
Leaking memos has become quite the thing in Washington. The purpose seems to be to show that policymakers are not as out of touch as their public pronouncements paint them. It is a way to admit through various linguistic somersaults that something may not be going quite right in Iraq without giving up on the pipedream of success there. Rumsfeld’s November 6 memo is his second effort writing in this genre. The “long slog” was his first. To be charitable to him, Rumsfeld has an unusual style, so unusual in fact that it needs translation. This is a task I am cheerfully willing to do.
So here is the memo with a few edits and my translations between the brackets [ ].
SUBJECT: Iraq — Illustrative [Shiny] New Courses of Action The situation in Iraq has been [d]evolving, and U.S. forces have adjusted, over time, from major combat operations [the invasion] to counterterrorism [a few deadenders], to counterinsurgency [the insurgency], to dealing with death squads and sectarian violence [the civil war]. In my view it is time for a major adjustment [new strategy]. Clearly, what U.S. forces are currently doing in Iraq is not working well enough or fast enough [or at all]. Following is a range [laundry list, as I believe Stephen Hadley called them] of options [ideas that do not amount to a strategy]:ILLUSTRATIVE [SHINY] OPTIONS
Above the Line [Glass half full options]: (Many of these options could and, in a number of cases, should be done in combination with others) [Most also look better after one or two drinks. But seriously, some are flatly contradictory like increasing and decreasing troop levels.]
Publicly announce a set of benchmarks [timetables].
Significantly increase U.S. trainers and embeds, and transfer more U.S. equipment to Iraqi Security forces (ISF) [arm the Shia], to further accelerate their capabilities by refocusing the assignment of some significant portion of the U.S. troops currently in Iraq [Redeploy to super bases. See Baker-Hamilton ISG for details].
Initiate a reverse embeds program [use Iraqi translators to help our troops talk to Iraqis: a truly revolutionary concept after 3 1/2 years].
Aggressively beef up the Iraqi MOD[efense] and MOI[nterior] . . . by reaching out to [pleading with] U.S. military retirees and Reserve/National Guard volunteers (i.e., give up on trying to get other USG Departments to do it.) [Yes, but what about Blackwell and KBR? Promise travel to exotic places and business opportunities in a sunny clime.]
Conduct an accelerated draw-down of U.S. bases. We have already reduced from 110 to 55 bases. Plan to get down to 10 to 15 bases by April 2007, and to 5 bases by July 2007. [Redeploy to super bases, see above.]
Retain high-end SOF capability and necessary support structure to target Al Qaeda, death squads, and Iranians in Iraq [Use the Air Force and Special Forces, instead of the Army and the Marines]
Initiate an approach where U.S. forces provide security only for those provinces or cities that openly request U.S. help and that actively cooperate, with the stipulation being that unless they cooperate fully, U.S. forces would leave their province. [Yes, he actually said this. So to all insurgents and builders of safe havens who wanted us to leave, all you needed to do was ask. Sheesh.]
Stop rewarding bad behavior, as was done in Fallujah [We were too soft there.] . . . As the old saying goes, “If you want more of something, reward it; if you want less of something, penalize it.” No more reconstruction assistance in areas where there is violence. [In other words, no more money for reconstruction, period.]
Position substantial U.S. forces near the Iranian and Syrian borders to reduce infiltration and, importantly, reduce Iranian influence on the Iraqi Government. [Use millions of non-existent troops to guard a thousand miles of open border]
Withdraw U.S. forces from vulnerable positions [Leave Iraq. OK, he probably meant more of this redeploy to super bases stuff.]
Begin modest withdrawals of U.S. and Coalition forces (start “taking our hand off the bicycle seat”), so Iraqis know they have to pull up their socks, step up and take responsibility for their country. [All I could get out of this is that it is apparently important to wear socks while riding a bike. Not sure of the applicability but still good to know.]
Provide money [bribes] to key political and religious leaders (as Saddam Hussein did), to get them to help us get through this difficult [awful] period.
Initiate a massive program for unemployed youth. It would have to be run by U.S. forces, since no other organization could do it. [This could mean basketball teams or an army. The context is not clear]
Announce that whatever new approach the U.S. decides on, the U.S. is doing so on a trial basis. This will give us the ability to readjust and move to another course, if necessary, and therefore not “lose.” [This is the standard “sanity clause” if you remember your Marx Brothers movies.]
Recast the U.S. military mission and the U.S. goals (how we talk about them) — go minimalist. [Examples of the minimalist approach: How are things going in Iraq? No comment. Do we have an army in Iraq? No comment. How many Americans died last week? No comment.]
Below the Line (less attractive options)[Glass half empty options]:
Continue on the current path. Descent into darkness]
Move a large fraction of all U.S. Forces into Baghdad to attempt to control it. [Move a lot of our troops into Baghdad, not control it, and lose the country in the process.]
Increase Brigade Combat Teams and U.S. forces in Iraq substantially. [Send in all those troops that don’t exist not just to the borders but throughout the country. Since they don’t exist, we can send in as many as we want where we want, also known as the McCain Plan.]
Set a firm withdrawal date to leave. Declare that with Saddam gone and Iraq a sovereign nation, the Iraqi people can govern themselves. Tell Iran and Syria to stay out. [Note: This option is simply too ridiculous to translate and I will not insult your intelligence by doing so.]
Assist in accelerating an aggressive federalism [partition] plan, moving towards three separate states — Sunni, Shia, and Kurd. [We’ll throw in the regional war for free.]
Try a Dayton-like process. [If this doesn’t work, use the direct Cincinnati method. In rare cases, Cleveland may be needed but should be used with caution.]
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Ha! I bet that was fun. Don’t try and tell me you didn’t enjoy it!
Hugh !!
Bully, Hugh! [great job]
http://patrickjfitzgerald.blogspot.com
FroTeddySanFran @ 1
Front-page, yay!
fitz!
Yay Hugh!!
IIRC, this is your first FDL post, hope it’s the first of many more.
Hugh ROCK!
:-)
Your list of cities is amusing, I come from between Dayton and Cincinnati, and have people in Cleveland.
Hugh, great to see you up front!
Publicly announce a set of benchmarks [timetables].
Bad translation, at least in government-speak. Benchmarks are accomplishments on the way to a goal. Time usually isn’t a factor.
I’m only bringing this up because it’s part of what the “what should we do in Iraq” debate is about. Benchmarks without a timetable are “whenever you get around to it”. Think “Microsoft Vista” without any alternatives like Linux or Unix or Microsoft Windows XP. Not exactly a confidence-builder.
UPDATE:
Increase Brigade Combat Teams and U.S. forces in Iraq substantially. [Send in all those troops that don’t exist not just to the borders but throughout the country. Since they don’t exist, we can send in as many as we want where we want, also known as the McCain Plan.]
Good translation, at least in the short term. The long term translation is “implement draft”.
Bravo Hugh!
Stunning work as usual and I think you have mastered the art of black humor of the literary variety.
OMG, is it really our Hugh?
Excellent post, I’d recommend the Cincinnati method…as long as it’s five way.
Excellent, I knew we must have a Rumsfeldite speaker among us, and I’m not surprised it’s you, Hugh. Your comments have always been illustrative and it’s nice to see you above-the-line. Always a warm feeling when a commenter vaults up, unless I’ve missed your previous posts uptop.
This was fun to read (and sad). Bet it wrote that way, too, eh?
PS This doesn’t mean the end of your gas/oil updates, does it?
Nice job Hugh- thanks
You have to wonder why Rumsfeld felt a “Try a Dayton-like process” is a “below the line” option. Seems to me it wouldn’t cost very much and it might be as likely to produce a good outcome as any of the other outcomes, not that it’s all that likely, mind you.
Hugh, I really enjoyed this post, thank you!
Funny thing…I mis-read “Dayton-like process.” To my trifocals (or my brain, I don’t know) it became, “Try a Daytona-like process.” LOL
What is Rummy’s fascination with bicycle seats? Where’s his other hand (apologies to David Byrne)? Where’s his nose?
ot - chimpy speaking live on cspan about something that is more his speed
EPU’d from the Abyss thread:
Olmert: Iraq, Mideast conflict unrelated
Oh really? Is Olmert contradicting our own Condi Rice?
Or what about CIA findings of Palestinian terror groups in Iraq?
Or how about Saddam’s hero status among Palestinians for subsidizing suicide bombers?
Nothing to see, says Olmert, move along.
Congrats on making it to The Show. You know I take credit, don’t you?
Anyway, I thought for Rummy his memo was rather straightforward. I would have translated it into Rumsfeld Master Bullshitter public comsumption speech - a paradigm shift here, a matrix there, sprinkle insome some vectors and some repug fairy dust, et viola. I guess that’s why I’m not in the show.
Howard Dean!
Set a firm withdrawal date to leave. Declare that with Saddam gone and Iraq a sovereign nation, the Iraqi people can govern themselves. Tell Iran and Syria to stay out. [Note: This option is simply too ridiculous to translate and I will not insult your intelligence by doing so.]
Don’t laugh, Hugh. This is exactly what we did in Vietnam. The comedian Pat Paulsen, when he ran his joke campaign for president in 1968, said that the solution to the Vietnam War was to declare victory and leave. Four years and a few months later, that’s basically what we did. Now the Vietnam/Iraq parallels continue once again…
Howard Dean’s call for the Dems to not seat the delegate from FL-13 is gaining momentum:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/12/7/174230/517
Nice translation, Hugh. You da man!
As a fan of the movie Airplane. I wonder, does any one here speak Jive?
Kemo - My first thought on reading that Baker personally included Israeli/Palestinian relations in the ISG report was that he was purposefully throwing a spanner in the works for any meaningful change with respect to US strategy in Iraq. It’s my second thought too.
I believe that a moment of silence will be appropriate tomorrow afternoon- as Frist and Hastert bite the big one and step down from their leadership positions..Hope there’s a bugler there ta blow taps!!
rwcole @ 26
I think we might get a few kazoos together for that.
Will they cry?- will they shake with fury?
Will they band together as brothers facing that long dark night? Stay tuned!
Thanks, Hugh!
[Shouldn’t everyone should learn a foreign language?]
Hastert says that he plans to take up competitive eating- he’s up to 87 hot dogs in one sitting- making him competitive for world class matches.
Frist plans ta go back ta fuckin patients.
Frist is also makin a video tape:
100 diagnoses for all occaisions!!
Frist will finally get a chance to see how his blind trust is doing.
rwcole @ 32
And he has a children’s book coming out: “Mommy, Where’s Fluffy?”
Evil Parallel Universe @ 25
I agree, and that link, it seems, is what Olmert wants to avoid. Good on Baker, because that is how the war was sold.
Those who have seen Hastert practice are amazed at his discipline and competive nature:
“Stay out a that man’s way when he’s eatin”, said one, “Once he gets his game face on- he’d as soon eat ya as look at ya”.
In Europe, Hastert ate a smart car as a warm up to the main competition.
Ed*ard Teller @ 23
The Sarasota [corrected] Herald Tribune wrote an article about this recently, saying that it may have been ballot design that was the problem. Seems that while the usual practice was to put one race on a page, they combined the FL-13 and FL governor’s race on one page. I find this convincing, at least to explain some of the undercounting. One is left wondering, though, why more Democratic voters missed this election than Republicans? Better voter education, perhaps?
http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/002079.php
Anyway, I hadn’t heard about Howard Dean’s statement until now. My guess is that the mainstream news will ignore it.
UPDATE: Link to coverage of Dean’s statement:
http://www.sptimes.com/2006/12....._kee.shtml
jeffreyw @
24
Oh, I speak jive!
Poor Howard, he’s either yelling too loud, or not loud enough.
Here is a partial translation of Hugh’s post into urban pirate:
You can translate the rest yourself at Gizoogle.com
Can we expect a book called:
“In Retrospect: The Tragedy and Lessons of the
Iraqi War? by Donald Rumsfield
Jack
HotFlash @ 39
Shit, man…er,.. I mean Golly! Hee Hee
jeffreyw @ 32
Betcha he knows the SEC’s gonna indict him before Xmas. Brings a special joy to the holidaze, ya think, Fristy?
Hugh, I have to thank you again for the post. Rummy’s departure was a good thing and I just gotta wonder who “leaked” the memo. I just can’t wrap my mind around it, except with my usual suspicion of trying to make the shrub and his pals look good and like they were doing “hard work” instead of trying to control the oil resources of the world and us.
I have to say although I have been disgusted, afraid, depressed, angry, dispirited, miserable, sad, ashamed, furious, and clinging at straws all these last 6 years– I am really all those things at once after the Gates hearings, the ISG report and the presser today.
A terrible foreboding has taken over and it does not seem to be balanced much by our win in November.
Heelarious,Hugh!!
Well there’s no place like jail for the holidays
Cause no matter if ya win or tie or fail
If ya want to be greeted in a special way
For the holidays ya can’t beat yer own jail
Wow, Hugh, that’s amazing. Hug(h)s and hug(h)e props. So, now what are we going to do about Iraq?
It is really bothering me. Pro’ly hundreds of people dying every day because of our government and, and we are all too polite (or something?) to say “the Preznit is mental” and make him stop. AAaaaaaaah! OK, Poppy tried, JamesB tried, it will go on until 2008 *if* we can take the Wh House. And you know they’ll be cranking up the heat on the Diebold machines.
Well done Hugh. My favorite:
I note that there is no San Francisco approach, which is disappointing. Nancy will not be pleased.
Evil Parallel Universe @
20
Worry not, you are bigger than the show. You are part of the fabric that is this virtual reality. Why, immediately above the very comment that this links to is an illustrious example of the EPU. You are the alternate reality, congruent yet dissimilar and in reverse. You are the negative space that defines this space. You are the all end and the be end. What more could you ask for in this world?
my fave. I been waiting for someone to ’splain that.
You are the alternate reality, congruent yet dissimilar and in reverse. You are the negative space that defines this space.
xan at correntewire::
I reversed the quotes, that negative reality thing, and I wasn’t even trying. Weird.
Does anyone think/wonder about the notion that Poppy’s Boys (led publicly by that corrupt — but, unlike Junior, still sane — bastard J. Baker III) have some sort of fallback options?
In other words, do they have a Plan B regarding Iraq policy, something to execute behind the curtain in the (highly probable) event that Junior would blow them all off?
I mean, they had to know that Little Boots would continue his temper tantrum. What will Poppy give the okay to in order to push Sonny Boy into the harsh light of reality?
Bay State Librul @
42
General Trainor has already prepared the introduction
Cobra II
MrsK8 - No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. What was that last word? No.
Evil Parallel Universe @ 52
Evil Parallel Universe @ 57
Tell me how you really feel.
Actually, I don’t mean some other public dance steps, but rather some manipulation (perhaps involving old intelligence pals) behind the scenes.
But maybe you knew that’s what I meant — in which case, I think I can guess your answer.
TeddySanFran @ 51
The hand off the bicycle seat is a reference to Bush’s tendency to fondle his balls while riding ahead of the pack. The admonition to the press not to pass him while on a ride is merely to prevent speculation.
The pull up your socks reference is also to bush, I recall that he fell off the Segway when he tried to do that. Some say he was trying to tie his shoe, but that may be apocryphal.
RBG @ 12
Not everyone knows you are talking about how many ingredients for your takeout chili.
OT — (If this has been posted already, my apologies — unfortunately, I don’t have time to read the comments to earlier threads.)
Remember the blogospheric kerfuffle (mostly over at Kos) concerning Robert Rubin speaking to Congresscritters at a special informational seminar? And how labor representatives had been told they couldn’t speak at this congressional event?
David Sirota received some inside scoop on how the meeting with Rubin went down –
Supposedly Rubin got seriously raked over the coals by Democrats who weren’t having any of what he was peddling.
Here’s Sirota’s report –
http://www.workingforchange.co.....AEFC6EE72B
Very interesting, that. Seems to portend some strong progressive attitudes in the new Congress.
I understood your question.
Well, assuming I even think any of the Poppy/Baker to rescue stories aren’t bullshit (which I really think they are), they would have tried that already. Having Chimpy rebuke the findings of the ISG just makes Chimpy look more delusional, more remote, more isolated.
My more heartfelt (and brainfelt) answer is simply that all the talk of Poppy and his team to the rescue reading the riot act to a chastised Chimpy are bullshit, and the ISG is a bad one act play agreed to by Chimpco to create the illusion of listening/contrition/change solely for public consumption.
At the end of the day, Chimpy and Cheney don’t think anything is wrong, or at least not wrong with being in Iraq, and they’re not going to change. It’s why they lost the election - they never think they need a Plan B (or Phase II in Southpark speak), cause they are always right, one way or the other, even when they are wrong.
New thread
OT
Yet another with Presidential aspirations.
http://www.rawstory.com/news/2....._1207.html
A prior thread linked to the Salon article by Sidney Blumenthal, Beating off the rescue party, who discussed the other leaked memo, the one by Hadley.
angie @
45
Wow.
if it wasn’t for Hugh’s brilliant translation, I’d feel the same. Wait. Even with Hugh’s brilliant translation, i feel the same.
Tim Russert on Hardball reporting that he’s hearing concerns by Dems and Repubs around DC that the Maliki govt could fall within days, and it’s not clear what/who would replace it.
And he’s asking whether the Iraqi Army is willing to do anything to protect it.
Evil Parallel Universe @ 63
Sigh. I had so been HOPING that Poppy would be able to bring down the axe in some form.
But, if wishes were horses….
[BTW — it occurs to me that maybe I should have put a “wink” emoticon-approximation on my last msg. Hope it didn’t come across as rude — just trying to inject a teensy bit of humor into a discussion which I find so overwhelmingly depressing. It breaks my heart to think about the devastation being wrought on such a gargantuan scale, the sheer human suffering on all sides.]
No worries MrsK8, I didn’t think your question was in any way rude.
Why do i get the feeling that Hugh is lurking here?
Oh man, I actually agree about the axe, Mrs K8. Unlike his boy, Poppy listens to advice, and it is my belief he agreed to the ISG, not W. I hope I am not wrong…
Oh, look, another catapulting commenter! Great job, Hugh! Tres droll et amusant.
More, please.
EPU’d but great job Hugh.
After the English as the national language series, I knew you were the numero uno translator.
I’m imagining the cheerleaders’ outfits.
Mary @ 75
Short skirts and burkhas?
New Thread upstairs
since the thread is dead…
To Hugh: a dram or two of 1st bottling Distiller’s Edition Caol Ila, and there’s only 465 bottles in the world! Toast!
(But you can get the second bottling anywhere.) Still, it’s so delicious you deserve a glass.
HUGH!!!
Yes- the “Santa Claus” contract negotiation in “Night at the Opera” - why does it seem like the Marx brothers are running Washington these days???
estiv @
22
And now, Bush regards Vietnam as an American success! See how easy that was?