
Just a brief word on primaries for faithless Democrats like Ellen Tauscher and Rahm Emanuel and then I won't mention them for the rest of this story. The beauty, though, in primaries is that targeting can be done based substantially, or even entirely, on the record of the incumbent. In other words, if the incumbent gets elected as a Democrat but then votes like a Republican, Democrats have the right duty to hold his or, in Tauscher's case, her, feet to the fire. The $20 million that it cost Holy Joe Lieberman to retain his "safe" seat should serve as a warning to Tauscher-type Democrats. Judging by her actions since the primary, one Tauscher-type Democrat, Jane Harman, has learned a valuable lesson in politics and I think we can expect better things from her because of Marcy Winograd's muscular primary challenge.
Unfortunately, in targeting for the general election, the degree of odiousness of the incumbent is all too often not the determining factor of whether or not to target a seat. The reality of electability takes precedence. Believe me, it's purely coincidental when the seat of an especially hideous Republican winds up an electoral priority for the DCCC or DSCC. That's what made Jerry McNerney's race against Dirty Dick Pombo so important and that was the one saving grace of the victory by anti-choice Emanuel puppet Heath Shuler over Charlie Taylor.
Late in October I was working on a piece I never got to finish: "The Dirtiest Dozen Republicans in The House." It was meant to be more than just another list of the worst of the worst. I started by noting how all the Democrats seriously targeted by the GOP for the midterm elections were the Democrats who voted most frequently with Republicans on substantive issues.
They' didn't go after the liberals, the populists and the progressives who they can't stop screaming about. They targeted the Democrats who have supported Bush and who have most frequently rubber stamped his policies and gone along with his anti-human, corporatist agenda. In this huge anti-Bush year, which augured so well for Democrats, Democratic incumbents reckoned to be endangered included reactionaries like Charlie Melancon (LA), Jim Marshall (GA), Chet Edwards (TX), Leonard Boswell (IA), John Barrow (GA), Alan Mollohan (WV), John Salazar (CO), Melissa Bean (IL), John Spratt (SC). By voting records, outside of housekeeping tallies, these incumbents are hardly Democrats at all.
But that's where the GOP put it's money. Conservatives in Georgia, for example, who donated money to the GOP saw their contributions paying for partisan campaigns against Jim Marshall and John Barrow, Democrats who generally vote very much how Georgia conservatives want them to vote, while not a red cent went into defeating a Georgia liberal whose voting record drives them crazy-- John Lewis-- who they didn't even bother to oppose.
Now what about the Republican incumbents being targeted by Democrats? In the true sense of the term, there are no longer any moderate Republicans, but of the dozen least fascist-oriented Republican incumbents -- ones who occasionally vote in the interests of their constituents instead of for corporate interests -- only 4 were seriously targeted: Chris Shays (CT), Michael Fiztpatrick (PA), Nancy Johnson (CT), and Rob Simmons (CT). (All but Shays were defeated.)
Way on the extreme end of the political spectrum, however, where it gets hard to sort out who's a conservative and who's an actual fascist, quite a few lively races were under way that were meant to oust some of the most extreme hate-mongers and right wing fanatics in Congress. Among the worst Republicans who had serious challenges to face in November are Mean Jean Schmidt (OH), Chris Chocola (IN), John Kline (MN), Jim Ryun (KS), Marilyn Musgrave (CO), Thelma Drake (VA), Michael Sodrel (IN), Barbara Cubin (WY), John Doolittle (CA), Dirty Dick Pombo (CA), J.D. Hayworth (AZ), Dennis Hastert (IL), Robin Hayes (NC), Charles Taylor (NC). Six of these extremist ideologues went down to ignominious defeat.
Still, the vast majority of far right fanatics in the Republican House caucus, including some of the absolute most bigoted and most corrupt, got off scott free with virtually no serious challenge.
Look, for example at the list of the 33 unreconstructed neoConfederates who voted against renewing the Voting Rights Act this year: Richard Baker (LA), Gresham Barrett (SC), Roscoe Bartlett (MD), Joe Barton (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), Dan Burton (IN), John Campbell (CA), Michael Conaway (TX), Nathan Deal(GA), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Terry Everett (AL), Virginia Foxx (NC), Trent Franks (AZ), Scott Garrett (NJ), Phil Gingrey (GA), Joel Hefley (CO), Jeb Hensarling (TX), Wally Herger (CA), Sam Johnson (TX), Steve King (IA), John Linder (GA), Patrick McHenry (NC), Gary Miller (CA), Charlie Norwood (GA), Ron Paul (TX), Tom Price (GA), Dana Rohrabacher (CA), Edward Royce (CA), John Shadegg (AZ), Tom Tancredo (CO), Mac Thornberry (TX), and Lynn Westmoreland (GA).
Although grassroots Democrats supported vibrant campaigns against Doolittle and Tancredo (and against the retiring Hefley's even worse replacement), the other 30 on this list of human scum had almost nothing to worry about. And that doesn't even go to the virtually unchallenged kingpins at the helm of the whole Republican culture of corruption-- Roy Blunt, John Boehner, Don Young, Jerry Lewis, Duncan Hunter...
So who are Democratic targeters zeroing in on for 2008? The first rule of thumb, after watching for retirements, is to look for seats where the Republicans won by 5% or less.
Just going by the numbers that would put 40 Republican-held seats into contention. Seven of them are also freshmen, traditionally considered to be an incumbent's most vulnerable year since they haven't had time to establish themselves as institutions in their districts, delivering bacon to the locals in return for political fealty above and beyond ideology. The seven freshmen who won tight races are Vern Buchanan (FL-13; who didn't really even win and may not be seated), Bill Sali (ID-01), Peter Roskam (IL-06), Tim Walberg (MI-07), Michele Bachman (MN-06), Adrian Smith (NE-03), and Dean Heller (NV-02).
Several grassroots and netroots favorites nearly unseated Republican incumbents and know they can count on no-strings-attached support if they try again.
This puts 19 Republicans from the under 55% list in jeopardy: John Doolittle (CA-04), Brian Bilbray (CA-50), Marilyn Musgrave (CO-04), Michael Rogers (MI-08), Joe Knollenberg (MI-09), Thaddeus McCotter (MI-11)-- Michigan will definitely be a battleground state in '08-- Michele Bachman (MN-06), Adrian Smith (NE-03), Mike Ferguson (NJ-07), Jim Walsh (NY-25), Randy Kuhl (NY-29), Robin Hayes (NC-08), Mean Jean Schmidt (OH-02), Deborah Pryce (OH-15), Phil English (PA-03), Jim Gerlach (PA-06), Thelma Drake (VA-02), Dave Reichert (WA-08), and Barbara Cubin (WY-AL).
Several of these Republicans won with less than 50% of the vote, making them particularly interesting as targets-- including Doolittle (49%), Musgrave (46%), Buchanan (officially it was 50/50 but the voting irregularities were so blatantly egregious that this race should be re-run), Jon Porter (NV-03; 48%), Ferguson (49%), Heather Wilson (NM-01; 50/50 with less than 900 votes separating the 2 candidates), Hayes (even closer-- 50/50 with less than 400 votes separating the two), Pryce (50/50 with around 1,000 vote disparity), and Cubin (48%).
The other Republicans who managed to stay in office with 55% or less of the vote were Richard Renzi (AZ-01), Chris Shays (CT-04), Dick Keller (FL-08), Mark Kirk (IL-10), Jerry Weller (IL-11), Mark Souder (IN-03), Geoff Davis (KY-04), Lee Terry (NE-02), Scott Garrett (NJ-05), Tom Reynolds (NY-26), Charlie Dent (PA-15), and Mike McCaul (TX-10).
If you go back to the Blue America archive of candidates we raised money for, you'll find several we will be encouraging to run again in 2008, particularly Charlie Brown, either Vic Wulsin or Paul Hackett, John Laesch (who will be ready to run as soon as Planet Denny Hastert announces he's resigning to replace Bush's ex as the new ambassador to Japan), Angie Paccione, Larry Kissell, Tony Trupiano, Eric Massa, and Steven Porter.
Personally I feel we made tremendous headway in CA-25 and CA-45 with Robert Rodriguez and David Roth and I'd like to see them both continue to build a Democratic base in those districts. And my fingers are crossed that a close watch on incumbent Democrats Al Wynn, Tim Mahoney, and the aforementioned Jane Harman, will either yield acceptable behavior or fresh primary challenges from Donna Edwards, David Lutrin and Marcy Winograd.
Login Here
Share This
Spotlight
Fitz!
707!
tsk tsk tsk!
u’v bin hangin’ roun’ jus’ waitin’, not listenin’ to a woid they been sayin’, oh the shame…
Adie, I’ve been away. What’s “707?”
So where exactly does Hillary fit into all this?
let’s dump rahm emanuel. and take another crack at jean schmidt. i gave to victoria and i’ll be proud to do it again.
Howie Klein @ 3
Some wag decided that was LOL so good the chair tipped over.
twolf1’s been teasin’ some poor critter. I’ll let him explain. *g*
Hey! Welcome back!
WI-08 (Kagen) is going to have a tough fight to keep his seat after beating Gard to replace Mark Green.
Can’t wait for the next version of Fantasy Congress to come out so I can draft him! :)
hiya, Howie! welcome back!
707 = LOL so hard you fall backwards over your chair
now to read…
Oklahoma kiddo @ 4
I’m not optimistic about where she fits in. But I don’t think she’s part of the aggressive/idealistic team. She’s more part of the Rahm perspective than the Howard Dean perspectice I think. But since we’ll probably wind up having to vote for her eventually, let’s keep an open mind and an open heart– and our fingers crossed.
And while I remember and before the rest of the crowd gets here and this gets lost, THANK YOU HOWIE! for everything you did to help my campaign out!
Adie @
6
It stems from this. Just havin’ a little fun :)
The good news is that Emanuel isn’t running/ruining the DCCC any longer. (The bad news is that he’s moved up in the Dem House hierarchy.) I’m going to go to DC in a couple weeks and see if I can make nice with Van Hollen, the new DCCC chair. We have some mutual friends. I’ll try to get him on FDL for a friendly chat.
Good God, Howie.
That made my stomach drop for real. I intend to work for anybody else during the primaries to see that I don’t have to do that.
Well, I am up for Charlie Brown again — let’s hope sooner than 2008, if Doolittle gets indicted.
I must admit, I’ve pulled back with election fatigue. I’ve still got my bumper sticker on the car and I’m not planning on taking it off.
Howie, welcome home. Did you love Patagonia?OT, I left you a question on your blog and can’t, for some reason, get back there to see if you answered. What do you make of Angelides’ chances in 2010?
Can we focus on getting rid of Gary Miller this year? He’s a particular thorn in my side, what with his foothills development hard on.
SusanD @ 13
I do too, But I said “eventually.” Hillary is a big front runner.
Mommybrain @ 15
I had a great time in Argentina, thanks. And I’m refreshed and glad to be home. Gary Miller is as low as they come– like Jerry Lewis and Roy Blunt and John Doolittle. But in Doolittle’s case, we had a candidate ( a great one) and he held Doolittle down to below 50% and he’ll run again. In the case of Miller, we had no candidate and we’re starting from zero (same with Lewis and Blunt). That’s also the kind of stuff I want to discuss with Van Hollen.
By the way, I LOVE this picture of Gary Miller. It so captures his essence.
I was encouraged by Van Hollen’s statement to the WaPo:
More, please.
Just over the line at 55.45% is Tom Davis (VA-11), next door to me. Andy Hurst got over 100,000 votes while running an underfunded campaign that took no PAC money (and got no DCCC money), and as a result, he’s been getting a lot of attention since the election. He’s a really good guy and a strong progressive; he deserves to be on our list if he runs again (and he most likely will.)
I really dislike Senator Clinton’s assumption that ‘we’ll probably wind up having to have to vote for her eventually’. The Democratic party has so many more talented prospective nominees for president in 2008.
Howie Klein @ 17
So, they didn’t ask you to leave the country I take it?
GW Clusterfuck has now butchered 2998 american troops in Iraq- he will likely butcher his 3,000th before the year is out.
Mommybrain @ 15
I’d like that, as well! In fact, the first place where I registered to vote when i turned 18 was in CA-42 (I live in Mission Viejo at the time)…
And I still have friends who live in the Orange County part of the district…
Ya know, I’m still miffed that we didn’t do anything to make sure that there would even be a Dem on the ballot! I know that CA-42 would be a VERY UPHILL BATTLE, but there’s still no excuse that we’d leave that scumbag completely unopposed this year!
Btw, thanks to Mr. Klein and Blue America for all the good work that they did this year in helping take back Capitol Hill!
: )
In which of the first four primary/caucus states is Hill the big front-runner? Even Tweety’s backed off of the GOP all-Hillary-wish-making (I think he’s fallen hard, with a mancrush on Edwards).
Hillary = Frontrunner is a GOP meme. Let’s not repeat it among ourselves. It’s simply not true.
Redshift @ 20
Let’s hope the bitter Republican Party civil war brewing in Virginia does for Davis in ‘08, what the Republican civil war in Kansas did for Jim Ryun (and Phill Kline and half a dozen other Republican incumbents) a few weeks ago. I think Davis is vulnerable.
The converse of this targeting is to decide which Dem pickups of ‘06 we should defend unconditionally, and which ones we should defend “strategically”–i.e. accepting the possibility of losing as long as it drains plenty of GOP money. For instance, should we really try to hold onto TX-22, or simply use it to bleed the GOP?
Also, Professor Simon Jackman of Stanford has a lot of interesting studies and data on district partisan indices (rather more sophisticated than the public Cook PVI), incumbent advantage, and so on.
There’s also lots of other interesting stuff on his homepage, the link to which I’ll put in another comment to try to avoid link-moderation…
Redshift @ 20
Would Hurst do better against Davis again, or in an open-seat race, should Davis get the Senate nod in the case of a Warner retirement?
rwcole @ 23
Before the day is out. It was 2997 when I woke up this morning– and there are some Sunnis on the warpath for some reason today.
Howie Klein @ 18
OK, this is slightly OT, but I’m a member of Hull-Richter’s Democratic club!
; )
Howie Klein @ 18
Yeah, he’s a tool. He couldn’t wait to sell his land for way more than it was worth. What’s more, the money came from the state as party of Monrovia’s package deal. I saw him, Drieir and Rohrabacher chatting on a cable access show, congratulating Miller other on making such a killing when My Fair City (Monrovia) decided they didn’t want to build up the foothills anymore.
So if both candidates for the presidency in 2008 support continuation of the aggressive Bush foreign policies. Then what are we to do?
Simon Jackman’s homepage. (BTW he’s an occasional poster at pollster.com)
Oklahoma kiddo @ 32
We make sure NOW that there won’t be two Bush-lite candidates in 2008!
: )
TeddySanFran @ 25
Alas, the newest polling shows her out front in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. It wish it weren’t so. And there’s a long time between now and when that will matter. But, it won’t do us any good to ignore the fact we have a real uphill climb. Honestly, I want to focus more on the House again in ‘08. I’m not so certain we can have as great an impact on the White House as we can on congressional races. Know what I mean?
Slightly OT, but may I take this opportunity to point out that if anyone is jonesing for campaign work before 2008, we have the entire Virginia legislature up for election in 2007, and we could use all the help we can get. Arguably the first rumblings of the Blue wave were the 2005 elections here where we had back-to-back Democratic governors and pickups in the legislature, and further pickups in ‘07 would be a good way to demonstrate that the wave is going to continue to ‘08.
Also, this year is the lowest turnout of our election cycle (no federal or statewide elections), and therefore the most easily influenced by committed activists. Whaddaya say? Get it touch at razorsharpwit AT gmail DOT com, and I’ll hook you up!
TeddySanFran @ 28
It’s always easier to take an open seat than to knock off an incumbent– unless there are really extraordinary circumstances (like if Davis was having a dalliance like Foley and Kolbe were; he wasn’t though.)
Very disappointed that Jerry Lewis didn’t even have to break a sweat. But Pombo’s gone, and Charlie Brown came close.
While you were gone, Jane asked what BlueAmerica might be doing now, and in the future.
I want all national elections - congressional, senatorial, and presidential, publicly funded.
How tall is that windmill?
It should be done, because elections are the breeding grounds for corruption. But how to go about getting those who are receiving those private dollars to vote against their own pockets?
Oklahoma kiddo @ 32
No Democrat can win the nomination supporting Bush’s approach in Iraq– and I’m not so sure a Republican can win their nomination with that strategy either– although I hope they give it a try.
jayt @ 38
I agree 100%. Let’s make sure we ask every single candidate we have on about that.
Howie. What an incredible post. Things were THAT boring in Argentina?! Didn’t you meet je*na & notje*na?
Seriously. Nothing boosts the weary spirit quite so much as seeing plans & solutions like this. ;->
As of 12/26, in Iowa:
Excerpt:
I regard the White House as a huge prize. Whoever is in the Oval Office in 2008 will appoint the next Attorney General.
Adie @ 41
They were hustled out of the country the week before I got there, when the State Dept said it was unsafe for them, it having become very public knowledge that they were down there after one of them was robbed in San Telmo.
Howie Klein @ 29
It’s just a number though, right?
In the Wisconsin 5th Congressional District Sensenbrenner got 61 % and Bryan Kennedy got 35 %, I hope we’ll be able to kick Sensenbrenner out next time!
TeddySanFran @ 42
The new ARG polling shows her winning in Iowa. It’s too early to mean a lot though.
ARG for all candidates, all early states.
twolf1 @ 45
Well, I thought it was a comma, but I get confused sometimes.
My point precisely. So lets work to snag the Democratic nomination for a Democrat who has started early disliking this Iraq mess. Not some Johnnie come lately ‘I am now against the war’ opportunist. I am here thinking of Gore, Edwards, Feingold, and Clark.
Oklahoma kiddo @ 43
Yep, so I don’t want another GOPer appointing another Christianist AND/OR sadist to uphold the laws of the land.
I’m not buying the inevitability of Hillary. Someone will correct me if I’m wrong, but I’m pretty sure Lieberman was the frontrunner this far out from the 2004 election.
TeddySanFran @ 28
Oh, he’d be a shoo-in in an open-seat race; the district went solidly for Kerry and Kaine. One way or another, Davis is the last Republican who will hold that seat. His history of pork and support of federal employees (against a Republican party that hates them) are the reason he’s kept it this long.
The Warner race could be very interesting. Davis has been preening himself as heir apparent for years, but I heard that Allen wants to run for it since his loss, which could be quite a bloodbath. And possibly as a result of that, Warner has been reconsidering his plans to retire.
Howie, hadn’t we best prepare with some fundraising for 2007 House races required due to retirements, indictments, and Ethics Committee (haha!) investigations?
Could there be a new “2007 lockbox” where we raise and hold money against that possibility? Those races are likely to be short, sweet, and brutal when they pop up, aren’t they?
Oh… and I forgot Kucinich. Did I leave anyone else out?
So GOOD to see you back, Howie. Looks like you somehow escaped the Cheney and Emmanuel hit teams disguised as penguins sent after you. We’ve missed the “fire in the belly” intensity of your essays.
I’m trying to get info on what Alaska Dems intend to do to keep the heat on Don Young. So much is in flux here, with our new governor Sarah Palin seeming to be serious about governing a fair distance further to the left than her most devoted advocates are prepared for. And wth US Atty Gen Alice Fisher empaneling an 18-month grand jury here to look further into (mostly) GOP-based corruption.
Oklahoma kiddo @ 50
Gore still seems to be saying he isn’t running (although I haven’t given up hope on him either). Edwards was kind of a Johnny come lately on this issue (but I accept his apology). Feingold has ruled out running– for real. I have some real reservations about Clark as president. Right now, I’m hoping Gore runs and rooting for Edwards and Obama to run good campaigns. But, like I said, I want to focus more on the congressional races myself, because I feel I can have more of an impact.
Oklahoma kiddo @ 50
Kiddo, we have been on the same “Clark” page for some time. Have you heard any reason to be optimistic?
Oklahoma kiddo @ 50
I was kinda excited about Feingold, but it now looks like he’s not running, and perhaps it is best for him to keep fighting in the Senate…
Meanwhile, I’m keeping an open mind on Edwards. Ya know, he was also a “johnnie come lately” when it came to Iraq…
But at least he’s willing to say he was wrong about it, and he’s now espousing a more multilateral foreign policy…
And of course, how can I say no to Gore if he decides to run? I just hope that if he does run, that he doesn’t announce too late, after I decide to commit to Edwards or Obama (or someone else?).
Oh, and I also hope that whoever runs doesn’t pull down our chances of picking up more House and Senate seats!
: )
Redshift @ 53
ReneND @ 58
Not yet. But Clark would be an excellent choice in my view. ;)
TeddySanFran @ 54
I’m all ears. The PAC is open for contributions.
Jerry McNerney Cal.11 gave the Dem. radio address today. It’s good to get the new liberals out front.
Steve @ 63
Did you hear it? What did he talk about?
atdnext @ 59
We have so many talented Demos, I’m thinking, to choose from!
Excellent! Speaking of “faithless Democrats”, I’ve compiled a list of Dems who voted…
o For the Military Commissions Act
o For the Bankruptcy bill (technically known as “Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act”)
o Against Net Neutrality (technically the “Markey of Massachusetts Amendment” to the “Communications, Opportunity, Promotion, and Enhancement Act of 2006″), and who
o voted for or missed the vote on Federal Government intervention in the Terry Schiavo case (technically known as “For the Relief of the Parents of Theresa Marie Schiavo”)
I agree it will be interesting to see if the primary challenges in ‘06 induce some positive behavior modification by folks like Al Wynn.
Howie @ 64 Corruption and Iraq
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/s.....TE=DEFAULT
The “vast right-wing conspiracy” has not gone anywhere. They have gotten stronger though.
The simple matter of it is: Hillary Clinton sold out.
Howie Klein @ 26
Heh, heh, heh. Thanks, Howie, I hadn’t seen that, though I’m certainly familiar with the background of it. I’ll comment over at DWT, since it’s OT here.
brownandserve @ 66
Great site! What a bunch of disgraceful assholes on those lists!
Howie, I know you’ve done so before, but could you run some of the reasons you’re not sure about Clarke by us one more time?
OfT:
WaPo’s “media reporter” Howard Kurtz chatz Tuesday at Noon Eastern if anyone wants to ask him about our ghoulish media’s Saddamapalooza, or anything else….
Welcome back, Howie.
I’ve received a few requests from our candidates for help reducing their campaign debts, which for a losing candidates is some of the most difficult money to raise.
Any thoughts about how best to help candidates with debt reduction?
Mommybrain @ 72
I’m not “anti-Clark” and I respect him and hope he continues to serve the country. After spending some time talking to him I got a distinct feeling he’s not the right man to be president (not that it wouldn’t be MUCH better than ANY Republican and many Democrats). I’m trying to keep open minded about Clark and I hope to meet up with him again sometime soon. If you do an internal blog search on DWT you’ll find all the real time posts I did on Clark after we met in person.
RBG @ 74
No, I avoid thinking about it. I have enough guilt runnin’ around inside me without looking for more. What are you thinking?
McNerney response today.
HOWIE!!!!
I am sooo glad you are back. Missed you a lot. (Sorry I slept in, again!)
Now, to read.
TeddySanFran @ 77
Good speech! And the same moment you posted it, he spammed everyone on his list with it too!
Bush, the ‘Manchurian Candidate’. Gone bonkers.
Howie Klein @ 39
Do you think Sen. Clinton is hoping the war will be over before 2008, so she can then come out against it?
Howie Klein @
76
Not sure I have an answer either but, if we think folks are serious about running again in ‘08, it’s something to consider sooner than later.
Howie Klein @ 71
Thanks. This evolved from my earlier idea of a “Lamont Score.”
Here’s my $.02 for 2008 Congressional Blue America priorities:
1. Work to identify progressive Democratic candidates in vulnerable GOP incumbents’ districts.
2. Ally with Van Hollen.
3. Identify, alongside the DCCC, some sinkhole races for the GOP, where their leaders or stars are perhaps less vulnerable but which they’ll fight to defend.
4. Obtain a DCCC no-primary-involvement pledge.
So great to see you back Howie! Thanks for blogging through your trip I really enjoyed reading aroundtheworld. Your target list sure looks like an excellent ‘08 road map at this point. I have a feeling a few surprise progressive candidates will pop up and add pleasant kinks. Hopefully we can support a select few Senate primary campaigns as well. Will the candidates please stand up!
TeddySanFran @ 84
Sounds good, Teddy. Like I said, I’m hoping to have a meeting with Van Hollen in his office in 2 weeks. He was a Rahm lieutenant in charge of recruitment and I’m not 100% certain where he stands but I intend to find out.
TeddySanFran @ 48
I saw that chart yesterday. Clinton or Obama - arg is the right word. The Democrats appear to have learned nothing from 2000.
Speaking of the recently deposed Jim Ryun (was R-Kansas 2) by Nancy Boyda, is Blue America going to focus strictly on challengers to incumbents, or will it consider directing some money to Democratic incumbents such as Boyda who proved their electability but are likely to be heavily targeted by the Repugs in 2008?
I realize that Democratic incumbents, even new ones, will likely have more access to other sources of funding than many challengers will…
neurophius @ 88
I’ve been thinking about that a lot, of course. What does everyone think? We’ll need to make a community decision.
TSF - 4. Obtain a DCCC no-primary-involvement pledge.
ooh I like it.
neurophius @ 88
Seems to me that retaining Democratic seats falls in Van Hollen’s DtripleC portfolio. There was an article (can I find it?) while Howie was away, discussing the Critters-elect’s efforts to solidify support in their own districts, starting before they were sworn in.
Howie Klein @ 89
My suggestion is that we watch and see how they vote in the next year or so and keep our eyes and our minds open for some Democratic incumbents worthy of our support who are facing tough races.
Not that I have any problem with Blue America’s policy in 2006, I’m just thinking in terms of holding on to our new seats as well as beating more Republican incumbents and going for some open seats.
Eureka Springs, AR @ 90
This is critically important, and we can point to Duckworth as example numero uno.
I think strong progressive incumbents are the best folks to support.
Until we reach the tipping point with public campaign finance reform the burdon is upon us.
TeddySanFran @ 84
I’ve also suggested this a time or two.
If possible.
Good idea, provided there’s some grassroots support in those areas. The more they have to defend “safe” seats, the less they’ll have for big-market races, as long as the Democrats aren’t spending lots of money in those sinkhole races, too. Asymmetric politics are what we’re loo