The Bush/Cheney/Rove GOP can’t win on the issues and has only two moves: fear and smear. They’re already rolling out both against Obama.

Fear:

BILL KRISTOL: Look, she needs to take Obama down, but the way to take him down is not to have a debate on his tactics. That’s the huge mistake here. “Shame on you, you’re running a campaign inconsistent with your message, you’re a little misleading in some leaflet you’re distributing, some flyer on health care” — that’s ludicrous at this point.

He’s riding a wave of euphoria. She needs to puncture it. The way you puncture euphoria is reality or, to be a little more blunt, fear. And I recommend to Senator Clinton the politics of fear . . . She needs to say not, “Ooh, this campaign tactic’s a little out of line.” She needs to say, “Let’s wait a second here. Is this man ready to run against the Republicans for president of the United States in a time of war? And is he ready to be president? He wants to negotiate on January 21st with Ahmadinejad. Here’s what Ahmadinejad has said about blowing up Israel. He’s never run a serious race. He’s not ready for the job.”

Smear:

Conservative Republican consultant Keith Appell, who worked with the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, said Obama’s opposition to the war will create a "striking contrast between McCain the war hero and Obama the poster child for the anti-war movement."

"If you are McCain, you want to play up the decorated war hero, loves his country, served his country," Appell said. "You want to play those themes up as much as possible, especially in comparison to Obama and his role in the anti-war movement."

They barely eeked eked eeked out a win in ’04 using fear and smear against Kerry, and even though they got their asses handed to them running the same playbook in ’06, they seem to be in complete denial about that trouncing, blaming it on everything from Ted Haggard to pork. And obviously they can’t run on Bush’s awesome record.

So, expect a lot of "Obama hates America" and "Your children will die if you vote for Obama" leading up to November.