neokneme @ 167 I think scenerio 3 and then 2 are the most likly to happen. I just don’t see Ben growing a spine when all the Bushies want another rate cut.
“Scenario 3: The Fed ultimately cut rates, but this fails to rejuvenate the system and get growth going again. This would likely mean stagflation. As such, gold and other commodities would do well, while stocks and the US$ would struggle. Excluding bonds, this is increasingly what the market is pricing in today.”

I agree about the rate cuts — I see rate cuts nearly to zero. Otherwise, scenario 2.

America needs to repay her debts. Cheaper dollars make that easier. So do lower interest rates. Demand deflation takes care of the inflation.

Just like Japan.

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

I have had this discussion regarding Japan with clients and not one thinks this can happen in America. After 1929 it took 25 years for the Dow to get back to its 1929 levels.

Plus, the political change(s) will alter the financial climate from my point of view.

I’m glad you had a great meetup. I’ve been all beavers all the time here, having meetings, rallying the troops and organizing a revolution. The current headline is that I’m officially on the subcommittee of the city council to consider allowing them to stay, they have had national press and every news station has been at the dam, and a documentary filmaker spent friday with me as part of his work on urban wildlife. So I guess no wonder that looks like a beaver to me. We are all beavers now!

Anyway, apparently this whole thinking globally acting locally can be powerful…I credit all the good influence I got here, which convinced me that regular people can care about things and take action.

http://mgpaquin.wordpress.com/

The coffee, tea and hot chocolate are all ready, and I’ve got waffles this morning. Have a great Sunday.

Quite the scene downstairs with maybe a hundred people in various stages of disarray and bewilderment. After quite it while the fire department announces it was a false alarm and everybody can go back to sleep. Ha!

So this naturally leads to other questions. What is the closest place I can get coffee? [gas station, Sand Hill Road.] Wonder what else is open at 4:30 in the morning here? [absolutely nothing.] Is that a raccoon crossing the road? [yes]

Didn’t envision this was how I would spend my first night, or half night, in my new unfurnished place in Menlo Park, but why not. With wifi, heat, nice carpet, and above all no fire alarm, it seemed just the place to go.

Had to laugh because one of my questions for this trip is what did the place look like at night. Was it dark enough to be able to sleep, what color were the streetlights, what time does the sun come up. Problem solved!

And just to add that little kick of the universe, when I got to my new place the smoke detector was chirping every two minutes. Used my one lovely chair to reach the ceiling and hush this interruption of the night quiet.

Now, my dear friends, good morning.

eCAHNomics @ 230

That’s disgusting. I’m a cat person & I abhor dressing up and animal in a costume. If humans want to humiliate themselves, it’s their choice. But animals have wonderful fur coats that are perfectly sufficient. /rant

I’m pretty sure that’s photoshopped.

phew. reverse the rant.