43607867_8b2c45472f.jpgShorter Fox News "All Stars": CLENIS!

While the Village Elders may be salivating over the prospect of another round of spotted dick, the real replay from the 90’s may very well be a coming recession depression:

Somewhere in all this mess the U.S. stock market will collapse. At the moment the stock market is already in a correction, worrying about an economic recession. What it really should be worrying about is something much worse – a complete collapse of the credit markets globally, leading to a depression that will last 3 – 5 years. Once that is understood, the Dow will be trading well below 8,000.

So hold on to your job, whatever that may be. Pay down your debt and watch your expenses. Monitor the credit and market risks in your investment portfolio, and if you have any real concerns, U.S. Treasuries earning 2% will be a lot better than stocks or bonds that might collapse in value. As of now, the four horsemen of the apocalypse are mowing down the big players, but the little guy will be in their sights eventually.

Rangel and Schumer are on the shows this morning talking about the need for economic demand side stimulus, though by hastening to emphasize that "no lines are being drawn in the sand," Schumer makes my next point before I get to make it: the Democratic Congress will once again give Mr. 25% whatever he wants.

I’ve talked to some progressive wonks lately who have some good ideas they are shoppping around the Hill to help with what’s coming, but while Democrats know how to govern, they truly suck at media and politics. There’s no way their fantasy league ideas will see the light of any day, because this Congress has apparently learned the wrong lesson from last year: instead of picking and sticking to fights they should fight like hell, they think their mistake last year was due to over promising and under delivering. They won’t make that mistake this year: they plan to under promise AND under deliver. The progressive policy wonks have no idea what to do about it, and no idea how to build movement around a core message. They truly don’t know what they don’t know.

And so, as Wall Street begins to fathom what it has wrought, the rest of us keep an eye on our brittle, neglected, unready economic levees. The presidential hopefuls can snipe at each other all they want, but the next president may well face circumstances unlike any in our collective memory, alien to our current discourse. Because of the price tag, ironically, it may be Wall Street that forces us out of Iraq. Welcome to the peace movement, y’all!

Not many people working today remember 1982, let alone the stagflation of the late 1970’s. . . or the depression of the 1930’s. They have no frame of reference for where we may be headed. The press may think we’re headed back to 1992, but the real worry is we may be headed for 1932, 21st Century style.

Related posts:

  1. Earth to CBO, Senate Finance and WaPo: “It’s the Economy, Stupid”
  2. Superfusion: How China and America Became One Economy
  3. Pessimists on the Economy Don’t Exist at the Washington Post
  4. World Economy Finding a Bottom Because the Keynesians are in China
  5. FDL Book Salon Welcomes Barry Ritholtz – Bailout Nation: How Greed and Easy Money Corrupted Wall Street and Shook the World Economy