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SUUUUUU-zanne!

What’s up, pups?

FunnyD

Hey!

good evening friends.
hi suzanne.

just saw this:
Diebold Accidentally Leaks Results Of 2008 Election Early
http://www.theonion.com/conten.....ally_leaks

heya all

g’evening late late nite pups. how’s it going for ya’ll tonight?

Suz, this guy can play some gee-tar.

The YouTubes are not working for me here tonight, Suz. Not at C&L either. Other sites are fine. Is it something my computer has suddenly decided to piss me off about?

They keep stopping and starting…

Junior is very underappreciated. Most folks just write him off as ‘country’ and do not recognize how gifted he is.

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try clearing your cache loohoo and see if that helps.

14?

Suz, I confess I’d never heard of him until just now. He’s great!

I give up

I am doing well. Came through the injections with flying colors and already noticing a difference.

And, of course, I am blogging between naps: On Hands, Pledges & National Anthems

neuro, i think tonight is a good nite for you to not be in vegas (laughing)

yeah!!! good news

i am quite pleased!

obama economic advisors:
http://www.tnr.com/politics/st.....bc9d19be1a

http://digg.com/music/Late_Lat.....oll_Medley

LOL I think you are correct

can’t name it but can chime in with a: har har har

thanks dood

Suz, I’ve lost count trying to pick out the songs he’s playing. Right now it’s Foxy Lady.

And with an ad for a cure for awakeness!!!

lol, Brown is a stream of classics

You Really Got Me?

played some awesome chuck berry in there and i thought i caught some led zep included too.

Is the cache under history?

I think I heard some ZZ Top at the beginning.

The Wind Cries Mary, now.

loohoo, pc or mac?

yeah :) just what the body politic needs …

Are you playing this? I love it.

lol

Suzanne!
Cream

I heard some SRV kind of riff before You Really Got Me.

Yea!

Heartbreaker.

One of my favorite Junior Brown songs You Are Wanted By The Police And My Wife Thinks You’re Dead (that is his wife playing in the band for your trivia buffs)

that medley is pretty cool, suzanne. thx!

Sunshine of Your Love is the Cream cover (i think)

I was looking for Doc Watson’s version, but found this instead:

Hank Williams — Weary Blues

Find the YouTube to match the riff?

yep

whole lotta Junior goin on

Nice find.

Johnny Be Good

i heard it around 0:45 or so in the junior utube, right before he went into the kinks. but, my ears have a tendency to want to hear SRV so…

ah, i wondered what he did with the bottom half. cool instrument.

running the numbers for clinton from the atlantic:
she keeps all her superdelegates, Florida and Michigan’s delegations are seated fully to her advantage, and if she wins in Ohio by 65% and wins in Texas by 65%, and all other percentages hold, she can win the nomination.

http://marcambinder.theatlanti.....t_with.php

that’s pretty grim …

Goode?

Getting so sleepy….

Great hack of an AT&T billboard here:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/2.....otostream/

THIS is the coolest guitar ever.

Can’t talk about Junior without including Highway Patrol but I acknowledge I am biased on the subject matter.

Thanks RBG. With the help of my XM, my mind has been expanding the last few years ;-)

He invented it according to the wiki.

Whoa! Who the hell could play that?!

my mind expanded in the 60s and 70s, but it started contracting when Raygun got elected

sorry, tex, i was trying to say that junior invented his guitar thingie.

Wow! I like this:

For their part, the Obama wonks tend to be inductive–working piecemeal from a series of real-world observations. One typical Goolsbee brainchild is something called an automatic tax return. The idea is that, if you had no tax deductions or freelance income the previous year, the IRS would send you a tax return that was already filled out. As long as you accepted the government’s accounting, you could just sign it and mail it back. Goolsbee estimates this small innovation could save hundreds of millions of man-hours spent filling out tax forms, and billions of dollars in tax-preparation fees.

lol neuro ;-)

i am thankful i had my juvenile record sealed about all that expansion i was doing back then…

Wonderful video!

pc

Thanks for article on economic advisors. I only knew about the Goolsbee guy. interesting bunch who should inspires some confidence. The article was right, Thaler and Cutler are not ideologues or dreamers. I personally think Goolsbee is a little dreamy (no, not that way) in terms of his bas towards basing his work on neoclassical equilibrium economic theory.

Mathematicians have a little joke: economics is applied mathematics with no applications.

It’s math humor.

I think Goolsbee fits that picture somewhat. Certainly not Thaler and Cutler. But I think Cutler is wrong that the US gets more than for its health care dollar than we think, unless you define ‘getting something for your dollar’ in just the right, rather restricted way. But he is a very solid health economist, who prefers messy facts over perfect theory.

Though, many economists don’t think that health economics is a respectable field -too practical and messy, too much grubby working through messy data, to wrapped up in intuitive ideas about human welfare and pesky things like that. Not enough room for High Theory and display of technical virtuosity.

his voice even sounds a little like Jimi’s

if using firefox browser, go to tools in your toolbar, and click clear private data. if in IE (you really should switch), it is your history.

Wow, me too.

ha, thats great!

That song is one of the great ex-girl friend songs of all time, and has a great lyric, goes something like

Better say hi some other time instead,
since you’re wanted by the police
and my wife she thinks your dead.

I’m gonna watch the clip.

Oh, sorry, not High school, just college.

When it comes to gee-tars, I always have to give props to the late, great Danny Gatton (local boy):

Sleepwalk

Gawd. Don’t let the freeway blogger know. Is Scarlot traveling the world now, letting everyone know that we do not like W?

I heard from him and Scarlet will not be attending the meetup Sunday. It was great having him last time but he is not going to be in the area :(

tis worth it - even on dial up

(Personal to Suz — after all this time, I still pull out your instructions on how to post YouTube links! Sssshhh, don’t tell nobody! *wink*)

Loo Hoo. @ 64 and wesgpc @69: i thought it was interesting … trying to guess what he’ll really do and who will influence him

(whispering back) i won’t say a word to a single soul LL - your secret is safe with me (wink wink)

Thanks again. Just watched it. His wife looks like a real southern cutie. No wonder he told the ex to hit the road.

Fixed, Suz. Thanks!

News and blog posts are up. I am off to sleep.

LooHoo, tis the #1 fix for most computer problems. If that doesn’t resolve it, rebooting the computer 99.99% of the time fixes it.

Last comment I saw from him, he said he would be spreading the word world-wide.

That’s what I had heard also. I will drag out my one IMPEACH sign that I have left from when we made signs here and proudly display it for the meetup.

Suz, one of these days I will surprise you and attend one of your meet-ups. Wish I could make it on Sunday!

Late Night Right! Here’s what’s on my mind, though Junior’s in my ears.
High Democratic Primary Turnouts

Turns out that the numbers of high turnouts are quite real, though the US News & Review tends to poo-poo their meaning. I have to disagree with their analysis. They correctly point out that Democrats have tended to outdraw Republicans in primaries since about 1972, and point out that this is because they were generally the party on the “outs” (IOTW Nixon was the incumbent in 1972, Ford was unchallenged in 1976, Reagan in 1984, Bush Sr. was coronated in 1988; and Bush II in 2004) the Republicans have drawn more twice…in 1996 when Clinton was the incumbent was first elected, and 2000 (when Gore was coronated and the the Republicans were highly competitive).

And they point out that Primary turnouts don’t necessarily predict who will win in the General Election in such circumstances. Quite true…but they fail to say that large turnouts by the opposition only fail to mean anything in the case of a currently popular incumbent. That individual will win. But if they have low popularity values they will lose (Ford, Carter, Bush I re-election). Otherwise the primary turnouts are predictive.

That’s what makes this election quite interesting. There is no “incumbent” and both Parties had competitive primary races. There is a wide, diverse selection of various “brands” of Republicans in the Primaries…yet few are turning out to participate. And that’s precisely where the USN&WR falls short - they don’t notice that this makes the Primaries much more comparable in terms of predicting relative turnout in the fall. There is currently an unpopular President, and the Republican nominee is attempting to “inherit” the policies of that President. I suggest that this is a recipe for a major electoral disaster for the Republicans.

Oh BTW…USN&WR also included the Florida and Michigan numbers (despite the fact that the Democrats decertified those races and turnout was much lower vis-a-vis Republican turnout in those states). Without them the differential is over 2/1.

YouTube has this listed as a related video to Junior Brown’s. I don’t know the connection, but it has some pretty hot guitar…

Johnny Winter doing Jumping Jack Flash

wish you could too (pouting but perking up at the perhaps)

iirc, junior has played with johnny winter and other well known folks.

I love Junior Brown. Way to go, Suz!

the central texas firepups are inviting all of you to our meet up during Netroots Nation in July.

Interesting analysis. I would differ only in that Ford did have primary opposition in 1976 from Ronald Reagan, and it went all the way to the convention.

Really enjoy the music, Suz!

thanks, i like his ear candy and find i always think better when there are good tunes playing.

i still don’t know if i’m gonna be going or not.

neuro, that’s good stuff.

Very late here, good night pups! Rawk on…

g’nite LL

nite LL

Plus, polling is off. People (like me) have given up land lines, in part to punish the telecoms, and use only cells. People with cells are not polled, and the same is true of people who screen their calls. Life is different, and the pollsters are not able to keep up right now. How many people under 30 have land lines?

unning the numbers for clinton from the atlantic:
she keeps all her superdelegates, Florida and Michigan’s delegations are seated fully to her advantage, and if she wins in Ohio by 65% and wins in Texas by 65%, and all other percentages hold, she can win the nomination.

http://marcambinder.theatlanti…..t_with.php

that’s pretty grim …

Indeed. That’s why she’s trying to fiddle with the Texas caucuses…and make all the delegate selections based on the vote. But given the polls (which shows things about even, or Obama slightly ahead), and the ways that areas that had larger Democratic turnouts in the last two elections get more delegates, she’s likely not to get more that way either. Cities like Houston, Dallas-Ft. Worth, Austin, Beaumont-Port Arthur have more “oomph” that San Antonio and El Paso since they had poorer turnouts previously. I think it’s gonna break even (or maybe a smidgen more for Obama) in Texas in terms of delegates. And there’s no way that Hillary will get more than about 55% in Ohio; it’s closing in Pennsylvania, too.

Obama is expanding his lead in North Carolina and Vermont..and these States may be called early enough to have an impact on either voter selection or caucus turnouts later in the evening. Rhode Island looks like it’s easily going for Clinton…but that’s just a few delegates.

Look forward to seeing you! Will Cassie be able to come?

TDS is totally going after boosh… said his senioritus was showing

our president’s image on the backside of someone’s dress and bush says ‘its styling’. oh, this is one of the best TDS’s since the return of the writers.

Location, location, location.

spew

good one newton

OK, Jr Brown, Jonny Winter, I guess it is a serious night here. Makes me think of the second Sonny Boy, for no particular reason.

I hope that this is what Bush will be saying to Pelosi when the meet to hash out future compromises (the awesome and elaborate lyrics 3 min into clip):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i44baLmU5js

Jon set me up. I almost felt guilty swinging at it.

I cannot get over this business of 1 in 100 American adults in prison. This is so screwed up. How about let’s legalize marijuana and divide that number substantially, and at the same time tax it?

sonny makes me think of willie

I came into briefing one afternoon back when I was still working and there was a statistic that involved ‘if we started executing all the prisoners on CA death row at the rate of one per day, it would take ___ years.’ i forget the # but it was one that stuck in my head and has never gone away.

This isn’t about the polls. It’s about the turnouts at the primaries and caucuses, but I would agree that the national polls are biased in several ways. They’ve actually been pretty good in the Republican Primaries, which is surprising given that there was often a complex of three to four candidates splitting the vote in different ways. Yet they almost always got both the order and the numbers right within a few % points. About the only screw up they made here was in pre-Primary punditry at the national level…predicting Giuliani as the favorite and McCain “out of it”. But their State-By-State calls as elections approached were pretty good.

The Democratic Primaries were filled with massive errors. They’ve been off by double digits (sometimes almost 20%) in several races…they’ve messed up predicting who was supposed to win and the placements of others. That’s because of many factors. I think that many Democrats (more than Republicans) have given up land-lines, as you say. That can be because Democrats are increasingly urban, younger, move more often, use alternative technologies (cell phones and Skype), etc. But I also think that the polls have made a very real fundamental error in their analysis of the poll results that they actually HAVE.

The results you see are never actually the raw results from their telephone calls. What the pollsters do is alter the results by a complex demographic model that they hope predicts who will actually turn up to vote in Nove