
Richard Clarke has an op-ed in today's WaPo that is worth some consideration this morning:
In every administration, there are usually only about a dozen barons who can really initiate and manage meaningful changes in national security policy. For most of 2006, some of these critical slots in the Bush administration have been vacant, such as the deputy secretary of state (empty since Robert B. Zoellick left for investment bank Goldman Sachs) and the deputy director of national intelligence (with Gen. Michael V. Hayden now CIA director). And with the nation involved in a messy war spiraling toward a bad conclusion, the key deputies and Cabinet members and advisers are all focusing on one issue, at the expense of all others: Iraq.
National Security Council veteran Rand Beers has called this the "7-year-old's soccer syndrome" — just like little kids playing soccer, everyone forgets their particular positions and responsibilities and runs like a herd after the ball.
In the end, there are only 12 seats at the conference table in the White House Situation Room, and the key players' schedules mean that they can seldom meet there together in person or on secure video conference for more than about 10 hours each week. When issues don't receive first-tier consideration, they can slip by for months….
As the president contemplates sending even more U.S. forces into the Iraqi sinkhole, he should consider not only the thousands of fatalities, the tens of thousands of casualties and the hundreds of billions of dollars already lost. He must also weigh the opportunity cost of taking his national security barons off all the other critical problems they should be addressing — problems whose windows of opportunity are slamming shut, unheard over the wail of Baghdad sirens.
Clarke lays out a number of issues that he feels are pressing ones in need of attention by this Administration. I think he misses a few — China, repairing our diplomatic ties, and several others, but it's a good list for contemplation this morning — and an issue we would do well to think about in terms of the opportunity costs of the Bush Administration's continued delay on any real decisionmaking and the chaos that rushes in to fill that void in the absence of leadership.
Over the last few weeks, William Arkin has talked quite a bit about the tensions between the overextension of the military, the decisions made (or not made as yet) by the Bush Administration, and the ways in which so many other balls have been dropped. From his December 20th post:
…And America needs a larger non-military. Whether it's Iraq, drugs in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Africa, hurricane Katrina, or the increase in domestic crime it is so clear only Washington can't see that our tendency to see a military solution to everything is not only wrong but has had profound negative effects.
Indeed we do. But creating yet another "Study Group" of intellectual generals isn't going to reset Iraq. As I've said many times here, the Iraqis themselves have got to want the victory there as much as we do. And right now, the majority doesn't seem to want anything close to what we want.
So we'll have a "surge," we'll have a plan to increase end strength — an idea that has already been floated by many Democrats — we'll have new leadership at the Pentagon and in Iraq. We'll have everything except the clarity to see that what we have and want isn't enough. The Pentagon will be left holding the bag, the people of Baghdad and New Orleans will equally suffer.
Please also take some time to go through two of Arkin's other columns — from Dec. 21st and from Dec. 22nd — talking about the hands of Karl Rove and Dick Cheney on the crafting of the public relations messaging for the Administration and the heavy hand of Dick Cheney, still. The neocons, including George Bush, refuse to look their missteps in the eye — and it is other people's children who must pay the price for their cowardice.
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Another Reddhedd Fitx!
Ah…. Fitz!
Happy New Year to New Zealand and Aussie folks!
And Japan, hi Medaka!
Good Lord! If todays news about Clarke’s article and the story on Thingprogress about cheating with oil&gas royalties had occured during the Clinton Administration, cable news would be fuckin’ beside themselves. As it is, it will all be ignored, except by left leaning blogs.
Joe D. at 4 — Yep. Which is why I highlighted it this morning. Here’s hoping someone notices it for this evening’s news…but I’m not holding my breath.
And a good morning to all.
(Shamelessly stolen from commenter smoke over at americablog).
:-)
Herding together in soccer–my son’s coach used to call this a tea party, everybody all together.
gotta go,
lotsa work ahead, November was only an initial volley
Happy New Year to All Firedogs ! ! !
couldn’t leave without linking my fave pic for 06 for those who missed it
http://www.firedoglake.com/200…..e-poodles/
Mad Progressive Love to y’all
Just to annoy William Safire I saved his “prognostications” for 2006 from last year. He asked us not to, but I did it anyway. Number 14 is VERY special!
http://mgpaquin.blogspot.com/2…..ed-us.html
We’ll have to see if he does any better with this year’s.
All politics, all the time i.e. the recent lynching which Amnesty Interrnational just condemned.
We can’t be all over the world to spread “democracy” Bush style (destruction, genocide, and robbery).
Like the Roman’s we are spread too thin with treason and corruption at home. They also used conquered military until they weren’t paid or allowed the same rights as Roman citizens.
Paid for foreign military is unacceptable since we will have no control or accountability. Already the Defence Department won’t account for their spending…trillions gone under Rumsfeld. Foreign troops could even be used against us with our own money (FEMA, camps, etc.).
As President Jefferson stated, democracy can not be destroyed from outside but from within.
The “decider” is on the wrong path and should be impeached. Not an illegal Constitutional pardon (from their own party) to come back at a later day like Cheney and Rumsfeld from Nixon days.
It will not cause a constitutional crisis but bring back our laws and democracy. We have no Constitution under this administration. They have negated it…our property, freedoms, wealth, future for their own agenda which is not ours.
According to This Week, in 2006 — 916 US servicepeople have been killed in Iraq and Afghanistan. Every week, the most painful part of the Sunday is watching those names pop up on the screen. Every damn week.
cbl @ 8
I never saw that picture before – how absolutely delightful. Sweet of you to share. The look on the doggie’s face is too precious. So are little peanuts tootsies.
Christy, the link back to Dec. 22 has this quote from Gates:
“I think perhaps the Study Group was here a short enough time that perhaps we didn’t have the opportunity to explore in the kind of depth I have today with Iraqi officials. . .”
(my bold)
The Study Group was there less than a day. . .or what? In one day he got the lowdown they missed?
Gosh, I have a lot of work ahead of me just to resolve to get positive before tomorrow. . .
Christy Hardin Smith @ 12
We could pass 3,000 today. Linky.
Link also has breakdown of injuries, medevacs, et al.
egregious @ 15
But it’s just a number, and the war is just a comma so don’t let it bother you. It’s too complex for you to understand anyway. Just go about your life, go to WalMart and buy some stuff, clear some brush or go fishin’… heh heh heh
Thought provoking post. Thanks.
In addition to opportunity loss there is the continuing phenomenon of these advisor-clowns (think tiny circus clown car) still afflicted with quivering lower lip syndrome when they try to speak truth to power. Not that they would have anything of value to say.
Consider the international reaction to Hussein’s hanging…
You’ve really screwed up when you’ve lost Berlusconi.
Lugar: Bush, Congress should discuss war
Sen. Richard Lugar, R-Ind., said if the president goes ahead with a call for an increase in troops without involving the new Democratic-controlled Congress, he can anticipate “a lot of hearings, a lot of study, a lot of criticism.”
The Herd needs a SURGE!
twolf1 @ 18
I sincerely hope that Lugar is right, since we all know Bush will be going ahead.
Excellent op-ed by Clarke this morning. Thanks for highlighting it, Christy.
Twold1-In 15 hrs. my license expires. Fishing is something I absolutely will never give up along with book scouting in the long isles of local thrifts. Gather & hunt & gather. I heart ‘Riverbends’ words as worlds so close while water carries another fallen leaf by. Doesn’t really matter if a fish comes along.
OT but timely, and sorta related. I haven’t trusted Woodward at all of late, whether he is CIA, or has bought into the neo-con agenda, or is just out to line his pockets. But it struck me that he published the Ford interview against Bush’s Iraq invasion before he was even buried, setting off a whirlwind of anti-Ford stuff in the media, and down playing his role in a key period of U.S. history. Why not wait to publish the piece for a week, say, after the burial? It is not like it has been a slow news week. Just saying….
Mornin’ Christy!
I’m torn, because of course there are the pressing issues Clark mentions and those you mentioned as well.
However, given the ability of this administration to be mind-numbingly, head-slappingly wrong about nearly every policy decision they decide to tackle (eg, Social Security, Stem Cells, North Korea, Iran, and, of course, Iraq) I wonder if this neglect is keeping us in the outer circles of hell, rather than marching us steadily deeper.
Really, the best I can hope for two years is stasis, and a populace so fed up with the Republican mismanagement of government that they change drivers in 2008. I wish I could be cheerier on New Year’s Eve, but sober (dammit!) reflection and lingering realism lead me to this path.
By the way, here’s a graphical represenatation of Dante’s inferno. I think we may have made it to the 5th circle, judging by the handy pop-up descriptors, but there are, sadly, some 8th-level characteristics that apply.
Herd ball. Perfect.
Inaction, ineffective action when taken, always looking only at the perceived PR and not the result. Ignore the stinking bodies and count the money and votes.
No grounding in reality.
I saw this a lot in the Tech business. It’s marketing–finance MBAs driving the company—say whatever you want to say about the company and product and performance, and then whip the engineers to make it work, damn the results. Blame everyone else for the inevitable crash. Blame the competition, the market, the distribution channel, the customers. But not the royalty executive officers that were behind the non-decisions, or the stupid decisions, and never blame the all-important drive for this quarter’s numbers—at any cost—to keep the bonuses coming and the stock price up. Someone will bale us out eventually, someone always does. And if we crash and burn, well, I’ve got my money from the ride and that’s what’s important.
This is truly the first MBA presidency. Lost in a world of mismanagement and PR, and the hell with the People.
(I mean really—in today’s world, with our challenges, how can you not back-fill the deputy secretary of state and the deputy director of national intelligence? Aren’t the deputy directors the staffers that go get tasks and research done and then report to the Cabinet? Nobody’s got a few good names of people that can act in these capacities? Jeez.)
Iraq Death Toll is 2,999 …. OMG….
The worst is the reporting of the taunting of Saddam prior to his execution…. it was Revenge NOT justice!
Marion in Savannah @
9
Well, thanks for that, Marion. Schadenfruede seems to be my only day-brightener about now…
Mutant Poodle @ 27
It is fun to rub salt in their wounds, isn’t it… I’m so glad you “pulled up a chair” yesterday — I had been wondering about your name, and now I understand! It was good to “meet” you.
I read the Clark op-ed last night, it is a good start on what BushCo has NOT been tending to.. there is a lot more but it is because it falls into if it isn’t on the front page or something the fundies do not want…. then it is ignored.
Short term surge == Escalation
We have a couple of units which are going on their 5th deployment from AZ…. FIVE times
This is IN YOUR FACE Democrats…… Murtha shut up….. BushCo is running the show and they are going to do it THEIR way!
I think it’s a combination of herdball and Calvinball.
They keep on makin’ up the rules as they go along.
I wonder if today’s moderator can send Mommybrain my email address. I need to send her a OT note about something she said in a recent comment, and we haven’t coincided in the comments for a while. Thanks!
[Mod Note; it’s safe to assume she will see your comment]
Alison @ 30
And they still can’t do anything right.
marksb @ 25
At the start of the Bush presidency, The New Yorker ran splendid piece about the supposed “ceo President” and his ceo braintrust. The piece established that these alleged titans of capitalism all worked in industries that relied heavily upon government contracts for revenues. I’ll see if I can dig it up. It was a good one.
EvilDrPuma @ 31
…and everyone loses
twolf1 @ 33
You got it.
I’m expecting them to announce that Dr. Phil is joining the team any day now. His brilliant leadership with the kids getting high on cough syrup is all I needed to see…he’s right for any job that brings him into contact with this group of clockwatchers we elected to lead the free world.
twolf1 @
33
No, we’re just not having success yet. But I believe we will have success.
New Phrase, New Year:
I’m the success-er!
Bad news from CNN: U.S. death toll in Iraq now 2,999.
OT,
My contempt for Joe Lierman knows no bounds!
Am working on a yearend summary of blog stuff. Early thoughts:
Our political achievements are huge but we also have infrastructure and interpersonal gains.
Consider the introductions/connections: A year ago would I have thought about working with people from Alaska and Hawaii on campaigns?
From ET to Benson, and from Nate to Charlie Brown, these totally would not have happened but for FDL.
Also the personal support here has been unbelievable. From the dark days in Russia last summer to…the dark days of December, you guys have been there for me. It has made a difference, and I thank you from the bottom of my heart.
Jim Clausen @ 39
That is NEVER, EVER off-topic here!
Jim Clausen @ 39
Did you watch him on CNN this AM with Arlen and Wolf?
bg @ 37
I have confidence that bush will find honesty this year. His new phrase will be I am the Lie-er.
mrsmarks @
32
As someone who has an MBA, I resent being lumped in with Bush, and with having my degree devalued by his sloth.
Kevin Drum nailed it, 2 1/2 years ago, in this post:
The whole piece nails it perfectly. Link here.
bg @ 36
Like the capture of Bin Laden, a success that just hasn’t occurred yet?
marksb @ 25
Here here!
marksb @ 25
All PRolotics, all the time. (revised)
mrsmarks @ 32
Just goes to show you how much the great class of writers we have working in America trully understand when it comes to the business world. Some Ayn Rand people (I’m half Rand on my frosted side) were so in love with this concept back in the day…they kept telling me I was wrong in calling Cheney and Bush statists, some even insisting that statist isn’t necessarily bad in terms of the ideal of capitalism, but that was their politics talking.
I don’t have any faith in a man or woman who makes their fortune off of access to the government rather than by their own work. The general assumption that a CEO was present in the room when Bush’s cabinet met to discuss the issues was idiotic from the start…I wrote about this on my blog:
Capitalism, The Unknown Ideal (my thoughts)
twolf1 @ 45
Yeah, that success “didn’t happen” in a big way at Tora Bora.
You nailed it, deadissue @49. I will read on…
OT – breaking – AP: Police say more bombs explode in Bangkok, wounding 4 foreigners
Here’s the New Yorker piece I mentioned earlier:
http://www.newyorker.com/talk/…..surowiecki
twolf1 @ 51
Oh, good. More milestones.
Patriots-Titans about to start, I’m looking forward to reading that New Yorker piece, and the Kevin Drum post is great so far.
In case anyone missed it, this is something to read up on. The blogsphere needs to focus a lot more attention on such matters IMHO:
Bush’s Gift to CEOs
EvilDrPuma @ 53
Speaking of milestones, my congratulations on your degree in Archeology. I have an Anthropology’History Double Major and love the insight you bring to the lake.
2006 deadliest year for reporters since 1994
twolf1 @ 56
Wow. Lots of milestones today… Sigh.
Jim Clausen @ 55
Thank you. Anthropology/history is definitely a potent one-two punch; my congratulations to you as well.
If Democrats are looking for one single way to help this country, it’s to target children issues. And the payoff would be manifold. Not the least of which is that someday these kids will be voters, and they will remember. And in the short-run the parents will look pleasingly on Democrats. I see no downside to this approach.
katymine @
26
I’ve been thinking that the main difference in support/disgust for the execution is that it has the feeling of a backwoods lynching. Sad to say, many, mostly on the right, still have a soft spot for that type of activity.
The problem with this analyses is that it assumes that Chimpy listens (in the sense of taking to time to actually hear someone else’s point of view) to any of these so called influential advisors, and if he does listen, whether he cares what they have to say.
That some of the posts are filled and others aren’t isn’t the issue. The issue is that Chimpy is the decider. Arguing that Clarke’s historical model would (or could) come up with intelligent policies misses the point of Chimpco. He listens to himself and perhaps Cheney (I’ve never been a big fan of the puppeteer theory of Team Loser). Clarke assumes that Chimpco operates like past administrations – which all evidence indicates is not the case. Or, even better, if all the posts were filled that any of them would actually be listened to or offer policies that might not fit the Chimpy/Chimpco worldview.
Shorter me: It’s not the “system,” it’s the people.
And yes – the EPU is coming to you live from a Starbucks in Santa Monica. And rather than a feng shui consultant, I had a Shinto priest bless the home in an attempt to one-up my neighbors, and I think they were envious b/c they were asking him for his biz card.
Peace may not be in the picture for a mighty long time. McCain must be stopped.
Marion in Savannah @ 58
Vilestones
It’s always been about the spin and no there there. Surge.
Sociopathic Ad Men and tallying the butcher’s bill.
Oklahoma kiddo @ 59
I don’t disagree, but isn’t it high time that we started looking at social and economic justice as a total issue, rather than speaking of social and economic justice for children, for women, for blacks, for the disabled, or for whomever?
Richmond @ 23
Veddy Interesting Observation. Probably, Woody had to get it out of the box before someone else beat him to it. I can’t imagine that Woodward has any principles.
Besides, Raygun is the only modern era ghost the right needs to keep propped up – Ollie North War Stories every night on cable. The wingers can afford to toss Ford into history’s dustbin. Other than the Nixon pardon, he was not a big enough a**hole for canonization.
Ketchup is a vegetable.
Some might argue it’s all connected.
EvilDrPuma @ 65
It would also help promote unity despite disagreement on specifics. Many of the ‘isms’ – sexism, racism… would be diminished this way too.
rumi @ 68
Which is fine, I think, because for the most part those “isms” serve the same political and economic purpose: to reduce the number of people with whom the excessively wealthy have to share.
Fresh thread, and a warning — I’m beyond crabby.
EvilDrPuma @ 65
Baby steps. Everybody has to say that they love children whether sincere or not. Rethugs hate other people’s children – they must pretend otherwise to appear human. I agree with kiddo.
Though they would not hesitate to do so if they could, the MSM cannot directly attack children (and children’s issues) the way they do society (and social programs) at large. Welfare Queens, anyone?
Make it about children and you’re off that hook.
EvilDrPuma @
34
If one is determined to fail–especially if there’s an ulterior motive for failing–it’s just downright easy to do.
I once worked for a company that had been taken over by a large multinational. After failing to achieve the level of profitability desired, they instituted a series of rules that priced the product out of the market.
Then, when the union contract came up, and the lowest-paid workers were making about $9/hr, they started salary negotiations at $6/hr and dug their heels in until the union went on strike.
A few months after the strike was settled, they closed the plant, citing repetitive losses due to the market and labor.
If all you’ve got is a phony war on terror, you don’t want to win it, and you don’t want to definitively lose it. But, you do want it to go on. Successive incremental failure achieves that goal.
I not sure I see any real difference between executives getting rich at the government trough and executives getting rich at the expense of investors. Many of us have a real stake in the health of the stock markets, whether through our own investments or our pension plans, and every dollar we lose to greedheads comes out of our pockets.
Of course, they have their own problems, and this is your invitation to the pity party.
mrsmarks @ 52
This an excellent point. The picture becomes even clearer or perhaps I’ve been a bit slow in focusing! I heard that Halliburton’s stock rose 300% after the war started. I may have the exact figure wrong but it was indeed a huge number. I just can’t remember where I heard it. Does anyone have any back-up on that?
mandrake @ 74
Dick Cheney nearly ruined Halliburton by buying Dresser Industries, first, because he ignored the implicit liability of asbestos claims against Dresser, and second, because when the extent of the liability was discovered, he thought he could evade the asbestos claims that came along with Dresser by spinning off the insurance company which was a subsidiary of Dresser, and had underwritten health policies for Dresser.
That attempt to sever responsibility ended up in the courts and when it looked like Halliburton was going to have to eat the whole thing, their stock dropped to about $7 a share.
After Cheney became VP, there was a lot of pressure for Congress to limit liability in asbestos claims, and the stock started to recover. Then, when the war started, KBR started making money and the stock, last I checked (a few months ago) was about $45/share.
I think they’re even contemplating a 2-for-1 split, too….
And on the general subject of executive greed, you have to read Gretchen Morgenson, unfortunately behind the the times select wall. Maybe Marion in Savannah can help out. Here is a snippet:
I hate to have to point this out, but blogers are way behind the curve on these things. Too much tabloid = ANY tabloid, when financial news like the kind that has been coming in a steady stream for months now is overlooked so consistently in lieu of something someone (most likely a person all the readers hate already) says something stupid…
Following the money is a surefire way of reaching into people’s hearts, but most in a position to do so are hamstrung by their superiors and the need to put food on the table.
As bloggers, we aren’t bound by similar constraints, yet (in my opinion) voluntarily take ourselves out of the game in this key area where we could make the most difference in one anothers’ lives.
Food for thought as 2007 kicks off and the rich keep getting richer. Campaign season for public office is over, but the campaign season for justice never ends!
China will be huge in 2007, particularly if the US economy stumbles.
We called it ‘bunch ball.’ Comparing a scrum of five to six year-olds mindlessly follow the ball around the field each one trying to get his/her toe on the ball, is such a devastating summation of the Bush regime that I laughed out loud when I read it.