Pectopah @
27

I am from the MI-8, and people in NYC knew we had a viable candidate in our district before I did. I keep informed. I read FDL, HuffPo, etc. I know all about the Lamont race. But in my own backyard I know nothing, because in the last cycle, the Democrats ran clowns. Well actually a wish they did, because at least clowns draw attention to themselves.

So I was pleasantly surprised to see a real Candidate. Jim Marcinkowski decided to take on the Deputy Whip Rogers. But the DCCC failed to support Jim early, and only now do Dems in the area realize their vote might count this year (we have optical scan). Jim is ex-CIA and ex-Republican. Valerie Plame was in his CIA class, which is why he switched sides. The race is becoming competitive, and I would encourage donations to his campaign.

Pehtopah, thanks for the info on your “guy” Marcinski. I just donated $200.00 on Act Blue.

Also, everyone, please consider donating to Karen Carter, in LA-2. She’s challenging William Jefferson (of freezer fame) to the seat, and she’s, according to my son, a staffer at the DNC, “the real thing”. Young, smart, articulate, and honest.

LA has a strange electoral system. Their “primary” is Nov 7th, and their “run-off” is sometime in early Dec. Carter has challenged Jefferson and is doing quite well, and, if she wins, will bring honesty back to government.

Thank you for supporting us in red districts. At a minimum it will force the incumbent to spend his money in his backyard, rather than sending it elsewhere, but I am hopefully it does more than that.

The nation I seek and believe we can attain is one where there is an honest day’s work paid. We need to take away from the issue of always seeking the profit. Our workers who make this nation work need an incentive. That begins with businesses that honor their commitment to pensions as well as allowing the workers who built the company to share in the profits of the company. It also means that superstars in entertainment, mega athletes, and yes even Members of Congress should not be able to make large amounts of money while veterans who fought for this country are homeless, teachers who teach our children are underpaid, and overworked, and when the farmers who grow the food that feeds this nation do not have to rely on subsidies to be able to make ends meet from harvest to harvest.

I see a nation where two people who wish to commit themselves may do so at the altar of their choice, before the God they worship, and their family and friends. Marriage is about love, commitment, and an everlasting friendship. Marriage is not an institution to be granted to some and denied to others.

I see a nation where our best day is just over the horizon. We need to pick up, push forward, give it all we can, and keep striving for the better day. We can once more be the shining city on the hall. It begins by focusing on true values and seeing the worth in everyone, not just someone.

I see a nation.

Lieberman (I) 48%
Lamont (D) 40%
Schlesinger (R) 9%

Let me pour on a heap of optmism in here, folks. There are somethings about polls that I’ve never liked. I thnk that they have a lot of trouble reaching poor, disabled and senior citizens, many of whom don’t have telephones. They also can’t reach the many people who only have cell phones.

Another is that they don’t count the people who have caller ID and won’t answer when pollsters call. I don’t have any idea how that skews the numbers, though.

I may be talking out of my hat here, and I didn’t research it today, but I seem to remember that Lamont was around 5 points out going into the primary and came in 3 points up.

A little bit. After the primary, the split was roughly 45-43-6, and remained that way for about a month. Lieberman then opened up the lead he appears to have now. Of course, this is trying to composite a bunch of different polls, but the trends are the thing, and the trends were flat through September, and then Liebarman opened his lead in October. If you have Flash capability, you can check the graph at pollster:

http://www.pollster.com/polls/…..enate_race

I’m sorry, but the way I read it, any support out there for Lieberman is very soft and half hearted. But all of blogdom is absolutely right on the essential question. It’s the ground game, but the ground game is about more than stuffing bodies into the booth. Perhaps there is something more that can put us solidly over the top, in CT and across the nation.

Let this particular GOTV effort be a joyous reflection of the community we’ve become since Howard Dean asked “What I wanna know…!”

When the other side does its GOTV they have nothing positive to motivate them. Every vote is an against. Against investigations, against oversight, against, well let’s face it, SUNLIGHT.

Against gays. Against an enemy that barely exists, and can’t hope to defeat us without our help.

So let our voter turnout look like the “John Doe Clubs” from that movie Gary Cooper and Barbara Stanwick. Let it look and feel like genuine outreach. Let it look like this is something that won’t go away after the ballots are cast.

I remember the day at The New School in NYC, whenDean announced the formation of Democracy For America. As I looked around the packed auditorium, my only thought was that Dean lost but we’re still here, and we’re not going away until we take our country back.

This is OUR moment. The first of many to come as we reverse the course of the nation. Let our GOTV look like we’re all in this together and we’re going to make it right again.

Lamont by 3.

http://teocawki.blogspot.com

It could happen.

This is where visits by Bill and others could make a big difference. They could even disguise it as a visit to boost the entire Dem team – which might piss off Lieberman less.

The fact is – Bill promised to campaign for the winner of the Dem primary. Is Bill a liar? We’re watching and waiting.

I agree there are lots of intangible factors

My bet is this: if the Clintons can see a way to claim credit for the Lamont win, one or both of them will go to Connecticut this week or the last weekend. If the polls — and their parsing of them — show no NED gain, they’ll stay out.

They are busy celebrating their birthdays right now.
I think it’s crucial that Schlessinger said he is finally getting ads on the air this week. That will take votes from joe.

TeddySanFran @ 70

Good news from Connecticut, via MyDD:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/10/29/132247/61

I’m happy with that – factor in the margin of error, variables that don’t factor into the poll, i.e. the Wesley Clark ad, the N Y Times take down of Joe/endorsement of Ned, the many colleges in CT (most college kids use cell phones), etc.

I think there will be more movement in the next week.

Bill, Barak, Russ, John Edwards – could all make a difference in this race.

The good news about that poll is that Schlesinger is eating into Lieberman’s lead. The bad news is that Lamont isn’t. Hopefully, the diary author (mhinds?) is right about intangibles, and Lamont could get a boost from the NYT and the third debate (I’m not sure how much that would have affected this poll).

It sure would help if a Clinton showed up, wouldn’t it?

Politics is a strange science, because experiments can’t be repeated. And this is an experimental approach.

There will be surprises. There will be candidates who never expected to hand in notice on their jobs, who’ll need to start looking for somewhere to stay in DC. And surprises aren’t necessarily proof of success, but if there are a lot of them…