1130728237.jpgIt was only last week that sunny reports of July’s US military death toll in Iraq were as ubiquitous as Lindsay Lohan’s mug shot. The NYT reported it on July 31:

U.S. Death Toll in Iraq in July Expected to Be Lowest in ’07

By STEPHEN FARRELL
Published: August 1, 2007

BAGHDAD, July 31 — The death of a marine in western Iraq brought the American military death toll to 74 so far in July, on course to be the lowest monthly figure this year.

But as Juan Cole notes today, they appear to have been punk’d by Lt. Gen. Raymond Odierno, who was giving interviews on the death toll on July 24, well before the end of the month. Had they waited until the numbers were in to report the actual July death toll, they would have found — on icasualties.org, which they cite as their authority in the article — that six more US troops were killed on July 31, bringing the total to 80. What was the big rush to publication?

A clearer picture of the implications of the July death toll emerge from Foreign Policy Magazine’s blog, which compare July troop death tolls year-over-year since the beginning of the war:

July 2003: 48
July 2004: 54
July 2005: 54
July 2006: 43
July 2007: 80

As Cole notes, there is always a drop in casualties in July due to the 120 degree heat and the quite predictable desire of guerillas not to handle heavy explosives in the middle of a blast furnace. One would hope Lt. Gen Odierno would know that. Somehow that didn’t make it into print.

Says Juan:

What has surged is not calm or political compromise, but rather the number of guerrilla attacks, the number of U.S. troop deaths compared to the same months in previous years, and the number of Iraqi casualties. That some of the U.S. media and the U.S. public have allowed themselves to be manipulated into thinking the “numbers” from Iraq are a cause for optimism echoes the sloppy and wishful thinking that got U.S. into this mess in the first place.

I know everyone fell for it and the NYT was just one of many, but they used up their useful idiot quotient on Judy Miller.

Stop acting like rubes.

(image from Eyes Wide Open: An Exhibit On the Human Cost of the Iraq War)

Update:  Here’s a graph, NYT.

Related posts:

  1. Breaking: Seven Killed in Fort Hood Shooting (Update: 12 Dead)
  2. Election Day: The Dead, Dead Tree Ballot Proposal
  3. Gen. Ray Ordierno: We May Never Win in Iraq
  4. Dominick Dunne, Writer and Journalist, Dead at 83
  5. Breaking: Fort Hood Alleged Shooter Now Confirmed Alive