who jumped in when shares were selling at $100 plus. Awwwwwwwwww. Let’s throw ‘em a pity party.
Reminds me of the Cree proverb:
Only when the last tree is cut,
Only when the last river is polluted,
Only when the last fish is caught,
Only then will they realize
that you cannot eat money.
People start hoarding cash and I heard recently someone advocating buying lots of silver to hedge against what was coming…but I thought “you can’t EAT silver”…
They were talking about race and gender in the campaign
‘the only thing we have to fear is fear itself’?”
Joe should know that until we close the banks and verify that they actually do have money and that their mortgage debt is valued at current market prices well nobody trust their numbers.
For good reason Fear is justified when times are uncertain.
I blame Reverend Wright.
ding ding ding.
Their assets are all smoke and mirrors and leverage. The curtain just was pulled back and some of the kool aid drinkers are having to face the fact that these investment banks are snake oil operations.
BS is the tipping point. The collapse will come now. Helicopter Bernake and Paulson can’t do a thing. Both of them are part of the problem… they believed in “wall street’s” money from nothing meme.
I read I think in think progress but I can’t remember, the market mccain visited last trip is now unsafe for americans
who could have known?
Well, the way I see Bush as being an eternal optimist is no different than going to church each Sunday and having the pastor smiling his ass off when a few parishioners start questioning the bible. See? On the outside they’re smiling and saying things are fine, but inside, they’re struggling with the reality of it all!
Thanks, Scarecrow. There are couple of quotes that I want to call attention to.
First:
There was no “financial crisis” between the Great Depression and the end of WWII. So, why don’t he and his fellow economic commentators say “the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression”? The answer is that they fear that this one might top the Great Depression.
Second:
Why on earth did the Fed cut the rate on Sunday night, when they are going to cut it again on Tuesday? You cut interest rates to encourage borrowing. But nobody in their right mind will borrow on Monday when the rate is going down further on Tuesday. And wait til you hear how much further (h/t digby):
So on Sunday night the fed lowered their rate from 3.5% to 3.25% at a time when everybody expects them to lower it to 2.0% on Tuesday. WTF?
BS is the tipping point. The collapse will come now. Helicopter Bernake and Paulson can’t do a thing. Both of them are part of the problem… they believed in “wall street’s” money from nothing meme.
I bet Bush and Helicopter Ben thought that this bomb economy would detonate under a Democrats Presidency so that would be OK. (God knows I was worried about it)
People who plant bombs however do risk premature detonation:) Especially if God is watching!
Is there any place in Iraq that IS safe for Americans?
All the employee’s 401ks are worth less than toilet paper now… probably all in BS shares.
Giving shares as pension assets in 401k’s should be unlawful CASH ONLY.
where the FRIG are the democrats calling BULL CRAP on this president
as SOON as assign blame where it belongs the call for impeachment will ring DEAFENING
Apologies but this is a test, test on this end of the toobz
I just wrote the check for 100 gallons of #2 heating oil this morning. It was for $375.90. For someone working at Wal*Mart, that would be the amount of one week of work. It was reported today here in Maine that many Mainers are using scary ways to stay warm, you know, ways that could burn their homes down.
bush’s wife told us he slept fine in the face of american tragedy
he doesn’t blame himself he congratulates himself
he is a dispensationalist, a person who actually believe armageddon is a good thing and if he can cause it that makes him a messiah, a jesus christ
I am not kidding
his puppeteers are rober barons, they want to have and everyone else to have not
there is no remorse, no regrett, they are proud of this
Pretty clearly this is an attempt to prop up the markets in face of a $2/share sale of BSC. Equally clearly, so far at least, it ain’t working.
do you believe in heaven?
Good morning everyone. buckle up. I’ve updated the post to reflect a 3rd critical Fed action — opening it’s loan windows to the largest financial firms (non-banks). Last week, Bear Stearns got indirect access to Fed loans (using near worthless securities to receive US securities); this move says other struggling firms can also get loans, directly, if I read the NYT article correctly.
That’s our money now being offered to bail out the biggest Wall Street Firms. Are we in the process of nationalizing Wall Street, without admitting it?
off to work, see all later
and he also did this -
much more, including links at the wiki Great Depression page
a lot of peoples’ pensions, and a lot of communities’ bonds for things like schools are also getting clobbered.
Yeah. When the big D comes, then, maybe regular folks might get behind impeachment, but, if everyone gets kicked out of their homes, how will they make their voices heard? Without an address, can they, will they vote the creeps out?
I believe that hope is stronger than fear, but, me, I’m afeared.
The other way to get funds out of circulation is to raise taxes. (Oh, no!)
MBA = More Bushit Atty-tood
well, nationalizing wall street isn’t exactly the term
they are getting our money and they will still own wall street, it’s called externalizing their expenses, we are paying their rent and heating bill, that’s what this is
so we’ll all be feeling green today…
They are in a panic. There actions are governed by fear. I expect we will see some real crazy though if the stock market does not go up after the Fed meeting.
You asked, why cut the discount rate Sunday nite? Answer: they wanted to announce all these moves before the foreign markets opened, to stave off panic before US markets opened. That piece is in the Update link to NYT and perhaps other links.
Is that a real quote? If so, got a link?
I am not sure thats a good thing until we get another FDR.
I am only surprised this took so long
Yes indeed. But the difference between what the Fed is doing and nationalization is that we derive none of the benefits of nationalization, such as they are. It’s American Capitalism at its finest: Privatize the profits, socialize the risks.
money market accounts have Federal (FIDC) protection…most others do not…go to bankrate.com to find the best investment opportunities…and strategies…
only on the downside. i’d rather have them nationalizing the institutions they are bailing out.
I am ready for the task…but what to do?…I haven’t even begun to campaign
maybe 4 years from now then
Let us not forget that the person who arguably could be said to have done the most to root out corruption on Wall Street now is finished professionally because he hired a hooker. Who will document these crimes and prosecute them?
I better go to work, i can’t quit you guys
Alan Greenspan Worst Crisis Since WWII
Morning Joe quoted Greenspan this morning saying that…I’ll chase down a linky for ya…
I understand that and have nothing but sympathy for them. They have no choice. My ire is directed at individuals in a position to leverage their way into what they perceived as risk-free wealth. But we’re not gonna hear anything about the people whose pensions are tied up in 401(k) accounts, we’re gonna hear about the robber barons whose portfolios are now next to worthless. For them I have no sympathy at all.
that sums it up
Bingo!
How can Bear Stearns be worth $80 last Monday but only $2 by Sunday night?
When all of this washes out, look for the role leverage and hedge funds played in all of this.
Actually, there was a billionare who bought shares when BS was about $130, thinking it would go higher. Don’t know when he got out, but assume it’s not today.
it doesn’t sum up american capitolism, it sums up deregulation
regulation was put there to address the issues capitolism caused themselves, that’s why the very notion “regulation is bad” is rediculous
they refuse to pay their bills and THEN we regulate them into paying their bills
once in a while a regulation becomes counter productive for US and only then are we supposed to relax that regulation
i think this is wrong…. and is quite an important point. would you be willing to check it out? thanks.
Who Is Bear Stearns Investor Joe Lewis?
my 88 was in response to elliots’s 85
now I am definately going to work, you guys owe me an hour pay
Bilbo, Biodun: Classic. I’ve added a link, at the end of the Feldstein paragraph. Thanks.
Wonder what Andrea will have to say? “No one could have anticipated.”
While we are on the subject of nationalizing the economy an EPU from latelatenite
ThingsComeUndone March 17th, 2008 at 1:32 am
269
I know Bush and Helicopter Ben will never collect on these funny loans to banks but have they thought this through?
A new administration GOP or Dem desperate for cash after the war debt Bush has left us might ask for an independent accounting of the value of the homes that the Federal Reserve accepted Mortgage paper on in exchange for government T-Bills.
Now unless home prices bounce back any such independent accounting will show that the home loans made when home prices were high do not have the same value as now.
So if a bank gave the Fed $100 dollars in mortgage loan debt today in return for $100 in government T-bills but the home is now worth only $90 dollars then things get interesting.
The Fed can and should ask for more collateral for its loans.
If the Fed gets 51% of the Banks assets then they defacto become the bank, leaving shareholders with only the 49% remaining of the banks assets.
Bush in effect is doing what Karl Marx only dreamed of…without freakin violence.
Bush has set up a chain of events that could Nationalize business ownership in the Government/People.
Or if the Fed never takes ownership and home prices never recoup the cost of the loans PLUS INTEREST then we get a Japanese style decade of bad economy and the Tax Payers get screwed.
reply
oh, and this is wonderfull
paulson actually says to save the markets not the dollar
in other words, american markets get trashed if the dollar collapses, but our exported markets should do just fine
what a friggin moron
hear ! hear !.
loosely related
about 6 weeks ago, Atrios in riffing on a Krugman column raised the very real possibility that city, county, and state governments ‘invested’ in this dross and like the Masters of the Financial Universe are sitting on it, not wanting to come out - resulting in bankruptcies near to mid term
unlike these folks who took charge
exactly.
except, of course, that ian, sterling and oldman did - years ago. it’s really a shame that all their writing on bopnews is no longer online.
I want to be your Fed Chairman!:)
Meanwhile US$ keeps tumbling, oil is going out of sight (W still hasn’t fugured out that his Arab buddies need to trade US$ for Euros in order to buy goods), and the real inflation is yet to com. Unfortunately, in these days of trickle down economics the pain Big Capital will suffer will quickly translate into a much bigger pain for workers/retirees/students than we have seen so far.
Thanks for the link Bilbo, I don’t get MSNBC
Scarecrow:
Here we go. From the NYTimes today:
My bold.
And that’s why we are in trouble. If these thieves had to deal with their own losses, then the market would actually be free and self-correcting. They know that they can play their games with no downside (to them) and so we are all screwed.
Money Market Accounts (with banks) are FDIC insured up to FDIC limits if the the bank is FDIC insured. Money Market Funds (run by investments houses and other financial entities other than banks) are NOT FDIC insured.
Just what drugs is he on?
Once again the Republican Party has given America another Herbert Hoover. The question is do the American people finally realize what a con game has been played on them by the purveyors of greed, self-righteousness, hypocrisy and xenophobia. I suspect that even when even more Americans are standing in soup lines, sleeping in their vehicles or on the top of steam grates, selling apples on the corner, they will be shouting “We’re still number one!” They have been so indoctrinated with the myth of American exceptionalism that no matter how bad it gets they lack the capacity for critical thinking to see the root cause for a nations ills.