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WaPo:
In Bridgeport, the state's largest city and an aging industrial port, 80-year-old Bill Moll was dismayed by the robo-calls he received. The Republicans launched a blizzard of those automated phone calls, attacking Farrell. And because the calls began with a cheery notation about Farrell, some voters assumed the Democrat had sponsored the calls.
"It's unbelievable how many calls I got about Farrell -- drove me nuts," said Moll, who put on his hearing aid to field these calls. "It's why I voted for Shays."
Told that many of the calls were likely sponsored by national Republicans, Moll shrugged. "Then I voted for the wrong reason," he said.
Ken Mehlman has been all over the TV today, looking a bit haggard and screaming about Democratic voter intimidation, completely unanswered by major Democrats who were, I suppose, too busy. Looks like Digby's prediction could be right.
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Fdl rocks!
GO Dems!
It’s on….OH Motherfuckers…Its ON
These people are shameless
CNN: Webb won 56% of women, 42% of veterans.
These numbers are not good for Allen.
Beat the bastards down with good old GOTV and a sense of civic pride.
EPU’d -
_____
OK, starting to be a lot of breathless early exit poll chatter about how good things are starting to look for ousting the GOPervs and the Bush criminal lackeys. High turnouts, lots of change-the-course anger, etc.
But I still can’t shake that bad feeling that tomorrow it’ll once again be a wailing of “how could the exit polls have been so wrong?”
We know how.
_
CNN: 1/3 of anti-gay marriage voters also voted for Webb.
This also not good for Allen.
TeddySanFran @
4
Wonder how many female veteran votes he won.
If I were in VA, this one would have voted for him.
EPU’ed, alas.
`Twas brillig, and the slithy Roves
Did mire and bumble in the way:
All flimsy were the pundocrats,
And the memes ran all day.
“Beware the Jorgerbush, my son!
The jaws that flap, the quotes that clash!
Beware the Mehlmehl bird, and shun
The frumious Coultergeist!”
The Jorgerbush, with eyes of blame,
Came mumbling through the too long word,
And burbled out a name!
One, two! One, two! And through and through
The vorpal pen went snicker-snark!
He left it with its empty head
And went guffawing back.
“And, has thou slain the Jorgerbush?
Come to my arms, my beamish blogger!
O frabjous day! Callooh! Callay!’
He chortled in his joy.
`Twas brillig, and the slithy Roves
Did mire and bumble in the way:
All flimsy were the blogocrats,
And the memes ran all day.
Sense of doom and gloom in cnn’ers voices.
Looks like jeff greenteeth has been to the dentist.
WEBB and NED!
Oh please, let this be true.
All of my family and friends in my former states voted for these guys.
PLEEZE!
Go Hodes!
deeeeeeeeep breath
TPM says, “In the 2004 presidential election, President Bush won 79% of the evangelical vote.”
TeddySanFran @ 12
thank you
MSNBC reported about a VA woman who got a call telling her inaccurately that her polling place had changed.
Ok, AP is reporting Webb got 68% of women polled….
isn’t Va. closed now?
it’s a good thing horse races don’t last all day.
Sometimes, being EPUed is not a bad thing.
(Look it up!)
Tryst next wolfie says…
UptownNYChick @ 16
VA polls have closed.
LJ/Aquaria @
8
Here is another female veteran that would have voted for him…
BobbyG @
6
Think of the effect on the accuracy of exit polls of voters who elected to vote early or vote absentee, and think also of the advantages, disadvantages, and limitations of stratified sampling. (Some years have gone by since the statistics courses I took in graduate school.) What else would you add?
Next summer, after Ned has become Sen LAmont, I think we need to all go for a swimming picnic at his local watering hole.
We can rechristen it Fire Dog Lake!!
Paraphrasing Keith, white Evangelicals upset by “corruption,” and turning to the Democrats.
Too aerly to order some Dem rubber stamps?
I have serious reservations about Webb but he would have gotten this vets vote too!
dharmarific @ 21
you know what?
I actually have a little bit of greatfullness that rove was not yet idicted
if he were, he would be able to claim the democratic win was not his fault
with him in his position, this is a slap in his face, a direct assault on the notion that he is some kind of marketing genious
Somebody call Howie and tell him to breathe also. *S*
ccmask @
25
Democrats don’t need rubber stamps!
Bloggers on CNN
Election day gas and oil prices
Average price for regular gasoline 11/07/06 in 50 states and DC
$2.80 plus 1 state : Hawaii
$2.70 plus 0 states
$2.60 plus 0 states
$2.50 plus 1 state : Alaska
$2.40 plus 4 states
$2.30 plus 3 states
$2.20 plus 18 states
$2.10 plus 14 states
$2.00 plus 10 states : Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, Mississippi, New Jersey, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia
Average daily change in the national average for regular gasoline beginning at the peak:
August 8-15: down .56 cents/day
August 15-22: down 1.06
August 22-29: down 1.19
Aug 29- Sept 5: down 1.54
September 5-12: down 1.7
September 12-19: down 1.8
September 19-26: down 1.7
Sept 26-Oct 3: down .9
October 3-10: down .61
October 10-17: down .56
October 17-24: down .30
October 24-31: up .11
Oct 31-Nov 7: down .2
Average national price: $2.196, down $.002 from yesterday
Highest average price: Hawaii $2.873
Lowest average price: New Jersey $2.026
http://www.fuelgaugereport.com/sbsavg.asp
Nymex Crude Future $59.11, down $.91 from yesterday
Dated Brent Spot $56.30, down $1.37
WTI Cushing Spot $58.93, down $1.09
Gas prices are at their lows and little changed. Crude oil supplies appear good, holding prices down. It will be interesting to see what happens in the next few weeks after the elections. Fundamentals look like they would keep prices low into late December or early January. If they don’t, something else is going on.
blogger party coming up on CNN!
They need rubber boots.
CNN projects that VA marriage amendment (one man, one woman) will pass.
Christy/Trex,
WHats the feel in the room. Sounds like a lot of chatter
Aravosis has a personal video from Tryst:
http://americablog.blogspot.co.....ecial.html
Think of the effect on the accuracy of exit polls of voters who elected to vote early or vote absentee, and think also of the advantages, disadvantages, and limitations of stratified sampling. (Some years have gone by since the statistics courses I took in graduate school.) What else would you add?
IMO that covers it except for the typical MOE on the final exit poll for a race is about 4%
The blogs will have more power than your fake crying will ever have Mr. Cooper.
Kentucky Third District
Anne M. Northup R 63,724 49.6% 49.6%
John Yarmuth D 63,398 49.3% 49.3%
The first returns of the night made Rep. Bernie Sanders, an independent, a winner in the Vermont Senate race, succeeding retiring Sen. James Jeffords. Brooklyn-born with an accent to match, Sanders is an avowed Socialist who will side with Democrats when he is sworn into office in January.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/s.....SECTION=US
“very anti-war kind of left blog” dat be u
Just came out of Bridgeport’s Central High School - the lines were out the door, and at least 2 machines were down.
The voters were getting very restless.
raven @ 40
dat is us.
raven @ 40
Some precincts in Joplin MO have run out of ballots.
I’m curious if the right wing bloggers at Tryst demanded that Fox News be on TV.
Sue @ 41
Is it too late for 888-DEM-VOTE?
Is crowley goth?
John Casper @
39
AAaaaarrrrgggghhhhhh
Did the talking heads just say that they locked you bloggers in a room to keep you from giving out the early returns???!!! Did I hear that wrong.
Free FireDogLake! Let my people go!
John Casper @ 44
That is just rediculous. My guess would be Joplin has a nice share of blue voters considering it’s proximity to the buckle (Springfield, MO)
on topic:
Reporters Want Names Of Storm Victims
Posted Nov 7, 2006 by Chris Chmura
Updated Nov 7, 2006 at 01:26 PM
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
ATLANTA - A lawyer argues that the Federal Emergency Management Agency should give several Florida newspapers the addresses of hurricane aid recipients so that the media can determine if government money was properly disbursed.
Charles Tobin told a panel of the Eleventh U-S Circuit Court of Appeals today that the public interest in obtaining that information outweighs any potential privacy rights that the applicants have in keeping their addresses confidential.
But FEMA lawyer Mark Stern argued that applicants for hurricane assistance are assured privacy when they apply, and that right should be protected.
http://www.tboblogs.com/index......m-victims/
oddball — it’s pretty chatty. I brought along my lucky Rubber Stamp Republican Congress stamp and am amusing the bloggers and crew with it. (Well, at least the lefty bloggers anyway…)
Ugh. Pukeworthy firefighter union guy on about why Lierman is great
KY 3rd update again…
Yarmuth 74,353 50%
Northup 71,737 49%
that oughta make you feel better
Matthews just asked the head of the firefighters union if Lieberman was “locked in a kissing booth with George Bush.”
Yes.
Hugh @ 9,
Thanks for un-EPUing that. It’s wonderful!
Is it definite that Bernie won for Vermont? If so…HUZZAH! I’ve met him, very nice man, smart and doesn’t talk bullsh*t.
joplin probably doesn’t have a whole lotta blue voters… my grandma lives there and that’s pretty red country; aunt works for the dem party there.
Reminder to self:
Never click on link to dKos. Site too slow, even on a normal day.
God, I knew there was a reason I never watch TV news. No offense Christy but CNN is terrible. Conventional News Network?
From TPM election central;
KY-03 Yarmuth: 50% Northup: 49% 64% 07:23 pm EST
p-rex @ 55
I would feel better if it was a wider spread…
Sheesh…I need some wine.
Christy Hardin Smith @ 52
IF you see Hugh Hewitt SMACK HIM!
Other than that, I look forward to the first post!
FDL Rocks
Are you sure you want to delete Republicans?
yes* no
gotta go out for dinner, got fingers crossed on both hands, Lamont for Senator, and DEms to win the house.
/me needs an update on lamont
Jane Hamsher @
56
George and Joey sittin’ in a tree (or on a float!)
K-I-S-S-I-N-G.
Sorry. Couldn’t resist.
Byrd wins!
Strickland wins!
YEAH! They’re projecting Strickland as winner over that crook Blackwell in OH.
Byrd wins SEN-WV
Strickland wins GOV-OH
Hey all,
Have you Had Enough? ad voted as #2 best political ad of the season over at Salon’s 10 Best and Worst ads.
http://www.salon.com/ent/video_dog/
Here we go…
My understanding is that the relevance of KY 3 is the “wave.” KY 03 was supposed to be “safe” Repubican. If Yarmuth wins, it’s indicative of a Dem wave. The issue so far is not “if” Dems will retake the House, but by how much.
Byrd wins, Christy.
John Casper @ 45
Oh my late Dad would be so proud - he began his long and distinguished career at the old Joplin Globe and was born in nearby Webb City.
Sure looks like a record turnout for a mid term election at least in the Show Me State! Woo-hoo!
congrats ohio on your new DEMOCRATIC governor!
Kentucky Woman @ 63
I’m afraid I’m stuck with Freeeeeeeakin Jim Raaaaaaamstaaaaad in Minnesota’s 3rd!
well, according to c and l, fox is predicting the election is breaking for the democrats
that is the greatest harbinger I have seen to date that the elections will not for the most part be stolen
my heart pounds so hard it hurts
p-rex, Agreed, I wouldn’t expect a majority blue, but,Jjoplin has had open anti war demos on the streets and the college might have a number of blue kids.
I like Carthage best.
this is the place to be on a night like this. Thank the gods for FDL, the net, and everybody who cares!!!!!!
YAY!!! Buh-buy Blackwell. Do not darken the door of our nation again.
I was left alone in the other room to celebrate the demise of Ken Blackwell. Well, I toasted to myself. :)
You know, this could be a very big night for Pelosi.
Beard5- Yeah, Bernie has been a guaranteed win for some time, and they’re just confirming that on CNN now. Bernie is a hot ticket, I worked on Mayor’s Council for Women years ago when he was mayor of Burlington, VT. Straight shooter, yup. Fire in Belly, yup. Great progressive addition to the Senate, definitely.
MSNBC’s coverage is (1) available on the Web (CNN’s is hidden behind a pay wall, it seems), (2) has Keith Olbermann.
MSNBC calls West ByGod for Robert Byrd.
Whew. That was a cliffhanger.
Not.
Byrd’s 9th term.
MSNBC projects Strickland (D) wins Ohio.
That’s nice.
Hm… What to make of these two disparate headlines:
Polls Close, Few Glitches Reported in US Elections
No Chads, But Electronic Voting Glitches
One of these things is not like the other…
Ick. Ann Althouse just took my picture and Amato is expecting me to be nice to her.
Ew.
Ew.
Ew.
So MSNBC is a full 3 minutes behind CNN in projecting winners? (Ohio, W. Va.)
A real wave will be either KY 02 or Ky 04, going BLUE, BTW Ky 02 is mine and Lewis was so scared he would not debate Col Weaver.
Yes and Weaver KY 02 is indicative of a much larger wave. laJohn Casper @ 74
Good riddance ,Blackwell.
Now, let’s see some indictments.
Prick.
ewwww. must wipe screen
Argh. The link for the No Chads story is here:
http://www.forbes.com/security.....chads.html
ccmask @
52
We’re fighting the hurricanes in Iraq so we don’t have to fight them at home.
Is she sticking pins into picture?
With 4% reporting, CNN is reporting:
Allen: 59%
Webb: 41%
I just hope those are extremely Republican districts.
TRex @ 88
EW! EW! EW!
I do hope she didn’t try to make you touch her breasts!
BRAIN BLEACH BRAIN BLEACH BRAIN BLEACH
Just finished my phonecalls and will go join other Jo Daviess democrats to watch the returns at the DeSoto House Hotel.
CNN sucks….but I have seen a flash of Christy on the blog bit.
It sucks to see Candy Crowley reporting as one of the main features. She was one of the main liars against Gore. Just made stuff up and here she is opening up her big yap………arghhhh
Rob Zuber @ 96
me too, my I have a headache, a stomach ache and serious pain.
GO WEBB and NED!
allen-Webb now 49.7 vs 49.3
You are on her website!
LJ/Aquaria @ 98
An omen? Listening to tubes-radio. Lost the name of the artists (Marcus Eaton and…..?) but it’s from a release titled “The Day the World Awoke”
These might have been mentioned earlier, but here are a couple of links to look at. The first is the Swing State Projects map showing when the polls close in each state:
http://www.swingstateproject.c.....diaryId=25
The second is TPM Cafe’s election scoreboard, which is updated pretty often:
http://www.tpmcafe.com/race/overview
Kentucky Woman could probably tell you more but the 3rd District is Louisville and most of Jefferson County. West End is black. East End is white/yuppie. South End is middle and lower middle class white. North End is the Ohio River. So depending which precincts have reported, it’s still up in the air.
raven @ 101
I can’t be on her website. I’m sitting here in San Antonio.
new thread
Yes, Ron Zuber, I have heard that Webb expects to be behind early and finish strong. I think the Webb campaign has to be happy with these numbers.
Tweetie:
If both houses of Congress go D, “that will be fantastic news.”
Fair and balanced MSNBC. Has KO been feeding something to Tweetie and Scarborough? Does Andrea drink the same stuff.
“Not a good sign for Republicans,” she says. Sounds almost sad.
LJ/Aquaria @ 97
Crones gone wild!
ruffian @ 100
Thank goodness.
Sorry, Trex’s pic is on her website, my bad.
LJ/Aquaria @ 105
Tweety asks if there will be a dem sweep:
Andrea Mitchell- Too early
Scarborough- too early could be like ‘86
Eugene Robinson- We’re seeing a wave but not a tsunami
Howard Fineman-Huge upset
Tweety- name brand gop going down
Likely late news, but Sanders is in.
Indiana Luger is in (Chair For Rel Committe - at this time) unopposed.
John Casper @ 74
And Dean will get some new-found respect considering Rahm didn’t want to bother there.
LOL
Don’t scare me like that, raven!
A note on Ohio.
My brother has the contract for boarding up homes foreclosed on federal (FHA) loans.
He is getting rich.
He has the whole state.
Nuff said.
foley over mahoney 49 - 48. WTF?
FOX [sorry] telephone poll shoes Zach Space up 60-36 in OH!
Howard Fineman- He’s so fine. He’s so fine he blows my mind- Hey Howard!
Howard thinks Kentucky is the Bellweather, or however the heck you say that.
Liveblogging IN results. Key races are as follows:
US House
District 2
Precincts Reporting: 26 Of 528 4%
Winner Candidate Incumbent Votes Vote %
Chris Chocola R (I) X 6,314 50%
Joe Donnelly D 6,261 50%
———
US House
District 7
Precincts Reporting: 19 Of 803 2%
Winner Candidate Incumbent Votes Vote %
Julia Carson D (I) X 1,479 56%
Eric Dickerson R 1,173 44%
———-
US House
District 8
Precincts Reporting: 93 Of 633 14%
Winner Candidate Incumbent Votes Vote %
Brad Ellsworth D 21,615 70%
John Hostettler R (I) X 9,422 30%
————————–
US House
District 9
Precincts Reporting: 47 Of 611 7%
Winner Candidate Incumbent Votes Vote %
Mike Sodrel R(I) X 7,109 51%
Baron Hill D 6,357
46%
Eric Schansberg L 433 3%
now webb over allen with 7.6% in 52 to 47
Msnbc 4% in Weaver 51% lewis 49%, I’m gonna wax up my surf board to ride the wave….LOL
Just finished phoning.
Can’t believe that Candy Crowley is sitting in one of the main seats on CNN. Isn’t she one of the main reporters making up stories about Gore? Why should we have to listen to her. Much better would be Christy’s insights.
Will join other dem’s at the historic DeSoto House Hotel to celebrate.
If Foley wins that is some sick sick fellow citizens we are amoung.
From TPM Cafe:
VA-SEN Webb: 52% Allen: 47% n/a n/a 7.61% 07:38 pm EST
That last percentage is “precincts”.
Keith is really playing it straight, he must be going nuts inside!
gleex @ 123
The polls in Florida just closed 45 minutes ago. They can’t know that much yet.
raven @ 102
Sounds like someone’s got a cruuuush on our favorite therapod!
New thread on IN and KY results.
I know Christy won’t like me saying this but I saw Candy Crowley on CNN a few minutes ago, channel popping back and forth between cnn and msnbc before I decided that Olbermann or no Olbermann I just can’t stomach cable election news tonight and it’s FDL and the guys (kos, conn bob, tpm) or nothin’
I cannot STAND that woman. Each time I see her, and this is the part Christy won’t like, I say to the room “I hate that fat-faced fuck!”
Does the fact that I too am rather overweight cut me some slack? Overweight, but not a fat-faced fuck.
raven @ 126
That’s a real journalist in action.
It’s been so long we’ve almost forgotten what it looks like.
tfitznc @ 4:22 pm -
I agree with your comment about the typical MOE. I was aware of the margin of error, which, in turn, as I think you know, is dependent on one’s choice of