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A quick update on the latest polls, on the day before Super Tuesday.
Senators Clinton and Obama appear to headed towards a dead heat, with Obama gaining on Clinton in national polls and reducing Clinton's lead or moving slightly ahead in a few state polls, particularly California. However, Clinton still leads in most Tuesday primary states.
Today's CNN/Opinion Research Corp poll has Obama moving slightly ahead of Clinton nationally, though still within the margin of effor. Obama has erased Clinton's once sizable lead since South Carolina.
The CBS/NYT poll has Clinton and Obama tied at 41 percent each, nationally. However, as Josh notes, this poll has Clinton holding a large lead -- 49 to 31 percent -- in just those states holding primaries Tuesday.
From the Washington Post/ABC poll:
2/1/08 1/12/08 12/9/07 11/1/07
Hillary Clinton 47 42 53 51
Barack Obama 43 37 23 24
A Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll Monday has Obama opening narrow leads in California and Missouri, and deadlocked in New Jersey, while holding larger leads in Georgia and two other states. A Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey shows the Clinton lead to be 48 to 43 percent.
Via John Aravosis, check out the trend lines from the Gallup daily tracking polls, which show a more or less steady climb by Obama relative to Clinton. The two seemed to have split the Edwards votes since his stepping out of the race.
We'll add more polls as we go along.
See you in the next thread.
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Caw caw…
Scarecrow!
caw caw. Go Hillary.
LOL!
Good morning Scarecrow.
This is just why people should vote Edwards in those states where they can as he can hold a fair amount of power with his delegates. It is essential to have Edwards holding the “endorsement” strings as that will be the only way to persuade the remaining candidates to be more realistic in their positions on healthcare, gun control, war by choice and support of workers.
It’ll be up in a coupla.
Morning Scarecrow, morning firedogs -
As an Edwards supporter who is leaning seriously toward Obama let me say this; if Clinton wins big on Tuesday, and she very well may, I sincerely hope that the almost overwhelming sense of karma and destiny that I see in the Obama campaign does not die out and go away. We have two truly fantastic candidates. I would be very happy to see either one of them in the White House. I think that either of them is capable of becoming a great president.
Last night I had a conversation with my 27 year old daughter, who has had nothing but distain for the weak-kneed, corporatist Democratic Party and has proudly defended her Nader vote in 2000. She told me that she plans to vote for Hillary Clinton. I was gobsmacked. She went on to say that she was voting for Clinton because she was a woman. She said that she liked Obama but that he was young and inexperienced and that he would have another chance, and that Hillary is in her prime and that this is the time for a woman. She said that Hillary really has a chance and that if women miss this opportunity there may not be another chance for a long time. It was a very convincing and argument.
Now I really don’t know what to do. Maybe I’ll vote for Obama and the Bride will vote for Hillary, maybe I’ll just wait until I’m faced with the levers and make a zen-like decision.
The thing about Hillary is we have a pretty good idea of what/where/who her skeletons are, we should/will continue to pay attention.
BUT, we need someone with the strength of will of Hillary combined with her political/ foreign/life/motherhood/being/staying married to Bill experience.
Hillary has the brains and strength of experience to able to get things done..It is up to us to stay on top of things.
Barak needs more time in political/world affairs and would be a much better choice in 8 years.
My 2 cents….
When all the crap about Resko and his dealings with the big poluters for big bucks comes out Mr. Obama at BEST will have no future in politics. Democratic politics anyway. Maybe repugnantklan, he kinda fits the Rovian profile. But I think the more likely scenario is mr. Obama gets indicted and hopes President Clinton gives him a Presidential pardon. Just my opinion but the evidance as it emerges seems to be headed in that direction.
I’ve got to say, that I’m absolutely facinated by peoples facination with these polls. I can only think back to New Hamphire and Hillary’s “surprise” win to take these polls with a grain of salt and not as the end all be all.
Your daughter is a wise lady. Rolling the dice is always risky, especially if you do not know who owns the dice you are rolling. LOL! Just joking hmmm