It takes a very tasty headline to get me to click on George Will's column. This morning's, The GOP's Grim Numbers, tempted me. And boy, am I glad! The headline changed once you actually arrived at the column, A GOP Numbers Crunch, so I knew the Washington Post Online headline writers had beckoned me for a good reason. Turns out they did. This Will column is cause for rejoicing.
The Bow-Tied One is in the dumps, and he wants the entire GOP in the dumps with him. So he lays out the bad news, paragraph after paragraph:
But although only one-third of 1 percent of the national electorate -- those who have participated in the Iowa, Wyoming and New Hampshire nominating events -- have spoken, the Democrats have even more reason than they did three weeks ago to look forward to a rollicking November. Realistic Republicans are looking for shelter.
Nov. 4 could be their most disagreeable day since Nov. 3, 1964. Actually, this November could be even worse, because in 1964 Barry Goldwater's loss of 44 states served a purpose, the ideological reorientation and revitalization of the party. Which Republican candidate this year could produce a similarly constructive loss?
Got that? Not only are things very grim for the GOP, there's not a single GOP presidential candidate worth losing with, as far as Georgie's concerned, because none of them would produce such a grand and glorious movement resurrection as Barry Goldwater's loss did in 1964. Even losing won't be fun. No GOP presidential candidate has the stones-- or the dedicated followers -- to lose heartily and then rally the party behind his message in a glorious phoenix-like rebirth.
Hanging around GOPers exclusively, George Will knows the argument they present for their downticket comeback in 2008. And he's ready to puncture the primary argument very efficiently, with numbers that should make our Blue America candidates very happy indeed:
Republicans try to take comfort from the fact that 61 Democratic members of Congress represent districts that President Bush carried in 2004. But 37 of those won with at least 55 percent of the vote. Furthermore, 14 Republican representatives won in 2006 by a single percentage point or less.
Georgie can't help stirring the pot a little, calling a possible Hillary Clinton nomination a gift to Republicans, one he thinks Barack Obama is warning against with "subliminal subtext." Even shit-stirring on our side can't keep the Bow-Tied One from getting all gloomy again:
But even if Democrats nominate Clinton, Republicans must remember that Bush's 2.4-point margin of victory in 2004 was unimpressive: In the 12 previous reelections of presidents, the average margin of victory was 12.9 points. Bush's 50.7 percent of the vote in 2004 was the third-smallest for a reelected president (Woodrow Wilson and Bill Clinton won 49.2 percent in 1916 and 1996, respectively). Kerry's 48.3 percent was the largest ever against a president being reelected. (In the 12 previous reelections, no losing candidate received more than 46.1 percent; nine of the losers received less than 45 percent.)
Funny, I don't remember those numbers being featured much when Chimpy McFlightsuit babbled about spending his political capital on his mandate -- or something. Now, suddenly, Very Serious People remind themselves and the Other Very Serious People that Preznit Staggerpuss never really had a mandate at all.
Finally, Will rallies as he wraps it up:
Republicans should try to choose the next president. They cannot avoid choosing how their party will define itself, even if by a loss beneath a worthy banner.
Democrats know we're picking a President. GOP Cheerleader Number One tells his readers: pick a candidate worth a really big loss, because it's headed our way.
I like that. It makes me smile.
{YouTube of Lily Allen's Smile, courtesy of delabel}
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evening teddy
excellent! second one today!
hiya betsy!
Nice post Teddy.
Where is everyone? I even stopped to read there before comment 4.
hey TSF. I dunno. Ever get the feeling that guys like him are lowering expectations early so when it’s time for the general they can say the R candidate is beating expectations…. gaining momentum… changing the whole electoral landscape….. has the Democrats panicking….. vindicated Bush and the Surge!!!!! Maybe I’m just used to Will being full of shit.
So he’s saying repubs should cross the aisle and choose which dem we’re electing?
The Bow Tied One is just still pissy that he was not the Blown and Tied Up One. Get over it, dood.
Hi, Teddy! Thanks for flagging this, and making me very happy. I love to see George Will pout.
Just back from my trip and have a lot of catching up to do on my blog reading.
oh crap, i forgot my manners.
Teddy! Another excellent Sunday evening post you have served up for us tonight.
In honor of the New York Football Giants and their win over America’s Most Pompous Team, we have a special cake! (Don’t worry, there are two more of these in the pantry for weeks upcoming.)
The Thugs have too much to loose to go away quietly. Thinking about a Dem DOJ might make them think of creative ways to stay in power.
Excellent news Teddy!
Maybe he could invite Broder and Bobo over and they could all have a good cry and a full out pity party.
And Kristol can cater it.
Did the Cry-boys Loose?
Evening all. How ya doin’ there Teddy? That is certainly a column to bring smiles to progressive faces. Republicans seeking shelter? Does that mean they will be crawling back under their rocks?
I’m not sure abnout Will’s take on Goldwater and ‘64. Nixon wasn’t with that shit and won twice and Ford almsot won after him. We had Regan for 8 years “ideologically reorienting” the party In ‘80 - 16 years after the Goldwater debacle. Since then (and maybe even before), the JF’s have determined the idealogical orietation of the party and I think Goldwater had disdain for them.
Yes indeedy!
New York Football Giants!!!!! Hey Eli, when ya go to Walt Disney World, stop by. And bring some bagels.
Actually, I am still not entirely convinced that Cheney intends to let loose the reigns of power next January. I am not convinced he won’t either. It is still pretty much a toss up for me.
http://texbetsy.headonradionet.....n-version/
“Impeach Bush” t-shirt wearers forced to leave National Archives Constitution Display in DC
*waving to dr (pause) dick* i’m still on the tinfoilhat fence about this administration and jan 09
I will stop holding my breath at 12:01 on January 20, 2009, DrDick. Until then, anything can happen. And with Cheney, I do mean anything.
does sound like that.
Hmmm…
First and foremost, I’m watching the NH Recount. Make sure the chain of custody of the ballots is verifiable, and let the Recount begin. My hunch is that Obama won NH, much the same way that Max Cleland won in Georgia.
Then there will be a complete shift in the paradigm.
Pretty please?
I dunno about this. Will is one of the gasiest of the gasbags (and Beerfart knows his gas). He called Edwards Trtsky last week. I hope he’s right. But he’s fulla it.
Nuking Congress is not impossible.
San Diego Chargers- behind their ex fighting University of Oregon coach Norv Turner- kick the holy shit out of the super bowl champs and go on to the AFC championship game- where they will be unable to wear their powder blue jerseys as they will be on the road.
luv luv luv lilly allen. posted this video on skippy about a year ago.
but i hate george will. even when he’s whining about how lousy his party is doing, he’s insufferable.
Their powder blue jerseys are gay.
Too true. Don’t think I have ever actually believed a word he has written, but he does certainly paint a rosy picture of democracy restored.
you just might wanna find another choice of words there, bfl
The Michigan GOP state party chairman is taking questions at the WaPo0 tomorrow at 10am eastern. I’m asking what he thinks of Markos’ ratfucking Dick Tuck crossover voting for MItt proposal….
OT:
MSNBC Uninvites Kucinich To Vegas Debate
from Huff Po by The Huffington Post News Editors
Rep. Dennis Kucinich won’t be taking part in MSNBC’s debate in Las Vegas on Tuesday. It certainly won’t be the first time that Kucinich was excluded from a recent Democratic debate. But the difference is Kucinich was initially invited, and had met the criteria, for the MSNBC debate. Then, MSNBC changed the criteria and told Kucinich he was uninvited.
Alternet published a Kucinich press release, which said that 44 hours after Kucinich got a congratulatory letter and invite from NBC to the Nevada debate, they notified him of their changed criteria, and his exclusion.
Fart
No they aren’t!
Well OK- there was that one gay wide receiver back in those days-
But NO THEY AREN’T
Ok. Will do. Lemme think about it.
Good evening, Teddy! Thanks for reading and reporting on George Will. I would never have known about this, because I haven’t read him in years. They’re in panic mode.
The MAIN thing about the powder blue jerseys is that Dean Spanos hates em and the Charger fans LOVE em- so it’s kind of a political issue.
Spanos wants everyone in southern california to chip in a hundred bucks to buy him a new stadium with lots of expensive corporate boxes and lap dancers.
Wonder what it feels like to be the gob sacrificial lamb?
Bleat Bleat Bleat
Whine Whine Whine
Tough Shit.
Which WR? Lance Allworth? I’m workin’ on anorther way to say it, per the Cop Lady @ 31.
Something is on the back burner, for sure. They won’t give up power without something illegal and unAmerican.
No one’s eating their cake. Eat, eat! Come on. Won’t kill ya to celebrate the Giants for a minute or two.
During my corporate life- we had several corporate boxes- which are absolutely decadent- and the best way ever invented to watch a sporting event. God how I miss it!
Personally, I loves me some roasted lamb. :~)
False flag.
Falsies.
You are going to be the best friggin’ Union Organizer evah!
i was objecting to the negative connotation in your sentence structure, bfl, not the term itself.
I believe that you are correct in your hypothetical thinking.
Sportscaster here just said that Washington fans were celebrating — not so much that the Giants won, but that Dallas lost ;-)
what cake (hiding empty cake stand behind chair)
Tanks. I should hear tomorrow.
I am celebrating - I absolutely support Eli and the Giants !
Where are you watching the recount?
” Actually, this November could be even worse, because in 1964 Barry Goldwater’s loss of 44 states served a purpose, the ideological reorientation and revitalization of the party. Which Republican candidate this year could produce a similarly constructive loss? “
Regean way was paved by Goldwater’s loss forcing the GOP to change to win. But it was lower oil prices that beat the USSR and American wages and living standards kept going down under Regean.
Still I get the point who amoung the GOP except for RON PAUL is proposing real change?
George Will doesn’t mention him because the Corporate GOPers don’t like him. but Ron is Regean without Racial Code words .
Ron could either destroy the GOP or destroy the country. After all Corporate America and Minorities on the same side? It boggles the mind.
OK. When the Giants represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, they will be wearing their Manly Blue Jerseys which are a different shade of blue than the Chargers jerseys which are not Manly Blue - something for which they have tried to compensate by putting lightning bolts on the shoulders.
A belated good evening all!
Poor Mr. Will, I feel bad for him, truly /s
Had to work till 9:30 so I missed the late game, glad to hear the G-men won. Strange doings in the Manning family, Eli wins and Peyton loses?! Of course this means another glorious game on the frozen tundra of Lambeau field.
Since my Saints are out, I am taking the Pack to the Super Bowl. Farve is gonna get him another ring then hang it up.
Not cool dude. Very not cool.
Fuck the Giants and the Yankees they rode in on. Just FUCK em…I am hoping that the San Diego Chargers end up facin em in the Super Dooper Bowl- wearing their powder blue jerseys- and that they kick the shit out of that fucked up turd Eli who refused to join the team in America’s favorite city.
Oh, Damn, you mean Dallas lost? Shit, even I will celebrate that and I ignore sports. 8~)
Actually, there might be signs of life in the GOP. Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is an example. I’ve become a fan, but have just fallen out with her administration on this issue:
Just uploaded my weekly Kos diary. It is about Polar Bears - first time I’ve taken them up as a subject. I saw two in the wild once, back in August 1982. Four of us were trying to get in the Guiness Book of World Records for the most northerly water skiing trip ever. We were about 20 miles north of Barrow, Alaska, at the ice edge. We decided we didn’t want to fall in the water.
I propose we ignore sports — starting, um, now.
No problemo.
Which corporation did you work for, rw?
My son lives in Dallas and hates the Cowboys- he is probably on his second case of champagne.
I used ta like em- until Jerry Jones- the embicile- took over.
I love polar bears.
That would be my sister. The local DC channels spent hours on the run up to the “Battle in Seattle”.
Yes! Go Mary! Even in powder blue.
“No GOP presidential candidate has the stones– or the dedicated followers “
GOPers can have STONES? Next G Will will be claiming that his ZOMBIE readers have Souls!
Hoo
I worked for two retailing corporations. Retailers are noted for working their asses off and havin a lot of fun doin it.
Sir, yes sir.
I like that idea.
Me too! Have you seen the new little one at the Nuremberg zoo? Soooo cute.
Your post. If you say ignore sports now, I ignore sports now.
I may have been a little politically incorrect for them.
Personally, I will celebrate pretty much anything that involves cake.
Well- OK- once I report that the University of Oregon Fighting Ducks beat the nationally ranked Stanford University team today….GO DUCKS!
teehee! Love G.Will getting his undies in a bundle about GOP numbers. I’m all for putting a stake thru the neocon movement, covering it with garlic, maybe even using a silver bullet or two (all metaphorically speaking, of course) so that it is so dead it never rises again.
Very nice diary, ET.
or cookies. or ice cream. ok, fine, just about any dessert :)
Fighting ducks?
Fighting fucking ducks?
Our feathered friends, fighting?
Yikes!
I enjoy cake- but not nearly as much as Huckleberry Pie with vanilla ice cream….
I could commit a minor crime for Huckleberry Pie with Vanilla Ice Cream.- but only a misdemeanor.
I’ll ignore sports but can I still get some of that NYFG cake?
I could be persuaded, if I knew what a huckleberry was.
Sadly, like cockroaches, I fear they would survive anything short of Armageddon. They just crawl away to plot the next attempt at world domination.
You must realize that their days are numbered cause they don’t like sex.
Would be nice to see the ambulatory corpses of Goldwater and Reagan returned to the graves they so richly deserve. A pair of the most vile, soulless ghouls to ever infest American politics.
i have lots of huckleberry bushes around here - berries for the picking.
May I ask which union? Politically incorrect?
A Huckleberry is a wild version of a blueberry. Smaller, but with about five hundred times more flavor per berry. When one gets in your mouth, it explodes into a cascading assortment of sweet, spicy, flavors. It’s kinda like gettin a blow job- but ya can’t get impeached for it- I don’t think.
Like a blueberry only better. Cannot be domesticated, so only wild huckleberries are available. They absolutely cover the mountainsides around here.
no, they just don’t like other people to have sex.
SEIU
and i have a cake for ever possible occasion.
My college’s sports mascot was the peacock. But at least they ditched the powder blue uniforms in favor of Manly Blue (albeit with powder blue trim).
I don’ think birds make good mascots. But I promised I’d get off sports
What else was on the panel shoes besides HRC on MTP?
True…and yet they have been around for more than a generation. One wonders…
Good catch 22 set up The GOP chairman can’t attack Mitt for being an inadvertent KOS monkey wrench and he can’t attack all the Mitt supporters as Democrats. I’m sure he will say he doesn’t think that Kos will have an effect on the vote.
Which if the media buys it will make weak Mitt stronger, keep the primaries going, force the GOP to spend more money. And might result in Mitt being the nominee Bwahhahaha!
The only thing that I know about polar Bears is that their livers are toxic for humans.
True. But when they have sex they don’t enjoy it.
I have to say that I LIKED Barry Goldwater. I heard him speak when he was running for prez and liked him then- then when I was living in Scottsdale I heard him speak at a dinner for Erma Bombeck.
I liked him in the sixties, but I really loved him in the nineties, as he honestly spoke from his heart about the west- and how he loved it- and the mistakes he had made as a senator not protecting it’s majesty.
clones
Huckleberry pie.
Bears happen to like huckleberries too, fwiw.
So they close their eyes and think of Teh Party?
This is from rw… the flavor chemist.
Cute Knut!
if neocons survive, i would like to see them receive the same public response as rats and cockroaches. A collective “EEEWWWW!” and a call to clean garbage out of dark corners.
They think of Raygun.
Jeez, rw. You’re the one drinking the champagne, I’m thinking!!
not to mention the spray!
beige, i think i’ll paint the ceiling beige is really what they are thinking, mary mcc and ll.
Bears like huckleberries a lot. Leads to any number of unfortunate encounters in these parts in the summer. (Hint: Do not argue with a bear over who saw the berries first).
Penguins are cool. i could never get over how tiny they are. i had never seen a real penguin. only on tv and the landscape is totally barren so tere was nothing to compare them to. my dad took me to the aquarium on Coney Island (is that still there?) and I saw the little teeney penguins and couldn’t believe it.