Comments on: Ned Lamont: Breaking Out

By: Beetlejuice

Beetlejuice — Thu, 01 Jun 2006 03:58:21 +0000

Mark Smeraldi here’s the URL for Ned Lamont’s website.
https://secure.nedlamont.com/page/contribute/fightback/

By: John Casper

John Casper — Thu, 01 Jun 2006 00:54:59 +0000

This is a shorter version of what got EPU’d prior thread at 111.
WaPo had Ned at 13% on April 11 among Dems. That means Ned was 55 points behind on April 11.
Five weeks later in the CT Primary, May 19, Ned captured 33% of the vote. In about 36 days Liebermann’s lead shrank from 55 points to 34 points. Joe’s losing more than half a point every day. At that rate, 68 days after May 19, July 27, Ned and Joe are tied. If the trend continues after July 27, Ned is up six or seven points on Primary day, August 9.
Please feel free to check my numeracy. This is all based on a continuation of the current trend.

By: sofistic

sofistic — Wed, 31 May 2006 23:32:46 +0000

The connection of Lieberman and choicepoint makes sense when you start looking at the interlocking directorates of many organizations.

I am slowly and painfully putting together a relational database of interlocking directorates where there is some relationship to government posts.

For example, one of the directors of Choicepoint is John J. Hamre, who is also the president and CEO of the Center for Strategic and international Studies.
Please look carefully at the folks on the board.

http://www.csis.org/about/trustees/

And look here for Choicepoint:
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/ph.....l-govboard

There are many other connections among the sets I am working on, interlocked with, for example, Home Depot. It goes on and on, and the web is complex and somewhat scary. Next is connecting the dots between lists on opensecrets and governament contractors, etc.

By: John Casper

John Casper — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:40:04 +0000

rwcole, WaPo had Ned at 13% on April 11 among just Dems. See the link below. That means Ned was 55 points behind on April 11.
Five weeks later in the Primary, May 19, Ned captures 33% of the Dem vote. In about 36 days Liebermann’s lead shrank from 55 points to 34 points, a 21 point switch of registered Dems. Joe’s losing more than half a point every day.
The Rasmussen number, that Ned is 20 points behind on May 5, doesn’t make any sense against the primary numbers. Rasmussen has Ned closer to Joe on May 5 than the actual primary results had Ned on May 19.
What you have taught me is the importance of the slope. The slope of Joe’s decline and Ned’s growth is very, very dramatic. Just going by the slope of the line, if it remains constant, Ned will be ahead of Joe in July?
By Chris Cillizza | April 11, 2006; 1:22 PM ET
“The primary in Connecticut is closed, meaning that only registered Democrats can vote — a rule that should benefit Lamont. But the challenger has a long way to go to be a serious threat to Lieberman. Although no recent polling has been released publicly, a February Quinnipiac University survey showed Lieberman with a 68 percent to 13 percent lead over Lamont….”

I threw this together, so please feel free to check my numeracy.

By: GSD

GSD — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:22:44 +0000

Re: # 105

I hope Mary Cheney is happy now. Myabe she can use some of the profits from the 4,000 books she has sold to beat back the effort at mass dehumanization about to be undertaken by her fathers running mate and her political party.

-GSD

By: BarbaraB

BarbaraB — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:20:35 +0000

*ilson — Thank you for the “recently” — I graduated in 1966. (egregious can speak for herself.) At some point in the intervening 40 years, Lamont was desegregated, but it was too late for apologies. I do not, however, hold great-grandsons accountable for the sins of great-grandfathers, or even their more recent relations. Ned is quite obviously living proof that sexism is not hereditary.

By: Redshift

Redshift — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:19:50 +0000

rwcole #82: Interesting. I’m hearing rumblings of the same thing here in Virginia. When there’s an open seat (and occasionally when there’s a moderate R incumbent), a wingnut wins the primary and gets stomped in the general election. (The one reliable Achilles’ heel of wingnuts is that no matter what the polls or the voters say, they’re absolutely certain that the vast majority of people agree with their far-right views.)

As the wingers demand absolute loyalty to tenets like their no-tax pledge, we may see more defections by people who care more about having a functional government than ideology. For the most part, I’m inclined to welcome them. (Well, in proper truth-and-reconciliation fashion, those who have “not committed serious crimes.” *g*)

By: *ilson46201

*ilson46201 — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:14:18 +0000

new thread – old weenies

By: everhopeful

everhopeful — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:11:37 +0000

Tweety’s show – his TOTAL obsession with Hillary is tabloid politics most weird and obnoxious…

But I REALLY get PO’d at the weak dems he has on that show – I figure it must be that Hardball “deigns” to allow certain so-called dems on the show ONLY if they agree ahead of time to dish about Hillary with the old panty sniffer himself.

Nothing else explains to me why on earth they don’t just say, “You’re obsessed with Hillary – this is for the tabloids – not political shows for intelligent people. I’m not talking about this stupid stuff so shut the F*** Up!”

By: rwcole

rwcole — Wed, 31 May 2006 22:09:11 +0000

Here it comes- the last best hope of goopers to hold the house- the Marriage Amendment- and Clusterfuck’s gonna pitch it personally..

(Washington) President Bush reportedly will hold a Rose Garden press conference on June 5 to press Congress to enact the so-called Federal Marriage Amendment that would ban same-sex marriage.

The conservative Weekly Standard reports that Bush will gather supporters of the amendment behind him as he makes his pitch.